The Impact of Triage for Atypical Squamous Cells of Undetermined Significance with Human Papillomavirus Testing in Cervical Cancer Screening in Japan

Background: One of the features of cervical cancer screening using the combination of cytology and humanpapillomavirus (HPV) testing is the triage for atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US). Theeffectiveness of the triage has been recognized widely. However, there are few reports evaluating this triage process inJapan. Material and Methods: We retrospectively examined the results of cytology and HPV co-testing for cervicalcancer screening in the Oyama area of Tochigi Prefecture between 2012 and 2014. Women who were ASC-US/HPVpositive and had cytologic abnormalities [low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSIL) or worse] were examinedby colposcopy. The results of the colposcopy testing were evaluated. In addition, we also examined the results of thosewho underwent co-testing a year after a ASC-US/HPV-negative result. Results: A total of 21,342 women receivedtheir first screening test during the study period, with 542 (2.5%) found to have ASC-US. Of the ASC-US-positivewomen, 289 (53.3%) were also HPV positive. The prevalence of CIN+ (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or higher)in the ASC-US/HPV-positive group was 63.2%, with 81.8%, 16.4% and 4.8%. showing CIN 1, CIN 2 and CIN 3+,respectively. The prevalence of CIN+ in the LSIL group was 66.8%, with the majority having a low risk CIN 1 (76.6%)compared to CIN 2 (18.6%), and CIN 3+ (4.8%). No significant difference was observed between the LSIL and ASC-US/HPV-positive groups. The prevalence of women diagnosed with CIN in the ASC-US/HPV-negative group, followingco-testing a year after colposcopy was low (3%). Conclusions: The ASC-US/HPV-positive group was comparable tothe LSIL group in terms of prevalence of CIN+ lesions. Furthermore, low CIN prevalence after one year in the ASCUS/HPV-negative group provides confirmation that the screening interval could be extended. The application of HPVtriage (which is routine in other countries) to identify these groups would be of benefit in Japan.     

Cost and Effectiveness Comparison of Immediate Colposcopy Versus Human Papillomavirus DNA Testing in Management of Atypical Squamous Cells of Undetermined Significance in Turkish Women

Background: A small but significant proportion of cases with atypical squamous cells of undeterminedsignificance (ASCUS) may harbour CIN 2-3, or even invasive carcinoma. Although immediate colposcopy,HPV-DNA testing or expectant management are three recommended options in ASCUS triage, a consensus doesnot currently exist on which one of these approaches is the most efficient. In this study, we aimed to comparethe performance and cost of immediate colposcopy and colposcopy based on the human papillomavirus (HPV)testing for detecting histologically confirmed high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) in women withASCUS. Materials and Methods: Records of 594 women with an index Papanicolaou smear showing ASCUSwere retrospectively analyzed. Women in the immediate colposcopy arm were referred directly to colposcopy(immediate colposcopy group, n=255) and those in the HPV triage arm were proceeded to colposcopy if thehigh-risk HPV (hrHPV) test was positive (HPV triage group, n=339). High grade CIN (CIN2+) detection rateand treatment costs were compared between the groups. Results: The detected rate of CIN2+ was higher inthe HPV triage group compared to immediate colposcopy group (8% vs. 1.6%, p=0.011). In the HPV triagegroup, the total cost, cost per patient, and the cost for detecting one case of high grade CIN were higher thanthe immediate colposcopy group (p<0.001). Conclusions: In women with ASCUS cytology, HPV DNA testingfollowed by colposcopy is more costly than immediate colposcopy, but this approach is associated with a higherrate of CIN2+ detection. This findings suggest that HPV DNA testing combined with cervical cytology couldreduce the referral rate to colposcopy     

Approaches to triage optimization in HPV primary screening: Extended genotyping and p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology—Retrospective insights from ATHENA

