Conceptual model for automatic early warning information system of infectious diseases based on internet reporting surveillance system

Objective To establish a conceptual model of automatic early warning of infectious diseases based on internet reporting surveillance system, with a view to realizing an automated warning system on a daily basis and timely identifying potential outbreaks of infectious diseases. Methods The statistic conceptual model was established using historic surveillance data with movable percentile method. Results Based on the infectious disease surveillance information platform, the conceptual model for early warning was established. The parameter, threshold, and revised sensitivity and specificity of early warning value were changed to realize dynamic alert of infectious diseases on a daily basis. Conclusion The instructive conceptual model of dynamic alert can be used as a validating tool in institutions of infectious disease surveillance in different districts.     

Trisomy 13 and 18—Prevalence and mortality—A multi‐registry population based analysis

The aim of the study is to determine the prevalence, outcomes, and survival (among live births [LB]), in pregnancies diagnosed with trisomy 13 (T13) and 18 (T18), by congenital anomaly register and region. Twenty‐four population‐ and hospital‐based birth defects surveillance registers from 18 countries, contributed data on T13 and T18 between 1974 and 2014 using a common data‐reporting protocol. The mean total birth prevalence (i.e., LB, stillbirths, and elective termination of pregnancy for fetal anomalies [ETOPFA]) in the registers with ETOPFA (n = 15) for T13 was 1.68 (95% CI 1.3–2.06), and for T18 was 4.08 (95% CI 3.01–5.15), per 10,000 births. The prevalence varied among the various registers. The mean prevalence among LB in all registers for T13 was 0.55 (95%CI 0.38–0.72), and for T18 was 1.07 (95% CI 0.77–1.38), per 10,000 births. The median mortality in the first week of life was 48% for T13 and 42% for T18, across all registers, half of which occurred on the first day of life. Across 16 registers with complete 1‐year follow‐up, mortality in first year of life was 87% for T13 and 88% for T18. This study provides an international perspective on prevalence and mortality of T13 and T18. Overall outcomes and survival among LB were poor with about half of live born infants not surviving first week of life; nevertheless about 10% survived the first year of life. Prevalence and outcomes varied by country and termination policies. The study highlights the variation in screening, data collection, and reporting practices for these conditions.     

Pneumococcal conjugate serotype distribution and predominating role of serotype 3 in German adults with community-acquired pneumonia

IntroductionImplementation of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in infant vaccination programs has substantially reduced the burden of PCV7 serotypes also in adult community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Currently, it is unclear, if this extensive herd protection effect can be extrapolated to the additional 6 serotypes included in the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13), which replaced PCV7 in Germany in 2010.ObjectivesWe investigated changing trends for PCV13 serotypes in adult CAP patients between three to seven years after implementation of PCV13 infant immunization in Germany.MethodsBetween December 2012 and January 2017, urine samples from German adult patients with radiologically confirmed CAP were prospectively collected by the multi-center cohort study CAPNETZ and analyzed by the serotype-specific multiplex urinary antigen detection assay (SSUAD) allowing for the detection of PCV13 serotypes.ResultsPCV13 serotypes were found in 59 of 796 (7.4%) patients with all-cause CAP, most prevalent was serotype 3 (30 of 59 patients, 50.8%). All patients with serotype 3-CAP were admitted to hospital and the majority required oxygen at admission (83.3% of patients with serotype 3-CAP versus 50.9% of patients with pneumococcal CAP by other serotypes, p = 0.005). Compared to SSUAD testing, conventional microbiological workup missed 27 of 30 (90.0%) serotype 3-CAP cases. We could not observe a time trend in the proportions of PCV13 serotypes and serotype 3 in all-cause CAP between 2013 and 2016 (OR trend per year 0.84, 95% CI 0.64–1.11 for PCV13 serotypes and OR trend per year 0.95, 95% CI 0.70–1.28 for serotype 3). Conclusions: Conventional methods underestimate serotype 3-CAP that can cause severe disease. Changes in overall PCV13 coverage were not detected during the years 2013 to 2016, mostly driven by a high proportion of serotype 3.     

Cancer Statistics, 2009

Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the number of new cancer cases and deaths expected in the United States in the current year and compiles the most recent data on cancer incidence, mortality, and survival based on incidence data from the National Cancer Institute, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries and mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics. Incidence and death rates are standardized by age to the 2000 United States standard million population. A total of 1,479,350 new cancer cases and 562,340 deaths from cancer are projected to occur in the United States in 2009. Overall cancer incidence rates decreased in the most recent time period in both men (1.8% per year from 2001 to 2005) and women (0.6% per year from 1998 to 2005), largely because of decreases in the three major cancer sites in men (lung, prostate, and colon and rectum [colorectum]) and in two major cancer sites in women (breast and colorectum). Overall cancer death rates decreased in men by 19.2% between 1990 and 2005, with decreases in lung (37%), prostate (24%), and colorectal (17%) cancer rates accounting for nearly 80% of the total decrease. Among women, overall cancer death rates between 1991 and 2005 decreased by 11.4%, with decreases in breast (37%) and colorectal (24%) cancer rates accounting for 60% of the total decrease. The reduction in the overall cancer death rates has resulted in the avoidance of about 650,000 deaths from cancer over the 15‐year period. This report also examines cancer incidence, mortality, and survival by site, sex, race/ethnicity, education, geographic area, and calendar year. Although progress has been made in reducing incidence and mortality rates and improving survival, cancer still accounts for more deaths than heart disease in persons younger than 85 years of age. Further progress can be accelerated by applying existing cancer control knowledge across all segments of the population and by supporting new discoveries in cancer prevention, early detection, and treatment. CA Cancer J Clin 2009;59:225‐249. ? 2009 American Cancer Society, Inc.     

