Age-Related 2-Year Mortality After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: the YOUNG TAVR Registry

ObjectiveTo comparatively assess the natural history of patients of different ages undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).Patients and MethodsFor this study, we used the YOUNG TAVR, an international, multicenter registry investigating mortality trends up to 2 years in patients with aortic valve stenosis treated by TAVR, classified according to 3 prespecified age groups: 75 years or younger (n=179), 76 to 86 years (n=602), and older than 86 years (n=221). A total of 1002 patients undergoing TAVR were included. Demographic, clinical, and outcome data in the youngest group were compared with those of patients 76 to 86 years and older than 86 years. Patients were followed up for up to 2 years.ResultsCompared with patients 75 years or younger (reference group), patients aged 76 to 86 years and older than 86 years had nonsignificantly different 30-day mortality (odds ratio, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.41-1.38; P=.37 and odds ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.62-2.60; P=.51, respectively) and 1-year mortality (hazard ratio (HR), 0.72; 95% CI, 0.48-1.09; P=.12 and HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.88-1.40; P=.34, respectively). Mortality at 2 years was significantly lower among patients aged 76 to 86 years (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.42-0.90; P=.01) but not among the older group (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.68-1.67; P=.79). The Society of Thoracic Surgeons 30-day mortality score was lower in younger patients who, however, had a significantly higher prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (P=.005 vs the intermediate group and P=.02 vs the older group) and bicuspid aortic valves (P=.02 vs both older groups), larger left ventricles, and lower ejection fractions.ConclusionIn the present registry, mortality at 2 years after TAVR among patients 75 years or younger was higher compared with that of patients aged 75 to 86 years and was not markedly different from that of patients older than 86 years. The findings are attributable at least in part to a greater burden of comorbidities in the younger age group that are not entirely captured by current risk assessment tools.     

Lower Extremity Arterial Disease as a Predictor of Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Cardiovascular Events

ObjectiveTo evaluate the relationship between peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and its clinical and pathophysiologic implications on ischemic stroke and all-cause mortality.Patients and MethodsWe identified all adult patients in the Mayo Clinic Health System without a previous diagnosis of AF undergoing ankle-brachial index (ABI) testing for any indication from January 1, 1996, to June 30, 2018. Retrospective extraction of ABI data and baseline echocardiographic data was performed. The primary outcome of interest was incident AF. The secondary outcomes of interest were incident ischemic stroke and all-cause mortality.ResultsA total of 33,734 patients were included in the study. After adjusting for demographic and comorbidity variables, compared with patients who had normal ABI (1.0 to 1.39), there was an increased risk of incident AF in patients with low ABI (<1.0) (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.22) and elevated ABI (≥1.4) (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.31). The risk was greater in patients with increasing severity of PAD. Patients with abnormal ABIs had an increased risk of ischemic stroke and all-cause mortality. We found that patients with PAD and incident AF have certain baseline echocardiographic abnormalities.ConclusionIn this large cohort of ambulatory patients undergoing ABI measurement, patients with PAD were at increased risk for incident AF, ischemic stroke, and mortality. In these high-risk patients with abnormal ABI, particularly severe PAD and cardiac structural abnormalities, routine monitoring for AF and management of cardiovascular risk factors may be warranted.     