The objective of our study was to assess the performance of different triage strategies for high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV)-positive results utilizing either extended genotyping or a p16/Ki-67 dual-stained cytology (DS) approach, with or without partial genotyping. A subset of women with hrHPV infections participating in the Addressing the Need for Advanced HPV Diagnostics (ATHENA) study were analyzed to determine the number of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse (≥CIN3) cases detected, and the absolute risk for ≥CIN3 of each genotype. A clinical utility table was constructed to compare the impact of different triage strategies. In all, 2,339 women with single-genotype hrHPV infections were identified. Among these were 171 ≥CIN3 cases. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved algorithm (HPV16/18 positive, or 12-other hrHPV positive and Pap positive, i.e., ≥ atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance) for primary HPV screening detected 132/171 (77.2%) ≥CIN3 cases and required 964 colposcopies (colposcopies per ≥CIN3 ratio: 7.3). An approach that uses DS instead of cytology in the FDA-approved algorithm detected 147/171 (86.0%) ≥CIN3 cases, requiring 1,012 colposcopies (ratio: 6.9). Utilizing DS for triage of all hrHPV-positive women identified 126/171 (73.7%) ≥CIN3 cases, requiring 640 colposcopies (ratio: 5.1). A strategy that detected HPV16/18/31/33/35+ captured 130/171 (76.0%) ≥CIN3 cases, requiring 1,025 colposcopies (ratio: 7.9). Inclusion of additional genotypes resulted in greater disease detection at the expense of higher colposcopy ratios. Substituting cytology with a DS triage approach improved disease detection and the colposcopy detection rate. Further reduction of colposcopy rates can be achieved by using DS without partial genotyping. Extended genotyping strategies can identify a comparable number of cases but requires an increased number of colposcopies.     

Human papillomavirus testing for triage of women with low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesions

Low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) is a common cytologic finding in cervical screening, yet only about 10–20% have significant histologic abnormalities and these are almost always positive for high‐risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV). This analysis aims to clarify the role of hrHPV DNA testing in the triage of women with LSIL cytology. In the ATHENA screening trial, we examined 1,084 cases of LSIL, of which 925 had an evaluable biopsy, to determine the extent to which hrHPV testing can identify those patients who have precursor lesions in need of immediate clinical referral and those who have changes more likely to regress spontaneously. Overall, 71.2% of LSIL cases were hrHPV positive, but the prevalence was age dependent, with only 56.1% in women ≥40 years. Among women with LSIL, 11.6% (107/925) had a cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) histologic diagnosis and, of these, only nine were hrHPV negative. For CIN3+, 91.7% (44/48) of women with LSIL were hrHPV positive. The negative predictive value of hrHPV testing for CIN3+ in LSIL was 100% for women aged ≥40 years. Women who were HPV16 positive had a higher positive predictive value for CIN2+ (25.4%) than those who were positive for 12 other pooled hrHPV types (11.5%). Testing for hrHPV in women with LSIL is effective in identifying high‐grade cervical lesions, thereby avoiding unnecessary referrals to colposcopy and potential over‐treatment of non‐progressive lesions, especially for women aged ≥40 years.     

Performance of HPV DNA Testing with Hybrid Capture 2 in Triaging Women with Minor Cervical Cytologic Abnormalities (ASC-US/LSIL) in Northern Thailand

Background: Minor cervical cytologic abnormalities include atypical squamous cells of undeterminedsignificance (ASC-US) and low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL). Approximately 10-20% of womenwith minor cytologic abnormalities have histologic high-grade squamous intraepithelial or worse lesions (HSIL+).In Thailand, women with minor cytologic abnormalities have a relatively high risk of cervical cancer, and referralfor colposcopy has been suggested. A triage test is useful in the selection of women at risk for histologic HSIL+ toreduce the colposcopy burden. The aim of this study was to assess the performance of high-risk HPV DNA test intriage of women with minor cytologic abnormalities in northern Thailand. Materials and Methods: All womenwith ASC-US/LSIL cytology who were referred to our colposcopy clinic from October 2010 to February 2014were included. HPV DNA testing was performed using Hybrid Capture 2 (HC2). All patients received colposcopicexamination. Accuracy values of HC2 in predicting the presence of histologic HSIL+ were calculated. Results:There were 238 women in this study (121 ASC-US and 117 LSIL). The HC2 positivity rate was significantlyhigher in the LSIL group than in ASC-US group (74.8% versus 41.0%, p<0.001). Histologic HSIL+ was detectedin 9 women (7.4%) in the ASC-US group and 16 women (13.7%) in the LSIL group (p=0.141). There was nohistologic HSIL+ detected among HC2-negative cases (sensitivity and negative predictive value of 100%). Theperformance of HC2 triage was highest among women aged >50 years with ASC-US cytology. An increase in thecut-off threshold for positive HC2 resulted in a substantial decrease of sensitivity and negative predictive value.Conclusions: HPV DNA testing with HC2 shows very high sensitivity and negative predictive value in triage ofwomen with minor cervical cytologic abnormalities in northern Thailand. An increase of the cut-off thresholdfor HC2 triage is not recommended in this region.     