Lack of private health insurance is associated with higher mortality from cancer and other chronic diseases,poor diet quality,and inflammatory biomarkers in the United States

ObjectiveThe lack of health insurance reduces access to care and often results in poorer health outcomes. The present study simultaneously assessed the effects of health insurance on cancer and chronic disease mortality, as well as the inter-relationships with diet, obesity, smoking, and inflammatory biomarkers. We hypothesized that public/no insurance versus private insurance would result in increased cancer/chronic disease mortality due to the increased prevalence of inflammation-related lifestyle factors in the underinsured population.MethodsData from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey participants (NHANES III;1988–1994) were prospectively examined to assess the effects of public/no insurance versus private insurance and inflammation-related lifestyle factors on mortality risk from cancer, all causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to assess these relationships.ResultsMultivariate regression analyses revealed substantially greater risks of mortality ranging from 35% to 245% for public/no insurance versus private insurance for cancer (HR = 1.35; 95% CI = 1.09,1.66), all causes (HR = 1.54; 95% CI = 1.39,1.70), CVD (HR = 1.62; 95% CI = 1.38,1.90) and diabetes (HR = 2.45; 95% CI = 1.45,4.14). Elevated CRP, smoking, reduced diet quality and higher BMI were more prevalent in those with public insurance, and were also associated with increased risks of cancer/chronic disease mortality.DiscussionInsurance status was strongly associated with cancer/chronic disease mortality after adjusting for lifestyle factors. The results suggest that inadequate health insurance coverage results in a substantially greater need for preventive strategies that focus on tobacco control, obesity, and improved dietary quality. These efforts should be incorporated into comprehensive insurance coverage programs for all Americans.     

Timeliness and factors associated with rotavirus vaccine uptake among Australian Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal children: A record linkage cohort study

ObjectivesRotavirus vaccines (RV), included in Australia’s National Immunisation Program from mid-July 2007, are unique in strict time limits for administration. Here, we report on timeliness of RV uptake, compare cumulative RV coverage to age 12 months with DTPa, and assess factors associated with receipt of RV among Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal children.MethodsBirth records for 681,456 children born in two Australian states in 2007–2012 were probabilistically linked to national immunisation records. We assessed on-time coverage (defined as receipt of vaccine dose between 4 days prior to scheduled date and the recommended upper limit) for RV and compared this to diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTPa) vaccine. Logistic regression modelling was used to assess independent determinants of receipt of RV.ResultsCompared to non-Aboriginal infants, on-time RV coverage was lower for all doses among Aboriginal infants. Post the upper age limit of RV dose2, DTPa dose2 coverage increased by 9–16% to ≥90%, whereas RV coverage remained around 77% (Aboriginal) and 85% (non-Aboriginal). Compared to first-born children, the adjusted odds of receiving ≥1 RV dose if born to a mother with ≥3 previous births was 0.30 (95%CI: 0.27–0.34) among Aboriginal, and 0.53 (95%CI: 0.51–0.55) among non-Aboriginal children. Prematurity (<33 weeks), low birthweight (<1500 g), maternal age <20 years, maternal smoking during pregnancy and living in a disadvantaged area were independently associated with decreased vaccine uptake.ConclusionsAboriginal children are at greater risk of rotavirus disease than non-Aboriginal children and delayed vaccine receipt is substantially higher. Although specific programs targeting groups at risk of delayed vaccination might improve RV coverage, relaxation of upper age restrictions is most readily implementable, and its overall risk-benefit should be evaluated.     

2009年省级及计划单列市疾病预防控制中心网站评测及调查研究

为全面掌握中国省级疾控中心网站建设现状,发现和分析存在的主要问题,中国疾控中心全面分析评测了30个省级疾病预防控制中心网站和5个计划单列市疾病预防控制中心网站。各网站整体水平呈上升趋势,对网站建设的重视程度得到加强,但大部分在公共服务、公众参与方面还比较薄弱,这是现阶段各省级疾控中心网站建设的重点。     

Maternal residential proximity to waste sites and industrial facilities and conotruncal heart defects in offspring

Most studies of the relationship between maternal residential proximity to sources of environmental pollution and congenital cardiovascular malformations have combined heart defects into one group or broad subgroups. The current case–control study examined whether risk of conotruncal heart defects, including subsets of specific defects, was associated with maternal residential proximity to hazardous waste sites and industrial facilities with recorded air emissions. Texas Birth Defects Registry cases were linked to their birth or fetal death certificate. Controls without birth defects were randomly selected from birth certificates. Distances from maternal addresses at delivery to National Priority List (NPL) waste sites, state superfund waste sites, and Toxic Release Inventory (TRI) facilities were determined for 1244 cases (89.5% of those eligible) and 4368 controls (88.0%).
Living within 1 mile of a hazardous waste site was not associated with risk of conotruncal heart defects [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.83, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.54, 1.27]. This was true whether looking at most types of defects or waste sites. Only truncus arteriosus showed statistically elevated ORs with any waste site (crude OR: 2.80, 95% CI 1.19, 6.54) and with NPL sites (crude OR: 4.63, 95% CI 1.18, 13.15; aOR 4.99, 95% CI 1.26, 14.51), but the latter was based on only four exposed cases. There was minimal association between conotruncal heart defects and proximity to TRI facilities (aOR = 1.10, 95% CI = 0.91, 1.33). Stratification by maternal age or race/ethnic group made little difference in effect estimates for waste sites or industrial facilities. In this study population, maternal residential proximity to waste sites or industries with reported air emissions was not associated with conotruncal heart defects or its subtypes in offspring, with the exception of truncus arteriosus.