Tricuspid Regurgitation Impact on Outcomes (TRIO): A Simple Clinical Risk Score

ObjectiveTo determine which clinical variables infer the highest risk for mortality in patients with notable tricuspid regurgitation (TR) and to develop a clinical assessment tool (the Tricuspid Regurgitation Impact on Outcomes [TRIO] score).Patients and MethodsA single-center retrospective cohort of 13,608 patients with undifferentiated moderate to severe TR at the time of index echocardiography between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2016, was included. Baseline demographic and clinical data were obtained. Patients were randomly assigned to a training (N=10,205) and a validation (N=3403) cohort. Median follow-up was 6.5 years (interquartile range, 0.8 to 11.0 years). Variables associated with mortality were identified by Cox proportional hazards methods. A geographically distinct cohort of 7138 patients was used for further validation. The primary end point was all-cause mortality over 10 years.ResultsThe 5-year probability of death was 53% for moderate TR, 63% for moderate-severe TR (hazard ratio [HR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.17 to 1.31]; P<.001 vs moderate), and 71% for severe TR (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.47 to 1.64]; P<.001 vs moderate). Factors associated with all-cause mortality on multivariate analysis included age 70 years or older, male sex, creatinine level greater than 2 mg/dL, congestive heart failure, chronic lung disease, aspartate aminotransferase level of 40 U/L or greater, heart rate of 90 beats/min or greater, and severe TR. Variables were assigned 1 or 2 points (HR, >1.5) and added to compute the TRIO score. The score was associated with all-cause mortality (C statistic = 0.67) and was able to separate patients into risk categories. Findings were similar in the second, independent and geographically distinct cohort.ConclusionThe TRIO score is a simple clinical tool for risk assessment in patients with notable TR. Future prospective studies to validate its use are warranted.     

Electrocardiography-Based Artificial Intelligence Algorithm Aids in Prediction of Long-term Mortality After Cardiac Surgery

ObjectiveTo assess whether an electrocardiography-based artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm developed to detect severe ventricular dysfunction (left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] of 35% or below) independently predicts long-term mortality after cardiac surgery among patients without severe ventricular dysfunction (LVEF>35%).MethodsPatients who underwent valve or coronary bypass surgery at Mayo Clinic (1993-2019) and had documented LVEF above 35% on baseline electrocardiography were included. We compared patients with an abnormal vs a normal AI-enhanced electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) screen for LVEF of 35% or below on preoperative electrocardiography. The primary end point was all-cause mortality.ResultsA total of 20,627 patients were included, of whom 17,125 (83.0%) had a normal AI-ECG screen and 3502 (17.0%) had an abnormal AI-ECG screen. Patients with an abnormal AI-ECG screen were older and had more comorbidities. Probability of survival at 5 and 10 years was 86.2% and 68.2% in patients with a normal AI-ECG screen vs 71.4% and 45.1% in those with an abnormal screen (log-rank, P<.01). In the multivariate Cox survival analysis, the abnormal AI-ECG screen was independently associated with a higher all-cause mortality overall (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31; 95% CI, 1.24 to 1.37) and in subgroups of isolated valve surgery (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.42), isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.20 to 1.39), and combined coronary artery bypass grafting and valve surgery (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.32). In a subgroup analysis, the association between abnormal AI-ECG screen and mortality was consistent in patients with LVEF of 35% to 55% and among those with LVEF above 55%.ConclusionA novel electrocardiography-based AI algorithm that predicts severe ventricular dysfunction can predict long-term mortality among patients with LVEF above 35% undergoing valve and/or coronary bypass surgery.     

Prevalence and Natural History of Mitral Annulus Calcification and Related Valve Dysfunction

ObjectiveTo evaluate the prevalence and natural history of mitral annulus calcification (MAC) and associated mitral valve dysfunction (MVD) in patients undergoing clinically indicated echocardiography.MethodsA retrospective review was conducted of all adults who underwent echocardiography in 2015. Mitral valve dysfunction was defined as mitral regurgitation or mitral stenosis (MS) of moderate or greater severity. All-cause mortality during 3.0 (0.4 to 4.2) years of follow-up was compared between groups stratified according to the presence of MAC or MVD.ResultsOf 24,414 evaluated patients, 5502 (23%) had MAC. Patients with MAC were older (75±10 years vs 60±16 years; P<.001) and more frequently had MVD (MS: 6.6% vs 0.5% [P<.001]; mitral regurgitation without MS: 9.5% vs 6.1% [P<.001]). Associated with MS in patients with MAC were aortic valve dysfunction, female sex, chest irradiation, renal dysfunction, and coronary artery disease. Kaplan-Meier 1-year survival was 76% in MAC+/MVD+, 87% in MAC+/MVD?, 86% in MAC?/MVD+, and 92% in MAC?/MVD?. Adjusted for age, diabetes, renal dysfunction, cancer, chest irradiation, ejection fraction below 50%, aortic stenosis, tricuspid regurgitation, and pulmonary hypertension, MAC was associated with higher mortality during follow-up (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.31 to 1.49; P<.001); MVD was associated with even higher mortality in patients with MAC (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.58 to 2.01; P<.001). There was no significant interaction between MAC and MVD for mortality (P=.10).ConclusionIn a large cohort of adults undergoing echocardiography, the prevalence of MAC was 23%. Mitral valve dysfunction was more than twice as prevalent in patients with MAC. Adjusted mortality was increased in patients with MAC and worse with both MAC and MVD.     

