Method’s corner: Allergist’s guide to network meta-analysis

Network meta-analyses (NMAs) simultaneously estimate the effects of multiple possible treatment options for a given clinical presentation. For allergists to benefit optimally from NMAs, they must understand the process and be able to interpret the results. Through a worked example published in Pediatric Allergy and Immunology, we summarize how to identify credible NMAs and interpret them with a focus on recent innovations in the GRADE approach (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation). NMAs build on traditional systematic reviews and meta-analyses that consider only direct paired comparisons by including indirect evidence, thus allowing the simultaneous assessment of the relative effect of all pairs of competing alternatives. Our framework informs clinicians of how to identify credible NMAs and address the certainty of the evidence. Trustworthy NMAs fill a critical gap in providing key inferences using direct and indirect evidence to inform clinical decision making when faced with more than two competing courses of treatment options. This document will help allergists to identify trustworthy NMAs to enhance patient care.     

Therapeutic effect of regulating autophagy in spinal cord injury: a network meta-analysis of direct and indirect comparisons

Objective:An increasing number of studies indicate that autophagy plays an important role in the pathogenesis of spinal cord injury,and that regulating autophagy can enhance recovery from spinal cord injury.However,the effect of regulating autophagy and whether autophagy is detrimental or beneficial after spinal cord injury remain unclear.Therefore,in this study we evaluated the effects of autophagy regulation on spinal cord injury in rats by direct and indirect comparison,in an effort to provide a basis for further research.Data source:Relevant literature published from inception to February 1,2018 were included by searching Wanfang,CNKI,Web of Science,MEDLINE(OvidSP),PubMed and Google Scholar in English and Chinese.The keywords included"autophagy","spinal cord injury",and"rat".Data selection:The literature included in vivo experimental studies on autophagy regulation in the treatment of spinal cord injury(including intervention pre-and post-spinal cord injury).Meta-analyses were conducted at different time points to compare the therapeutic effects of promoting or inhibiting autophagy,and subgroup analyses were also conducted.Outcome measure:Basso,Beattie,and Bresnahan scores.Results:Of the 622 studies,33 studies of median quality were included in the analyses.Basso,Beattie,and Bresnahan scores were higher at 1 day(MD=1.80,95%CI:0.81-2.79,P=0.0004),3 days(MD=0.92,95%CI:0.72-1.13,P<0.00001),1 week(MD=2.39,95%CI:1.85-2.92,P<0.00001),2 weeks(MD=3.26,95%CI:2.40-4.13,P<0.00001),3 weeks(MD=3.13,95%CI:2.51-3.75,P<0.00001)and 4 weeks(MD=3.18,95%CI:2.43-3.92,P<0.00001)after spinal cord injury with upregulation of autophagy compared with the control group(drug solvent control,such as saline group).Basso,Beattie,and Bresnahan scores were higher at 1 day(MD=6.48,95%CI:5.83-7.13,P<0.00001),2 weeks(MD=2.43,95%CI:0.79-4.07,P=0.004),3 weeks(MD=2.96,95%CI:0.09-5.84,P=0.04)and 4 weeks(MD=4.41,95%CI:1.08-7.75,P=0.01)after spinal cord injury with downregulation of autophagy compared with the control group.Indirect comparison of upregulation and downregulation of autophagy showed no differences in Basso,Beattie,and Bresnahan scores at 1 day(MD=-4.68,95%CI:-5.840 to-3.496,P=0.94644),3 days(MD=-0.28,95%CI:-2.231-1.671,P=0.99448),1 week(MD=1.83,95%CI:0.0076-3.584,P=0.94588),2 weeks(MD=0.81,95%CI:-0.850-2.470,P=0.93055),3 weeks(MD=0.17,95%Cl:-2.771-3.111,P=0.99546)or 4 weeks(MD=-1.23,95%Cl:-4.647-2.187,P=0.98264)compared with the control group.Conclusion:Regulation of autophagy improves neurological function,whether it is upregulated or downregulated.There was no difference between upregulation and downregulation of autophagy in the treatment of spinal cord injury.The variability in results among the studies may be associated with differences in research methods,the lack of clearly defined autophagy characteristics after spinal cord injury,and the limited autophagy monitoring techniques.Thus,methods should be standardized,and the dynamic regulation of autophagy should be examined in future studies.     