阴道镜结果正常或低度病变妇女发生宫颈癌前病变的前瞻性风险分层研究

  目的  探讨细胞学、高危型人乳头瘤病毒（high risk human papillomavirus,hrHPV）分型对于阴道镜结果正常或低级别鳞状上皮内病变（low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion,LSIL）妇女的风险预测作用。  方法  基于1999年6月在山西省建立的宫颈癌筛查队列,以2005年随访时阴道镜结果为正常或低度病变的596例妇女为研究对象,于2010年和2014年进行随访。分析hrHPV阴性组、hrHPV阳性组、HPV16/18阳性组、细胞学LSIL以下组和细胞学LSIL及以上组发生宫颈上皮内瘤样病变2级及以上（cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse,CIN2+）的瞬时、5年和9年累积风险和相对危险度。  结果  细胞学LSIL以下组发生CIN2+的瞬时、5年和9年累积风险分别为0.2%、2.8%和4.2%,细胞学LSIL及以上组相应的风险分别为14.7%（RR=73.8,95% CI为9.7~561.5）、40.0%（RR=16.0,95% CI为8.2~31.1）和51.4%（RR=15.0,95% CI为8.3~27.0）。hrHPV阴性组发生CIN2+的瞬时风险、5年和9年累积风险较低,分别为0.6%、2.7%和3.8%,hrHPV阳性和HPV16/18阳性组发生CIN2+的风险逐渐升高,其中HPV16/18阳性组的相应风险分别为13.2%（RR=23.4,95% CI为5.1~106.9）、36.9%（RR=15.4,95% CI为6.9~34.3）和42.6%（RR=14.1,95% CI为6.8~29.2）。  结论  阴道镜结果正常或LSIL妇女,若细胞学结果为LSIL及以上或HPV16/18阳性,未来进展为高度宫颈癌前病变的风险较高,细胞学和HPV16/18分型可用于该人群的临床分流管理。      

Evaluation of 14 triage strategies for HPV DNA-positive women in population-based cervical screening

High-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) testing has a higher sensitivity but lower specificity than cytology for detection of high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN). To avoid over-referral to colposcopy and overtreatment, hrHPV-positive women require triage testing and/or followup. A total of 25,658 women (30-60 years) enrolled in a population-based cohort study had an adequate baseline Pap smear and hrHPV test. The end-point was cumulative two-year risk of CIN grade 3 or worse (CIN3+). In a post-hoc analysis, fourteen triage/followup strategies for hrHPV-positive women (n = 1,303) were evaluated for colposcopy referral rate, positive (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). Five strategies involved triage testing without a repeat test and nine strategies involved triage testing followed by one repeat testing. The tests were cytology, hrHPV, HPV16/18 genotyping and HPV16/18/31/33/45 genotyping. Results were adjusted for women in the cohort study who did not attend repeat testing. Of the strategies without repeat testing, combined cytology and HPV16/18/31/33/45 genotyping gave the highest NPV of 98.9% (95%CI 97.6-99.5%). The corresponding colposcopy referral rate was 58.1% (95%CI 55.4-60.8%). Eight of the nine strategies with retesting had an estimated NPV of at least 98%. Of those, cytology triage followed by cytology at 12 months had a markedly lower colposcopy referral rate of 33.4% (95%CI 30.2-36.7%) than the other strategies. The NPV of the latter strategy was 99.3% (95%CI 98.1-99.8%). Triage hrHPV-positive women with cytology, followed by repeat cytology testing yielded a high NPV and modest colposcopy referral rate and appear to be the most feasible management strategy.     

