Estimating cumulative incidence functions in competing risks data with dependent left-truncation

Both delayed study entry (left-truncation) and competing risks are common phenomena in observational time-to-event studies. For example, in studies conducted by Teratology Information Services (TIS) on adverse drug reactions during pregnancy, the natural time scale is gestational age, but women enter the study after time origin and upon contact with the service. Competing risks are present, because an elective termination may be precluded by a spontaneous abortion. If left-truncation is entirely random, the Aalen-Johansen estimator is the canonical estimator of the cumulative incidence functions of the competing events. If the assumption of random left-truncation is in doubt, we propose a new semiparametric estimator of the cumulative incidence function. The dependence between entry time and time-to-event is modeled using a cause-specific Cox proportional hazards model and the marginal (unconditional) estimates are derived via inverse probability weighting arguments. We apply the new estimator to data about coumarin usage during pregnancy. Here, the concern is that the cause-specific hazard of experiencing an induced abortion may depend on the time when seeking advice by a TIS, which also is the time of left-truncation or study entry. While the aims of counseling by a TIS are to reduce the rate of elective terminations based on irrational overestimation of drug risks and to lead to better and safer medical treatment of maternal disease, it is conceivable that women considering an induced abortion are more likely to seek counseling. The new estimator is also evaluated in extensive simulation studies and found preferable compared to the Aalen-Johansen estimator in non–misspecified scenarios and to at least provide for a sensitivity analysis otherwise.     

Suicidal risk and demoralization in Parkinson disease

Journal of Neurology - We aimed to determine suicide risk and lifetime suicidal ideation in Parkinson disease (PD) patients versus controls and how depression, demoralization, and insomnia are...     

Multiple injections for low back pain: What’s the future?

To examine the strength of evidence available for multiple facet joint injections (FJIs) and medial branch blocks (MBBs), and to report on the variations in the NHS England framework using the getting it right first time (GIRFT) data. Systematic review using patient, intervention, comparison, outcome and study strategy. The literature search using Cochrane, MEDLINE and EMBASE databases using MeSH terms: lumbar spine, spinal injection and facet joint (“Appendix A”). Three studies were identified that investigated the efficacy of multiple FJIs or MBBs. None of these studies reported sustained positive outcomes at long-term follow-up. There is a paucity of levels I and II evidence available for the efficacy of multiple FJIs and MBBs in treating low back pain. GIRFT data show a high degree of variation in the use of multiple FJIs, which would not be supported by the literature. These slides can be retrieved under Electronic Supplementary Material.     

Correction to: Spontaneous discontinuation of distressing auditory verbal hallucinations in a school‑based sample of adolescents: a longitudinal study

European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry - In the Original Publication Table 2 was incorrectly published. The correct table is given below.     

Update PONV – Was gibt es Neues bei der Prophylaxe und Therapie von postoperativer Übelkeit und postoperativem Erbrechen?

Die Anaesthesiologie - Auch wenn für Anästhesiologen über Jahrzehnte die Prophylaxe und Therapie postoperativer Schmerzen im Rahmen des postoperativen Patientenkomforts an vorderster...     

A survey of internists’ recommendations for aspirin in older adults and barriers to evidence-based use

Journal of Thrombosis and Thrombolysis - Recent trials suggest that aspirin for primary prevention may do more harm than good for some, including adults over 70 years of age. We sought to...