The probability of treatment success,failure and duration—what can be learned from empirical data to support decision making in clinical practice?

Empirical methods have been found to be superior to clinical judgment for the purpose of correctly identifying patients at risk for treatment failure and, hence, to enhance psychotherapy outcomes. The development and evaluation of an empirical approach aimed at supporting clinical decisions during the course of psychotherapy is described. The tool provides predictions based on a patient‐specific sampling strategy called the nearest neighbors method and on growth curve approaches to model an expected treatment course for each patient. Using session‐by‐session data from an outpatient center in the US (N = 4365), this new empirically derived decision model was evaluated and compared with a clinically based approach loosely based on an adaptation of clinically significant change concepts. The empirically derived decision system was found to be superior to the rational clinically based one in almost all measures of prediction accuracy, indicating its potential to identify patients at risk for treatment failure. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Evaluation of postsurgical crestal bone levels adjacent to non‐submerged dental implants

In most of the studies on long-term radiographic evaluations of crestal bone levels adjacent to dental implants, no baseline radiographs taken immediately post-surgically had been obtained.The aim of this study was to test the reproducibility of a simple radiographic method for linear measurements of changes in bone levels and to evaluate changes in crestal bone levels adjacent co non-submerged ITI® implants 1 year following the surgical procedure. From 128 patients enrolled in a clinical and radiographic longitudinal study 40 patients also had radiographs taken immediately postsurgically. They were, however, not obtained as “identical” images. The radiographs were mounted onto slides and projected on a screen. Mesially and distally from 57 implants triplicate linear measurements of the distance implant shoulder to bone crest were taken, using known dimensions of the implants as internal reference distances. The median difference of 213 (out of 228 possible) duplicate measurements was 0.00 mm (ranging from ?1.72 mm to +1.47 mm when comparing the second co the third reading). Some 81% of the double measurements were within ±0.5 mm and the precision was 0.30 mm. In the immediate postoperative radiographs the median mesial bone level was located at 2.07 mm (distally 2.19 mm) from the implant shoulder. A statistically significant amount of bone loss in the first year was observed mesially (median=?0.78 mm) and distally (0.85 mm)(Wilcoxon matched pairs signed rank test ±0.001). No statistically significant influence of the implant location, the implant length, type of the implant (screw; cylinder) was observed (Kruskal-Wallis P>0.05).The age of the patients was not correlated significantly to the amount of bone loss observed. In conclusion, methodological limitations existed when evaluating linear bone changes in non-identical radiographs using reference dimensions of the implants. The amount of postsurgical bone loss estimated in other studies was confirmed when using an immediate postoperative radiograph as a baseline.     

Development ofDipetalonema viteae third-stage larvae (Nematoda: Filarioidea) in micropore chambers implanted into jirds,hamsters, normal and immunized mice

Summary Development of third-stage larvae ofDipetalonema viteae within subcutaneously implanted micropore chambers proceeded in all hosts tested up to the fourth-stage larvae and occasionally to adolescent worms. In the jird the timing of development was comparable to a natural infection. Although the mouse is an insusceptible host, larval development could take place, but was very slow. Two intraperitoneal inoculations of living thirdstage larvae into mice induced the production of antibodies against the larval cuticle and against common antigens. In such immune mice the development of third- and fourth-stage larvae within micropore chambers was significantly inhibited, larval mortality was increased, and the larval motility was impaired.     

In Situ Detection of Apoptosis at Sites of Chronic Bacterially Induced Inflammation in Human Gingiva

Apoptosis is a key phenomenon in the regulation of the life span of terminally differentiated leukocytes. Human gingiva represents an established model to study immune responses to bacterial infection. In this investigation, we used the TUNEL (terminal deoxynucleotidyltransferase-mediated dUTP-biotin nick end labeling) technique to evaluate presence and topographic location of apoptosis-associated DNA damage in human gingival biopsies along with the expression of the p53 and Bcl-2 apoptosis-regulating proteins. Qualitative data analysis showed high densities of cells expressing DNA damage and p53 both within the epithelial attachment to the tooth and in the perivascular infiltrate (infiltrated connective tissue [ICT]) immediately underlying the site of chronic bacterial aggression. Topographic consistency between DNA damage- and p53-positive cells was consistently observed. Quantitative analysis of the ICT showed mean densities of DNA damage- and p53-positive cells of 345 ± 278 and 403 ± 182 cells/mm², respectively. Numerical consistency was confirmed by multivariate regression analysis: densities of DNA damage-positive cells were significantly predicted by densities of p53-positive cells (P = 0.001, r² = 0.84). In the ICT, cells displaying biotinylated DNA nicks were 3.8% ± 2.7% of total cellularity, while p53- and Bcl-2-positive cells represented 4.4% ± 1.7% and 15.4% ± 6.7% of total cells, respectively. It is suggested that p53 expression associated with DNA damage is a prevalent phenomenon in chronically inflamed human gingiva, and that apoptosis may be a relevant process for the maintenance of local immune homeostasis at sites of chronic bacterial challenge in vivo.