Development of chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassay for the determination of aflatoxin M1 in milk products

In this study, an indirect competitive chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassay (ic-CLEIA) for determining aflatoxin M₁ (AFM₁) in milk products has been developed. A luminol–hydrogen peroxide chemiluminescence system catalysed by horseradish peroxidase (HRP) was used as the signal detecting system. The effects of several factors, including concentration and pH of phosphate buffer, dilution ratio of antibody and antigen and other relevant variables on the immunoassay, were studied and optimised by single-factor experiments. The developed method presented an IC₅₀ of 0.05 ng/mL, a detection limit of 0.01 ng/mL and a linear range from 0.018 to 0.13 ng/mL. This method has been successfully applied to the evaluation of AFM₁ in milk products, the recoveries ranging from 71.9% to 109.0%. A good correlation with the commercial available ELISA kit for AFM₁ (r = 0.9978) was obtained, indicating that the ic-CLEIA method developed can be used to determine AFM₁ in real samples.     

间接式母亲心音与语音乐律输入法在早产儿中的应用

目的:观察间接式母亲心音与语音乐律输入法在早产儿中的应用效果。方法:将收治重症新生儿监护室的80例早产儿按照随机数字表法分为观察组、对照组,每组40例,对照组给予早产儿常规护理,观察组在常规护理的基础上加用间接式母亲心音与语音乐律输入法干预,干预前后对两组早产儿睡眠时间、体重进行比较。结果:观察组早产儿干预后睡眠时间长于对照组(P<0.05)、体重重于对照组(P<0.05)。结论:采用间接式母亲心音与语音乐律输入法对早产儿进行干预可明显增加睡眠时间,促进体重增长。     

Comparative efficacy of first-line ceritinib and crizotinib in advanced or metastatic anaplastic lymphoma kinase-positive non-small cell lung cancer: an adjusted indirect comparison with external controls

Objective: In the absence of head-to-head trials, this study indirectly compared progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) between ceritinib and crizotinib among patients with previously untreated advanced anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK)-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods: A matching-adjusted indirect comparison method was implemented to adjust for cross-trial differences in patient characteristics between ASCEND-4 and PROFILE 1014 trials. Patient-level data from ASCEND-4 and published summary data from PROFILE 1014 were used. Patients in ASCEND-4 were reweighted to match average baseline characteristics (i.e. age, sex, race, tumor histology, ECOG score, smoking status, extent of disease, and presence of brain metastases) reported for PROFILE 1014 patients using propensity score weighting. PFS and OS were then compared between balanced populations.

Results: ASCEND-4 included more current smokers (8.0% vs 4.4%) and fewer patients under the age of 65 years (78.5% vs 84.0%) compared to PROFILE 1014. After matching, these and all other patient characteristics were balanced between the two trial populations. Compared to crizotinib, ceritinib was associated with a significantly longer PFS (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] (HR [CI])?=?0.64 [0.47–0.87]; median PFS: 25.2 vs 10.8 months, log-rank p-value?=?0.003). OS did not differ significantly, with a HR of 0.82 [0.54–1.27] for ceritinib compared to crizotinib.

Conclusions: In the adjusted indirect comparison with external controls, the second generation ALK inhibitor, ceritinib, was associated with a significantly prolonged PFS compared to crizotinib as first-line treatment for ALK-positive NSCLC.     

Treatment sequence network meta-analysis in Crohn’s disease: a methodological case study

Objective: Several biologic therapies are available for the treatment of mild-to-moderate Crohn’s disease (CD). This network meta-analysis (NMA) aimed to assess the comparative efficacy of ustekinumab, adalimumab, vedolizumab and infliximab in the maintenance of clinical response and remission after 1?year of treatment.

Methods: A systematic literature search was performed to identify relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Key outcomes of interest were clinical response (CD activity index [CDAI] reduction of 100 points; CDAI-100) and remission (CDAI score under 150 points; CDAI < 150). A treatment sequence Bayesian NMA was conducted to account for the re-randomization of patients based on different clinical definitions, the lack of similarity of the common comparator for each trial and the full treatment pathway from the induction phase onwards.

Results: Thirteen RCTs were identified. Ustekinumab 90?mg q8w was associated with statistically significant improvement in clinical response relative to placebo and vedolizumab 300?mg. For clinical remission, ustekinumab 90?mg q8w was associated with statistically significant improvement relative to placebo and vedolizumab 300?mg q8w. Findings from sub-population analyses had similar results but were not statistically significant.

