Serological status: a predictor of response to intensive therapy in rheumatoid arthritis

BackgroundRheumatoid arthritis is the most common chronic inflammatory disease in the UK. Serological status such as rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA) positivity predict poor outcomes. Early intensive treatment regimens targeting remission reduce disease activity, structural damage, and long-term disability. However, we do not know whether all patients with active disease should have such intensive treatment regimens. Can serological status be used to predict the need for intensive therapy?MethodsWe analysed samples from a published randomised controlled trial which compared four treatment regimens in patients with early active rheumatoid arthritis (disease duration <2 years): methotrexate monotherapy, double therapy (methotrexate plus either ciclosporin or prednisolone), and triple therapy (methotrexate plus ciclosporin plus prednisolone). The trial randomised 467 patients (68% female, median age 54 years [IQR 46–63]). Disease activity was assessed with the disease activity score of 28 joints (DAS28). Remission was defined as DAS28 less than 2·6 at 24 months. RF isotypes (IgM and IgA) and ACPA levels were measured with commercial ELISA kits. Statistical analysis used Pearson's chi-squared test.Findings402 (86%) patients were positive for IgM RF, 346 (74%) for IgA RF, and 346 (74%) for ACPA. 98 (21%) patients achieved remission at 24 months. In RF IgM negative cases (n=65) the proportion of patients achieving remission at 24 months was similar in all treatment groups (25%, 22%, and 30% for monotherapy, double therapy, and triple therapy, respectively). In RF IgM positive cases, significantly fewer patients achieved remission with monotherapy (13/65, 17%) and double therapy (24/157, 15%) than with triple therapy (27/80, 34%) (p=0·001). There were similar, consistent findings with IgA RF and ACPA, with significantly more seropositive patients achieving remission with triple therapy than with monotherapy.InterpretationContemporary treatment of rheumatoid arthritis emphasises the use of intensive therapy to achieve remission. However, we have shown that not all patients require such an aggressive approach to therapy. Given the heterogeneity of the diease, treatment should be personalised to the individual, which would minimise costs of treatment as well as potentially toxic side-effects. Our study shows that only seropositive patients with rheumatoid arthritis should be given more intensive therapies.FundingNational Institute for Health Research.