Comparative performance evaluation of different HPV tests and triaging strategies using self-samples and feasibility assessment of thermal ablation in ‘colposcopy and treat’ approach: A population-based study in rural China

Human papillomavirus (HPV) test, self-sampling and thermal ablation for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) have been developed separately to increase screening coverage and treatment compliance of cervical cancer screening programmes. A large-scale study in rural China screened 9,526 women with their combinations to explore the optimal cervical cancer-screening cascade in the real-world. Participants received careHPV and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) HPV tests on self-collected samples. Women positive on either HPV test underwent colposcopy, biopsy and thermal ablation in a single visit. Samples positive on either HPV test were retested for genotyping. Absolute and relative performance of HPV tests, triage strategies, ‘colposcopy and thermal ablation’ approach were statistically evaluated. PCR HPV test detected 33.3% more CIN grade two or worse (CIN2+) at a cost of 28.1% more colposcopies compared to careHPV. Sensitivities of PCR HPV and careHPV tests to detect CIN2+ were 96.7 and 72.5%. Specificities for the same disease outcome were 82.1 and 86.0%. Triaging HPV-positive women with HPV16/18 genotyping considerably improved the positive predictive value for CIN2+ (4.8–5.0 to 18.2–19.2%). Ninety-six women positive on HPV and having abnormal colposcopy were eligible for thermal ablation and all accepted same-day treatment, contributing to 64.6% being treated appropriately (CIN1+ on histopathology), which reached up to 84.8% among women positive on HPV 16/18 triage. No serious side-effects/complications were reported. The combination of PCR HPV test followed by HPV 16/18 triaging on self-collected samples and colposcopy of triage positive women followed by immediate thermal ablation might be the appropriate screening cascade for rural China.     

P16/Ki-67 Dual Staining in Positive Human Papillomavirus DNA Testing for Predictive Diagnosis of Abnormal Cervical Lesions in Northeastern Thai Women

Objective: Cervical cancer screening can effectively reduce new cervical cancer cases, including in Thailand. The abnormal results are subsequently referred for colposcopy. To avoid unnecessary colposcopy, an efficient triage is still needed for validation. This study aimed to investigate the overall positivity of cytology-based screening, HPV detection, and p16/Ki-67 dual staining and evaluate different triage strategies for predictive diagnosis of abnormal cervical lesions in northeastern Thailand. Methods: Cervical cells were collected from 191 women who came for cervical screening in the gynecological outpatient department during March 2019-February 2020. Pap smear samples were classified into 6 groups including 17 atypical glandular cells (AGC), 21 atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US), 7 atypical squamous cells - cannot exclude HSIL (ASC-H), 26 low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSILs), 19 high-grade SILs (HSILs) and 101 no squamous intraepithelial lesion (noSIL). Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) was performed for HPV DNA detection. HPV genotyping was determined by reverse line blot hybridization. P16/Ki-67 dual staining was performed by using CINtec PLUS Cytology kit. Biopsies from abnormal screening were collected for surgical pathology classification. Results: High-risk HPV (HR-HPV) infection was 2.97%, 29.41%, 38.10%, 57.14%, 46.15% and 84.21% in noSIL, AGC, ASC-US, ASC-H, LSIL and HSIL cytology respectively. P16/ Ki-67 in noSIL, AGC, ASC-US, ASC-H, LSIL and HSIL was 0.99%, 5.88%, 9.52%, 42.86%, 26.92% and 63.16%, respectively (P-value < 0.001). Among p16/Ki-67 positive cases, 96.15% (25/26) were infected with HPV and 84.62% (22/26) were HR-HPV. The overall positivity of each and co-testing between cytology or HPV DNA testing or p16/Ki-67 dual staining was evaluated. In each cervical lesion, primary HPV DNA testing showed the highest sensitivity, but low specificity. The combined all HPV/HR-HPV with p16/Ki-67 detection increased the specificity of abnormal cervical lesions. Conclusion: P16/Ki-67 dual stain cytology in HPV-positive women performs well for diagnosis of abnormal cervical lesions and should be considered for management of HPV-positive women to avoid unnecessary colposcopy referrals.     