Right Ventricular Enlargement and Dysfunction Are Associated With Increased All-Cause Mortality in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

ObjectiveTo assess whether right ventricular enlargement (RVE) and right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) adversely affect prognosis in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM).Patients and MethodsData were retrieved from Mayo Clinic’s prospectively collected HCM registry between January 1, 2000, and September 30, 2012. Right ventricle (RV) size and function were semiquantitatively categorized via echocardiography as normal (RV-Norm) versus abnormal (RV-Abn) (RVE or RVD). All-cause mortality was the primary endpoint.ResultsOf 1878 HCM patients studied (mean age 53±15 years; 41.6% female), only 71 (3.8%) had RV-Abn (24 RVE, 28 RVD, 19 combined RVE and RVD). Compared with HCM patients with RV-Norm, RV-Abn patients were older (57±14 vs 53±15 years, P=.02), more symptomatic (New York Heart Association functional class III-IV in 62.0% vs 48.6%, P=.03), had more atrial fibrillation (53.5% vs 17.3%, P<.001), and more prior implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation (23.9% vs 11.3%, P=.02). Median follow-up was 9.4 years with 311 deaths. Patients who were RV-Abn had higher all-cause mortality compared with RV-Norm (log-rank P<.001); 24.1% (95% CI, 15.5% to 35.3%) vs 6.1% (95% CI, 5.1% to 7.3%) at 5 years. In multivariable Cox modeling, RV-Abn (hazard ratio, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.18 to 3.03; P=.008) was associated independently with all-cause mortality after adjusting for age, female sex, New York Heart Association functional class, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, coronary artery disease, implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation, beta blocker use, prior septal reduction therapy, resting LV outflow tract gradient, maximal LV wall thickness, and moderate or greater tricuspid regurgitation.ConclusionAlthough perturbations in RV size and function were observed in fewer than 5% of patients with HCM, they were associated with nearly two-fold higher all-cause mortality at long-term follow-up.     

Alcohol Consumption Levels as Compared With Drinking Habits in Predicting All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Current Drinkers

ObjectiveTo investigate the joint associations of amounts of alcohol consumed and drinking habits with the risks of all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality.Patients and MethodsA total of 316,627 healthy current drinkers, with baseline measurements between March 13, 2006, and October 1, 2010, were included in this study. We newly created a drinking habit score (DHS) according to regular drinking (frequency of alcohol intake ≥3 times/wk) and whether consuming alcohol with meals (yes).ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 8.9 years, we documented 8652 incident cases of all-cause death, including 1702 cases of cardiovascular disease death, 4960 cases of cancer death, and 1990 cases of other-cause death. After adjustment confounders and amount of alcohol consumed, higher DHS was significantly associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease mortality, cancer mortality, or other-cause mortality (P_trend<.001, P_trend=.03, P_trend<.001, and P_trend<.001, respectively). We observed that the amount of alcohol consumed have different relationships with the risks of all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality among participants with distinct drinking habits, grouped by DHS. For example, in the joint analyses, a J-shaped association between the amount of alcohol consumed and all-cause mortality was observed in participants with unfavorable DHS (P_{quadratic trend}=.02) while the association appeared to be U-shaped in participants with favorable DHS (P_{quadratic trend}=.003), with lower risks in those consuming greater than or equal to 50 g/wk and less than 300 g/wk.ConclusionOur results indicate that alcohol consumption levels have different relationships with the risk of mortality among current drinkers, depending on their drinking habits.     