Conclusions: The NMA suggest that ustekinumab is associated with the highest likelihood of reaching response or remission at 1?year compared with placebo, adalimumab and vedolizumab. Results should be interpreted with caution because this is a novel methodology; however, the treatment sequence analysis may be the most methodologically sound analysis to derive estimates of comparative efficacy in CD in the absence of head-to-head evidence.     

Indirect activation of pregnane X receptor in the induction of hepatic CYP3A11 by high-dose rifampicin in mice

Rifampicin (RIF), a typical ligand of human pregnane X receptor (PXR), powerfully induces the expression of cytochrome P450 3A4 (CYP3A4) in humans. Although it is thought that RIF is not a ligand of rodent PXR, treatment with high-dose RIF (e.g. more than 20?mg/kg) increases the expression of CYP3A in the mouse liver. In this study, we investigated whether the induction of CYP3A by high-dose RIF in the mouse liver is mediated via indirect activation of mouse PXR (mPXR). The results showed that high-dose RIF increased the expression of CYP3A11 and other PXR-target genes in the liver of wild-type mice but not PXR-knockout mice. However, the results of reporter gene and ligand-dependent assembly assays showed that RIF does not activate mPXR in a ligand-dependent manner. In addition, high-dose RIF stimulated nuclear accumulation of mPXR in the mouse liver, and geldanamycin and okadaic acid attenuated the induction of Cyp3a11 and other PXR-target genes in primary hepatocytes, suggesting that high-dose RIF triggers nuclear translocation of mPXR. In conclusion, the present study suggests that high-dose RIF stimulates nuclear translocation of mPXR in the liver of mice by indirect activation, resulting in the transactivation of Cyp3a11 and other PXR-target genes.     

丹参川芎嗪注射液对比丹参多酚酸盐注射液治疗冠心病心绞痛的药物经济学评价

目的 评价丹参川芎嗪注射液与丹参多酚酸盐注射液治疗冠心病心绞痛的临床疗效及经济性。方法 检索CBM、中国知网、维普、万方、Cochrane library、Pubmed、Embase等中英文数据库,查找丹参川芎嗪和丹参多酚酸盐治疗冠心病心绞痛的随机对照临床试验,按照纳入与排除标准筛选文献,提取资料,以间接荟萃（Meta）分析的方法系统评价两种药物治疗冠心病心绞痛的临床疗效;经济学评价采用成本效果法进行,其中成本指直接成本,包括常规治疗费、给药费、检查费以及住院费。结果 间接Meta分析结果显示,丹参川芎嗪与丹参多酚酸盐治疗冠心病心绞痛的有效率分别为89.51%和92.52%,心电图改善率分别为81.40%和84.05%。治疗心绞痛的疗程费用分别为4099.71元和5410.16元;丹参川芎嗪与丹参多酚酸盐的心绞痛改善成本效果比分别为45.80和58.48,心电图改善的成本效果比分别为50.36和64.37,敏感性分析结果稳定。结论 与丹参多酚酸盐注射液相比,在治疗冠心病心绞痛方面,丹参川芎嗪注射液可能更具经济学优势。     

Direct and indirect time spent on care of dental trauma: a 2-year prospective study of children and adolescents

Abstract – The aim was to account for the total time spent by professional care‐givers (direct time) and by patients and companions engaged as support and help (indirect time) to treat and otherwise attend to children and adolescents with dental trauma to primary and permanent teeth. The study was based on a random sample of 192 children and adolescents with dental traumas reported to an insurance company and prospectively followed up by telephone interviews over a period of 2 years after the trauma episode. On average, direct time represented 16% of total time for all visits for dental trauma to permanent teeth and 11% for trauma to primary teeth. The most extensive type of indirect time was transport time, which took up 30% of the total time spent on injuries to permanent teeth and 36% for injuries to primary teeth. Multiple regression analysis of the impact of dental and demographic injury variables on the time variables showed that complicated trauma was associated with extended time, direct as well as indirect, for permanent and primary teeth injuries. Our estimate of the average relative increase in total time spent by patients and companions in cases of complicated injury to permanent teeth was 117% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52–211) for patients and 112% (95% CI, 42–217) for companions. For transport time a strong predictor was access to a dental clinic near the place of residence. Lack of access could extend the average transport time by 180% (95% CI, 80–335) for patients and 163% (95% CI, 67–317) for their companions in cases of injuries to primary teeth.