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Risk Factors for the Development of Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation and Their Population-Attributable Fractions
Affiliation:Department of Cardiology, Rambam Medical Center, and B. Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion Medical School, Haifa, Israel
Abstract:ObjectivesThe objective of this study was to determine risk factors for progression to hemodynamically significant tricuspid regurgitation (TR) and the population burden attributable to these risk factors.BackgroundFew data are available with regard to risk factors associated with the development of hemodynamically significant functional TR.MethodsA total of 1,552 subjects were studied beginning with an index echocardiogram demonstrating trivial or mild TR. Risk factors for progression to moderate or severe TR were determined by using logistic regression and classification trees. Population attributable fractions were calculated for each risk factor.ResultsDuring a median follow-up time of 38 (interquartile range [IQR]: 26 to 63) months, 292 patients (18.8%) developed moderate/severe TR. Independent predictors of TR progression were age, female sex, heart failure, pacemaker electrode, atrial fibrillation (AF), and indicators of left heart disease, including left atrial (LA) enlargement, elevated pulmonary artery pressure (PAP), and left-sided valvular disease. Classification and regression tree analysis demonstrated that the strongest predictors of TR progression were PAP of ≥36 mm Hg, LA enlargement, age ≥60 years, and AF. In the absence of these 4 risk factors, progression to moderate or severe TR occurred in ∼3% of patients. Age (28.4%) and PAP (20.5%) carried the highest population-attributable fractions for TR progression. In patients with TR progression, there was a marked concomitant increase of incident cases of elevated PAP (40%); mitral and aortic valve intervention (12%); reductions in left ventricular ejection fraction (19%), and new AF (32%) (all p < 0.01).ConclusionsTR progression is determined mainly by markers of increased left-sided filling pressures (PAP and LA enlargement), AF, and age. At the population level, age and PAP are the most important contributors to the burden of significant TR. TR progression entails a marked parallel increase in the severity of left-sided heart disease.
Keywords:disease progression  natural history  population-attributable fraction  risk factors  tricuspid regurgitation  AF"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0040"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  atrial fibrillation  CART"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0050"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  classification and regression tree  LA"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0060"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  left atrium  LHD"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd1060"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  left heart disease  LV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0070"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  left ventricle  LVEF"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0080"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  left ventricular ejection fraction  PAF"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0090"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  population-attributable fraction  PASP"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0100"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  pulmonary artery systolic pressure  PAP"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0110"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  pulmonary artery pressure  PH"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0120"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  pulmonary hypertension  RV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0130"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  right ventricle  TR"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0140"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  tricuspid regurgitation  TV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0150"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  tricuspid valve  VHD"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0150c"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  valvular heart disease
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