An assessment of peak expiratory flow as a surrogate measurement of FEV1 in stable asthmatic children

We examined the relationship over 24 hours between percent-predicted values (PPV) of peak expiratory flow (PEF) and forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) in a group of 23 stable untreated asthmatic children 6 to 17 years of age by means of regression analysis as well as the percentage difference between the PPV of these two measurements. Although the Pearson correlation coefficient between the PPV was consistently high, ranging between 0.854 and 0.892, the assumption that such a finding substantiates the substitution of PEF for FEV1 is called into question. Over 50 percent of the subjects displayed a 10 percent or greater difference in the PPV between the two measurements, regardless of the time of day the two respiratory variable were determined, while over one-third of all subjects evidenced a 20 percent or greater discrepancy between the PPV of the two measures. While, on a group basis, there was no statistically significant difference in the mean percentage difference over 24 hours between the PPV of FEV1, when compared with the corresponding measurement of PEF, reliance on PEF alone in individual subjects may result in a false impression of the patency of the airways in comparison to the FEV1.