Triaging HPV‐positive women with normal cytology by p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stained cytology testing: Baseline and longitudinal data

Primary human papillomavirus (HPV)‐based screening results in a 2–5% lower specificity for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia Grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) compared to Pap cytology. To identify HPV‐positive women with CIN2+, we retrospectively evaluated the cross‐sectional and longitudinal performance of p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stained cytology in HPV‐positive women with normal cytology participating in population‐based cervical screening. Conventional Pap cytology specimens of 847 of these women derived from the VUSA‐Screen study were dual‐stained for p16/Ki‐67. Cross‐sectional clinical performance in detecting CIN3 or worse (CIN3+), and CIN2+ was compared to that of baseline HPV genotyping. Moreover, 5‐year cumulative incidence risks (CIR) for CIN3+ (CIN2+) were determined. The sensitivity of p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stained cytology for CIN3+ (CIN2+) was 73.3% (68.8%) with a specificity of 70.0% (72.8%). HPV16/18 genotyping showed a sensitivity for CIN3+ (CIN2+) of 46.7% (43.8%), with a specificity of 78.3% (79.4%). The 5‐year CIR for CIN3+ in HPV‐positive women with normal cytology was 6.9%. Testing these women with p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stained cytology resulted in a significantly lower CIN3+ 5‐year CIR of 3.3% (p = 0.017) in case of a negative test result. A negative HPV16/18 genotyping test result also led to a lower 5‐year CIN3+ CIR of 3.6%. p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stained cytology detects more than 70% of underlying CIN3+ lesions in HPV‐positive women with normal cytology at baseline and is therefore suitable for triaging these women to colposcopy. Furthermore, the CIN3+ 5‐year CIR of 3.3% after a negative dual‐stain result is significantly lower compared to the 5‐year CIR of 6.9% in women without p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stained cytology triage.     

Comparison of three management strategies for patients with atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance: baseline results from a randomized trial

BACKGROUND: More than 2 million U.S. women receive an equivocal cervical cytologic diagnosis (atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance [ASCUS]) each year. Effective colposcopy triage strategies are needed to identify the minority of women who have clinically significant disease while avoiding excessive follow-up evaluation for others. METHODS: The ASCUS/LSIL (i.e., low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) Triage Study (ALTS) is a multicenter, randomized trial comparing the sensitivity and specificity of the following three management strategies to detect cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 (CIN3): 1) immediate colposcopy (considered to be the reference standard), 2) triage to colposcopy based on human papillomavirus (HPV) results from Hybrid Capture 2(TM) (HC 2) and thin-layer cytology results, or 3) triage based on cytology results alone. This article summarizes the cross-sectional enrollment results for 3488 women with a referral diagnosis of ASCUS. All statistical tests are two-sided. RESULTS: Among participants with ASCUS, the underlying prevalence of histologically confirmed CIN3 was 5.1%. Sensitivity to detect CIN3 or above by testing for cancer-associated HPV DNA was 96.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 91.6% to 98.8%), with 56.1% of women referred to colposcopy. Sensitivity of a single repeat cytology specimen with a triage threshold of HSIL or above was 44.1% (95% CI = 35.6% to 52.9%), with 6.9% referred. Sensitivity of a lower cytology triage threshold of ASCUS or above was 85.3% (95% CI = 78.2% to 90.8%), with 58.6% referred. CONCLUSIONS: HC 2 testing for cancer-associated HPV DNA is a viable option in the management of women with ASCUS. It has greater sensitivity to detect CIN3 or above and specificity comparable to a single additional cytologic test indicating ASCUS or above.     

Evaluation of cytology and visual triage of human papillomavirus‐positive women in cervical cancer prevention in India

Although virtually all cervical cancers and most cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) are caused by persistent human papillomavirus (HPV) infection, only a small proportion of HPV‐positive women have or will develop CIN. Triaging HPV‐positive women has been suggested to reduce the false‐positive rate and proportion of women referred for CIN confirmation and/or treatment. In two cross‐sectional studies and one randomized trial in India, we evaluated the impact of using cytology or visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) to triage HPV‐positive women on the proportion of women who would be referred for CIN confirmation and on the detection rates of high‐grade CIN. We present the numbers of HPV test‐positive women found and the CIN detected among them. We further assess the proportions that would be referred for CIN confirmation with colposcopy/biopsy and CIN that would be detected if cytology triage or VIA triage were used. Using cytology triage at atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance threshold or VIA triage reduced referrals for colposcopy by about 62% and 59%, respectively (p‐value = 0.012), but missed around 16% and 18%, respectively, of the high‐grade CIN (p‐value = 0.539) indicating similar performance of both triaging approaches. The choice of a triage test in different low‐ and middle‐income countries (LMIC) would depend on the availability and affordability in the particular setting. Cytology triage may be considered in settings where adequate infrastructure exists, whereas VIA triage may be suitable in settings with limited or no cytology infrastructure.     