Impact of Pulmonary Hypertension on In-Hospital Outcomes and 30-Day Readmissions Following Percutaneous Coronary Interventions

ObjectiveTo evaluate the impact of pulmonary hypertension (PH) on percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) outcomes and 30-day all-cause readmissions by analyzing a national database.MethodsWe queried the 2014 National Readmissions Database to identify patients undergoing PCI using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. These patients were then subcategorized based on the coded presence or absence of PH and further analyzed to determine the impact of PH on clinical outcomes, health care use, and 30-day readmissions.ResultsAmong 599,490 patients hospitalized for a PCI in 2014, 19,348 (3.2%) had concomitant PH. At baseline, these patients were older with a higher burden of comorbidities. Patients with PH had longer initial hospitalizations and higher 30-day readmission rates and mortality than their non-PH counterparts. This was largely driven by cardiac causes, most commonly heart failure (20.3% vs 9.0%, P<.001) and non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Recurrent coronary events (17.5% vs 9.5%, P<.05) including ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction predominated in the non-PH group.ConclusionPatients with PH undergoing PCI are a high-risk group in terms of mortality and 30-day readmission rates. Percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with PH is associated with higher rates of recurrent heart failure and non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, rather than recurrent coronary events or ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. This perhaps indicates a predominance of demand ischemia and heart failure syndromes rather than overt atherothrombosis in the etiology of chest pain in these patients.     

Survival in 222 Patients With Severe CSCI: An 8-Year Epidemiologic Survey in Western China

ObjectiveTo assess the survival and the predictors of mortality in patients with severe cervical spinal cord injuries (CSCI).DesignRetrospective study.ParticipantsFrom January 1, 2010, to May 31, 2018, patients who suffered from severe CSCIs in Western China were enrolled in this study (N=222).InterventionsNot applicable.Main Outcome MeasuresSurvival rates and mortality risk factors. Measures were calculated by the product-limit method (Kaplan-Meier) and the Cox model.ResultsThe overall 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 8-year postoperative mortalities were 24.4%, 30.6%, 33.3%, 36.2%, and 39.0%, respectively. Most deaths occurred within 36 months after the injury. According to the Cox proportional hazards model, the significant predictors of survival were as follows: (1) age; (2) neurologic level; (3) treatment options (surgical or conservative); (4) ventilator support (P<.05). The 8-year mortality for older patients (>50y) was 50.2%, which was significantly higher than that for younger patients (32.4%, <50y). The risk of death was 2.053 times higher in higher levels of injury (C1-C4) than in lower levels of injury (C5-C8) (P<.05). Compared with conservative treatment, patients who received surgical treatment (either anterior or posterior decompression) had a lower risk of death (P<.05). No significant difference was detected in the risk of death between early surgery (<3d) and mid-term surgery (3-7d) (P>.05). However, patients who received late-term surgery (>7d) had a higher mortality risk (P<.05). The overall 8-year mortality risk of patients who needed ventilator support was much higher than those who did not need ventilator support (P<.05).ConclusionsAge, neurologic level, ventilator dependence, treatment options, and timing to surgery were main risk factors for mortality in patients with severe CSCIs. Better understanding of the predictors for survival could possibly contribute to the improvement of survival rates.     

Clinical Characteristics,Management Strategies and Outcomes of Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients With Prior Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

