| 收容量季节指数在医院管理中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 秦峰,叶妮娜. 收容量季节指数在医院管理中的应用[J]. 解放军医院管理杂志, 2011, 18(3): 245-247 |
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| 作者姓名： | 秦峰 叶妮娜 |
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| 作者单位： | 解放军第105医院医务处,合肥,230031 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的监测综合性医院收容量的动态规律,预测变化趋势,为医院管理者提供运营决策依据。方法运用移动平均趋势剔除法建立模型,监测分析某院2006—2009年月收容量数据,并对未来数据预测。结果医院收容在季度上有内在的规律性。结论移动平均趋势剔除法揭示医院收容量的季节性效应和增长趋势,对医院经营决策和评价提供参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 收容量 季节指数 移动平均趋势剔除法 |
Application of the Amount of Inpatient Seasonal Index in the Hospital Management |
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| QIN Feng,YE Ni-na. Application of the Amount of Inpatient Seasonal Index in the Hospital Management[J]. Hospital Administration Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army, 2011, 18(3): 245-247 |
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| Authors: | QIN Feng YE Ni-na |
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| Affiliation: | (Department of Medical Affair,No.105 Hospital of PLA,Hefei 230031) |
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| Abstract: | Objectives Inspect dynamic orderliness and forecast all - around hospital amounts of inpatient. Methods Build up model with moving average trend removed method,to analysis amounts of inpatient in 2006—2009and forecast the future data.Results Amounts of inpatient changed orderliness in seasons.Conclusions Moving average trend removed methods have seasonal regularity,and it will supply reliable references for hospital managers. |
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| Keywords: | amount of inpatient seasonal index moving average trend removed method |
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