Validation of a DNA methylation HPV triage classifier in a screening sample

High‐risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) DNA tests have excellent sensitivity for detection of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 or higher (CIN2+). A drawback of hrHPV screening, however, is modest specificity. Therefore, hrHPV‐positive women might need triage to reduce adverse events and costs associated with unnecessary colposcopy. We compared the performance of HPV16/18 genotyping with a predefined DNA methylation triage test (S5) based on target regions of the human gene EPB41L3, and viral late gene regions of HPV16, HPV18, HPV31 and HPV33. Assays were run using exfoliated cervical specimens from 710 women attending routine screening, of whom 38 were diagnosed with CIN2+ within a year after triage to colposcopy based on cytology and 341 were hrHPV positive. Sensitivity and specificity of the investigated triage methods were compared by McNemar's test. At the predefined cutoff, S5 showed better sensitivity than HPV16/18 genotyping (74% vs 54%, P = 0.04) in identifying CIN2+ in hrHPV‐positive women, and similar specificity (65% vs 71%, P = 0.07). When the S5 cutoff was altered to allow equal sensitivity to that of genotyping, a significantly higher specificity of 91% was reached (P < 0.0001). Thus, a DNA methylation test for the triage of hrHPV‐positive women on original screening specimens might be a valid approach with better performance than genotyping.     

A cohort study of cervical screening using partial HPV typing and cytology triage

HPV testing is more sensitive than cytology for cervical screening. However, to incorporate HPV tests into screening, risk‐stratification (“triage”) of HPV‐positive women is needed to avoid excessive colposcopy and overtreatment. We prospectively evaluated combinations of partial HPV typing (Onclarity, BD) and cytology triage, and explored whether management could be simplified, based on grouping combinations yielding similar 3‐year or 18‐month CIN3+ risks. We typed ～9,000 archived specimens, taken at enrollment (2007–2011) into the NCI‐Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) HPV Persistence and Progression (PaP) cohort. Stratified sampling, with reweighting in the statistical analysis, permitted risk estimation of HPV/cytology combinations for the 700,000+‐woman KPNC screening population. Based on 3‐year CIN3+ risks, Onclarity results could be combined into five groups (HPV16, else HPV18/45, else HPV31/33/58/52, else HPV51/35/39/68/56/66/68, else HPV negative); cytology results fell into three risk groups (“high‐grade,” ASC‐US/LSIL, NILM). For the resultant 15 HPV group‐cytology combinations, 3‐year CIN3+ risks ranged 1,000‐fold from 60.6% to 0.06%. To guide management, we compared the risks to established “benchmark” risk/management thresholds in this same population (e.g., LSIL predicted 3‐year CIN3+ risk of 5.8% in the screening population, providing the benchmark for colposcopic referral). By benchmarking to 3‐year risk thresholds (supplemented by 18‐month estimates), the widely varying risk strata could be condensed into four action bands (very high risk of CIN3+ mandating consideration of cone biopsy if colposcopy did not find precancer; moderate risk justifying colposcopy; low risk managed by intensified follow‐up to permit HPV “clearance”; and very low risk permitting routine screening.) Overall, the results support primary HPV testing, with management of HPV‐positive women using partial HPV typing and cytology.     