ObjectiveTo investigate the management strategies, temporal trends, and clinical outcomes of patients with a history of coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery and presenting with acute myocardial infarction (MI).Patients and MethodsWe undertook a retrospective cohort study using the National Inpatient Sample database from the United States (January 2004–September 2015), identified all inpatient MI admissions (7,250,768 records) and stratified according to history of CABG (group 1, CABG-naive [94%]; group 2, prior CABG [6%]).ResultsPatients in group 2 were older, less likely to be female, had more comorbidities, and were more likely to present with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction compared with group 1. More patients underwent coronary angiography (68% vs 48%) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) (44% vs 26%) in group 1 compared with group 2. Following multivariable logistic regression analyses, the adjusted odd ratio (OR) of in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.95 to 1.005; P=.11), all-cause mortality (OR, 1; 95% CI, 0.98 to 1.04; P=.6) and major bleeding (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.03; P=.54) were similar to group 1. Lower adjusted odds of in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (OR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.57 to 0.72; P<.001), all-cause mortality (OR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.53; P<.001), and acute ischemic stroke (OR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.59 to 0.86; P<.001) were observed in group 2 patients who underwent PCI compared with those managed medically without any increased risk of major bleeding (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.23; P=.26).ConclusionsIn this national cohort, MI patients with prior-CABG had a higher risk profile, but similar in-hospital adverse outcomes compared with CABG-naive patients. Prior-CABG patients who received PCI had better in-hospital clinical outcomes compared to those who received medical management.     

Synergistic Assessment of Mortality Risk According to Body Mass Index and Exercise Ability and Capacity in Patients Referred for Radionuclide Stress Testing

ObjectiveTo determine the interrelationship between body mass index (BMI), mode of stress testing (exercise or pharmacological), exercise capacity, and all-cause mortality in patients referred for stress-rest single photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging.Patients and MethodsWe evaluated all-cause mortality in 21,638 patients undergoing stress-rest single photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging between January 2, 1991, and December 31, 2012. Patients were divided into exercise and pharmacologically tested groups and 9 BMI categories. The median follow-up was 12.8 years (range, 5.0-26.8 years).ResultsIn exercise patients, mortality was increased with both low and high BMI vs patients with a normal referent BMI of 22.5 to 24.9 kg/m². In pharmacologically tested patients, only low BMI, but not high BMI, was associated with increased mortality vs normal BMI. When exercise and pharmacologically tested groups were compared directly, pharmacologically tested patients manifested a marked increase in mortality risk vs exercise patients within each BMI category, ranging from an approximately 4-fold increase in mortality in those with normal or high BMI to a 12.3-fold increase in those with low BMI values. Similar findings were observed in a cohort of 4804 exercise and 4804 pharmacologically tested patients matched to have similar age and coronary artery disease risk factor profiles. In exercise patients, further risk stratification was achieved when considering both BMI and metabolic equivalent tasks of achieved exercise.ConclusionThe combined assessment of BMI and exercise ability and capacity provides synergistic and marked risk stratification of future mortality risk in patients referred for radionuclide stress testing, providing considerable insights into the “obesity paradox” that is observed in populations referred for stress testing.     

Vitamin D Status Is Associated With In-Hospital Mortality and Mechanical Ventilation: A Cohort of COVID-19 Hospitalized Patients

ObjectiveTo explore the possible associations of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentration with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in-hospital mortality and need for invasive mechanical ventilation.Patients and MethodsA retrospective, observational, cohort study was conducted at 2 tertiary academic medical centers in Boston and New York. Eligible participants were hospitalized adult patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 between February 1, 2020, and May 15, 2020. Demographic and clinical characteristics, comorbidities, medications, and disease-related outcomes were extracted from electronic medical records.ResultsThe final analysis included 144 patients with confirmed COVID-19 (median age, 66 years; 64 [44.4%] male). Overall mortality was 18%, whereas patients with 25(OH)D levels of 30 ng/mL (to convert to nmol/L, multiply by 2.496) and higher had lower rates of mortality compared with those with 25(OH)D levels below 30 ng/mL (9.2% vs 25.3%; P=.02). In the adjusted multivariable analyses, 25(OH)D as a continuous variable was independently significantly associated with lower in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90 to 0.98; P=.007) and need for invasive mechanical ventilation (odds ratio, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.93 to 0.99; P=.01). Similar data were obtained when 25(OH)D was studied as a continuous variable after logarithm transformation and as a dichotomous (<30 ng/mL vs ≥30 ng/mL) or ordinal variable (quintiles) in the multivariable analyses.ConclusionAmong patients admitted with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, 25(OH)D levels were inversely associated with in-hospital mortality and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation. Further observational studies are needed to confirm these findings, and randomized clinical trials must be conducted to assess the role of vitamin D administration in improving the morbidity and mortality of COVID-19.     

