乙型肝炎与肝癌关系的流行病学研究—广西HBsAg携带者及肝损害者的分布及发生肝癌的前瞻性研究

本文对20岁以上22830人按HBsAg状况和肝损害表现分队列进行随访,平均追踪6.8年,在肝癌高发区和低发区均以HBsAg携带者并有重度肝损害者(肝大+肝功能异常)的肝癌死亡率和相对危险性最高,相对危险性分别为37.3和22.5倍。以无肝大和肝功能异常的非携带者最低,肝癌的发生和肝损害的程度呈平行关系。HBsAg携带者发生肝癌死亡的相对危险性高于非携带者7倍,并发现HBsAg携带并有重度肝损害的肝癌死亡的平均年龄显著提前。认为肝癌高发区人群中HBV的持续感染和肝损害的广泛存在是导致肝癌高发和早发的重要因素。     

Can past academic criteria predict students at risk of future failure?

A significant minority of medical and dental students fail their undergraduate courses. Early warning systems (EWSs) have been developed in some areas of higher education to predict 'at-risk' students at an early remedial stage. An attempt is made to develop an EWS to predict failure in the bacteriology component of the Batchelor of Dental Surgery course at Manchester Dental School. A system based on class tests and previous end-of-year performance is derived which is used to predict those students likely to fail or fall in the bottom 20-25% in their finals examination. The predictors are combined by a simple equal weights method, which is found to have the same predictive power as using multiple regression. Failure was correctly predicted in 60% of cases, at the expense of 71% false alarms. The high number of false alarms reflects the low failure rate rather than the lack of predictive information. The need for effective cross-validation of EWSs is discussed; many previous studies have not been tested on independent data.     

Pathophysiological and clinical aspects of the CO2 pneumoperitoneum (CO2-PP)

Experimental studies demonstrated a severe cardiac load of the CO₂ pneumoperitoneum caused by an accelerated after- and a decreased preload. Patients displaying cardiovascular risks are therefore often rejected from laparoscopic surgery. Hence, the pathophysiological changes and the intraoperative risk of the CO₂ pneumoperitoneum in high-risk cardiopulmonary patients (NYHA II–III, n= 15) undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy are described. The changes in cardiac after- and preload seem to be due to the elevated intraabdominal pressure rather than transperitoneally resorbed CO₂ and are reversible by desufflation. In one patient conversion to open operation had to be performed because of a severe drop in cardiac output and right ventricle ejection fraction. Mixed oxygen saturation was predicting intraoperative worsening in this case. The described pathophysiological changes may seem to be well tolerated even in high-risk cardiac patients. Monitoring of hemodynamics should include an arterial catheter line and blood gas analyses. Pharmacologic interventions or pressureless laparoscopic procedures might not be necessary as long as laparoscopic cholecystectomy is performed. Received: 13 December 1996/Accepted: 8 January 1997     

Breast Cancer Risk Assessment and Counseling: A Clinician's Guide

Abstract: Most individuals concerned about hereditary breast cancer risk will neither order nor benefit from genetic testing at the present time. Many will, however, seek information about their risk and testing. Risk assessment services, in addition to providing information about hereditary risk and genetic testing, need also to include assessment of non-hereditary risks, information about how to evaluate risks, early detection modalities, the etiology of cancer, and assistance in devising follow-up health care plans. Psychosocial factors, particularly those pertaining to the individual's past history with illness and beliefs about causes and prognosis, must be taken into account to provide relevant information that is understood. A case history with examples of some of the types of information that lead to informed consent in a cancer risk assessment setting is provided.     

应用Meta分析有效估计人群归因危险度百分比的探讨

人群归因危险度百分比 (populationattributableriskproportion ,PARP)是总体人群中某种疾病归因于某种因素的暴露所引起的发病 (死亡 )占全部发病 (死亡 )的百分比 ,反映该因素所引起的发病 (死亡 )占全部发病 (死亡 )的比重。通过PARP可了解各危险因素对人群中某疾病的发病所产生的影响 ,亦即消除某危险因素后 ,所产生的对预防该疾病的效果将占有多大比重。它能够为卫生政策的制订提供依据 ,有着重要的公共卫生的实际意义。目前常用的估计PARP的方法有两种 :一种是利用全国人群抽样调查获得的人群总暴露率来估计 ;另一种是利用某地区…     

PERFORATED PEPTIC ULCER IN THE HUNTER REGION: A REVIEW OF 174 CASES

A review of 174 consecutive patients admitted with a diagnosis of perforated peptic ulcer to eight Hunter Region hospitals during 1979–86 is presented. Among the female admissions, the proportion of patients > 70 years of age was twice that in males. One-third of all perforations were in females who accounted for two-thirds of all perforated gastric ulcers. Multivariate analysis revealed that perforations located in the stomach and older age were both significant independent variables adversely affecting outcome following surgery. In contrast, shock at presentation and delay in operating were not statistically significant independent risk factors.     

Recurrence risk for major congenital heart defects in Sweden: A registry study

During the period 1981–1986, 1605 infants presenting a major congenital heart defect (CHD) were identified in Sweden. Using the personal identification numbers of the mothers, 1507 of them could be linked to the Medical Birth Registry and two controls were selected for each infant. For this total of 4521 infants, 2686 postoccurrence sibs born during the period 1981–1989 were identified from the Medical Birth Registry. The tendency to have one or more sibs was higher among cases than among controls and was correlated to the life status of the proband. This tendency did not vary according to the type of CHD when controlling for life status. The prevalence at birth of CHD was almost four times higher among sibs of CHD infants than among sibs of normal infants. The tendency to have a sib with an extracardiac malformation did not differ between CHD probands and normal probands. The importance of only including births occurring after the proband when evaluating recurrence risks is stressed. © 1994 Wiley-Liss, Inc.