Risk assessment to guide cervical screening strategies in a large Chinese population

Three different cervical screening methods [cytology, human papillomavirus(HPV) testing and visual inspection with acetic acid(VIA)] are being considered in China for the national cervical screening program. Comparing risks of CIN3 and cervical cancer (CIN3+) for different results can inform test choice and management guidelines. We evaluated the immediate risk of CIN3+ for different screening results generated from individual and combined tests. We compared tests using a novel statistic designed for this purpose called Mean Risk Stratification (MRS), in a pooled analysis of 17 cross sectional population‐based studies of 30,371Chinese women screened with all 3 methods and diagnosed by colposcopically‐directed biopsies. The 3 tests combined powerfully distinguished CIN3+ risk; triple‐negative screening conferred a risk of 0.01%, while HPV‐positive HSIL+ that was VIA‐positive yielded a risk of 57.8%. Among the three screening tests, HPV status most strongly stratified CIN3+ risk. Among HPV‐positive women, cytology was the more useful second test. In HPV‐negative women, the immediate risks of CIN3+ ranged from 0.01% (negative cytology), 0.00% (ASC‐US), 1.1% (LSIL), to 6.6 (HSIL+). In HPV‐positive women, the CIN3+ risks were 0.9% (negative cytology), 3.6% (ASC‐US), 6.3% (LSIL) and 38.5% (HSIL+). VIA results did not meaningful stratify CIN3+ risk among HPV‐negative women with negative or ASC‐US cytology; however, positive VIA substantially elevated CIN3+ risk for all other, more positive combinations of HPV and cytology compared with a negative VIA. Because all 3 screening tests had independent value in defining risk of CIN3+, different combinations can be optimized as pragmatic strategies in different resource settings.     

p16/ki-67 dual-stain cytology in the triage of ASCUS and LSIL papanicolaou cytology: results from the European equivocal or mildly abnormal Papanicolaou cytology study

BACKGROUND:

The objective of this study was to analyze the diagnostic performance of a newly established immunocytochemical dual‐stain protocol, which simultaneously detects p16^INK4a and Ki‐67 expression in cervical cytology samples, for identifying high‐grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2+) in women with Papanicolaou (Pap) cytology results categorized as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASCUS) or low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSIL).

METHODS:

Residual liquid‐based cytology material from 776 retrospectively collected ASCUS/LSIL cases that were available from a recent study evaluating p16 cytology and HPV testing were subjected to p16/Ki‐67 dual staining. The presence of 1 or more double‐immunoreactive cell(s) was regarded as a positive test outcome, irrespective of morphology. Test results were correlated to histology follow‐up.

RESULTS:

Sensitivity of p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stain cytology for biopsy‐confirmed CIN2+ was 92.2% (ASCUS) and 94.2% (LSIL), while specificity rates were 80.6% (ASCUS) and 68.0% (LSIL), respectively. Similar sensitivity/specificity profiles were found for both age groups of women aged <30 years versus women aged ≥30 years. Dual‐stain cytology showed comparable sensitivity, but significantly higher specificity, when compared with human papillomavirus (HPV) testing.

CONCLUSIONS:

The results of this study show that p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stain cytology provided a high sensitivity for the detection of underlying CIN2+ in women with ASCUS or LSIL Pap cytology results, comparable to the rates previously reported for HPV testing and p16 single‐stain cytology. However, the specificity of this morphology‐independent interpretation of p16/Ki‐67 dual‐stain cytology testing was further improved compared with the earlier p16 single‐stain cytology approach, which required morphology interpretation, and it is significantly higher when compared with HPV testing. Cancer (Cancer Cytopathol) 2011;. © 2011 American Cancer Society.     

Test positivity cutoff level of a high risk human papillomavirus test could be increased in routine cervical cancer screening

We present data on test positivity, relative sensitivity, rates of detection and relative specificity for primary human papillomavirus (HPV) testing with different cutoff levels for test positivity, in comparison to conventional cytology. In 2003-2004, 18,438 women were screened primarily with Hybrid Capture 2 (HC 2) assay, a test for oncogenic HPV DNA, and 21,446 with conventional cytology within the organised screening programme in Finland. A cytological triage test was performed for the HPV positives. Women with cytology equal to low grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) or worse were referred for colposcopy. The relative sensitivity measured as relative risk (RR) of any cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) or cancer was 1.58 for the HPV test at the relative light units (rlu) ratio cutoff 1.00, in comparison to cytology. With the cutoff 3.00, all CIN 2+ lesions were detected. With cutoff 10.00, 2 of the 22 CIN 3+ lesions were missed. Relative specificity for HPV screening for any CIN was 92.6% at cutoff 1.00, 94.6% at cutoff 3.00 and 96.3% at cutoff 10.00. For CIN 3+ specificity estimates for these cutoffs were 92.1%, 94.1% and 95.8%, respectively. Used for routine screening as the sole test, the HPV test cutoff can be increased from the level recommended for clinical use. With HC 2, the detection rate at rlu ratio cutoff 10.00 is still at the level of high-quality conventional screening. At that level, the false positive rate is reduced by about half and the specificity of the HPV test becomes equal to the average specificity of conventional cytology.     

Use of high-risk human papillomavirus testing in patients with low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions

BACKGROUND

The role of testing for high‐risk human papillomavirus (HR HPV) when triaging women with a cytologic diagnosis of low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) has not been well established. The objective of the current study was to correlate the status of HR HPV with the incidence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and more severe lesions (CIN 2+) on tissue follow‐up in women with LSIL.

METHODS

A total of 1046 women with LSIL and HR HPV testing were identified in the database of a large teaching hospital within a 12‐month period. HR HPV testing was performed using the Hybrid Capture 2 assay with 1 relative light unit/cutoff as the cutoff.

RESULTS

Of the 1046 women with LSIL and concurrent HR HPV testing, 82.3% tested positive for HR HPV, 91.1% of whom were women aged < 30 years and 73% of whom were women aged ≥ 30 years (P < .001). Cytologic and/or histologic follow‐up was available in 979 (93.6%) women; 25.5% had negative follow‐up, 62.5% were found to have CIN 1 lesions, and 12.0% had CIN 2+ lesions. The sensitivity and negative predictive value of HR HPV status as a marker of CIN 2+ lesions were 98.3% and 98.9%, respectively. The colposcopy rate was 73.3% and 96.9% for women aged ≥ 30 years and women aged < 30 years, respectively (P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Using 1 RLU/CO as the cutoff value, HR HPV testing was found to be highly sensitive for detecting CIN 2+ lesions in women with LSIL. The colposcopy rate was significantly lower in women aged ≥ 30 years compared with women aged < 30 years. Triaging with HR HPV testing may be indicated in women aged ≥ 30 years with LSIL cytology, but not in women aged < 30 years. Cancer (Cancer Cytopathol) 2011;. © 2011 American Cancer Society.     

Subsequent risks for cervical precancer and cancer in women with low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions unconfirmed by colposcopy-directed biopsy: results from a multicenter, prospective, cohort study

Objective

To investigate the natural course of low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSILs) that cannot be histologically confirmed by colposcopy-directed biopsy.

Methods

In a multicenter, prospective, cohort study of Japanese women with LSILs, we analyzed the follow-up data from 64 women who had a negative biopsy result at the initial colposcopy (biopsy-negative LSIL) in comparison with those from 479 women who had a histologic diagnosis of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1 (LSIL/CIN1). Patients were monitored by cytology and colposcopy every 4?months for a mean follow-up period of 39.0?months, with cytologic regression defined as two consecutive negative smears and normal colposcopy.

Results

In women with biopsy-negative LSILs, there were no cases of CIN3 or worse (CIN3+) diagnosed within 2?years; the difference in the 2-year risk of CIN3+?between the two groups was marginally significant (0 vs. 5.5%; P?=?0.07). The cumulative probability of cytologic regression within 12?months was much higher in the biopsy-negative LSIL group (71.2 vs. 48.6%; P?=?0.0001). The percentage of women positive for high-risk human papillomaviruses (hrHPVs) was significantly lower in the biopsy-negative LSIL group than in the LSIL/CIN1 group (62.1 vs. 78.4%; P?=?0.01); however, the 12-month regression rate of biopsy-negative LSIL was similar between hrHPV-positive and -negative women (67.3 vs. 74.4%, P?=?0.73).

Conclusion

In women with biopsy-negative LSILs, the risk of CIN3+?diagnosed within 2?years was low; furthermore, approximately 70% underwent cytologic regression within 12?months, regardless of HPV testing results. Biopsy-negative LSILs may represent regressing lesions rather than lesions missed by colposcopy.