Predicting 1-Year Mortality on Admission Using the Mayo Cardiac Intensive Care Unit Admission Risk Score

ObjectiveTo determine whether the Mayo Cardiac Intensive Care Unit (CICU) Admission Risk Score (M-CARS) accurately predicts 1-year mortality.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed adult CICU patients admitted from January 1, 2007, through April 30, 2018, and calculated M-CARS using admission data. We examined the association between admission M-CARS, as continuous and categorical variables, and 1-year mortality.ResultsThis study included 12,428 unique patients with a mean age of 67.6±15.2 years (4686 [37.7%] female). A total of 2839 patients (22.8%) died within 1 year of admission, including 1149 (9.2%) hospital deaths and 1690 (15.0%) of the 11,279 hospital survivors. The 1-year survival decreased incrementally as a function of increasing M-CARS (P<.001), and all components of M-CARS were significant predictors of 1-year mortality (P<.001). The 1-year survival among hospital survivors decreased incrementally as a function of increasing M-CARS for scores below 3 (all P<.001); however, there was no further decrease in 1-year survival for hospital survivors with M-CARS of 3 or more (P=.99). The M-CARS components associated with 1-year mortality among hospital survivors included blood urea nitrogen, red blood cell distribution width, Braden skin score, and respiratory failure (all P<.001).ConclusionM-CARS predicted 1-year mortality among CICU admissions, with a plateau effect at high M-CARS of 3 or more for hospital survivors. Significant added predictors of 1-year mortality among hospital survivors included markers of frailty and chronic illness.     

MELD and MELD XI Scores as Predictors of Mortality After Pericardiectomy for Constrictive Pericarditis

ObjectiveTo assess the association between the preoperative model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and MELD-XI (exclude international normalized ratio) score and outcomes in patients undergoing pericardiectomy for constrictive pericarditis.Patients and MethodsPatients >18 years of age undergoing pericardiectomy for constrictive pericarditis between January 1, 2007, and October 12, 2017, were analyzed with data for MELD and MELD-XI score calculation within 30 days preoperatively. The association between the MELD and MELD-XI scoring systems and risk of postoperative outcomes was assessed in regression models adjusting for relevant covariates. The primary outcome was operative mortality (death within 90 days or in hospital). Secondary outcomes included various measures of postoperative morbidity.ResultsA total of 175 and 226 patients had data for MELD/MELD-XI, respectively. Ninety-day mortality was 8.7%. When stratified into tertiles of MELD-XI, the unadjusted risk of 90-day mortality was 2.7%, 8.2%, and 16.0%, respectively. In Cox regression models fitted for MELD-XI and MELD, higher scores associated with increased risk of mortality (P<.001 for both). In secondary multivariable analyses, both MELD-XI and MELD were associated with increased incidence of renal failure and greater levels of chest-tube output and transfusion, whereas MELD-XI was additionally associated with prolonged intubation and extended intensive care unit and hospital stays.ConclusionAmong patients undergoing pericardiectomy for constrictive pericarditis, MELD-XI and MELD were associated with increased postoperative morbidity and mortality. Although the simpler MELD-XI score generally performed as well or better than MELD as a correlate of various outcomes, both scores can serve as a simple yet robust risk stratification tool for patients undergoing pericardiectomy for constrictive pericarditis.     

Characteristics,Treatment Patterns,and Clinical Outcomes After Heart Failure Hospitalizations During the COVID-19 Pandemic,March to October 2020

ObjectiveTo compare clinical characteristics, treatment patterns, and 30-day all-cause readmission and mortality between patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF) before and during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.Patients and MethodsThe study was conducted at 16 hospitals across 3 geographically dispersed US states. The study included 6769 adults (mean age, 74 years; 56% [5033 of 8989] men) with cumulative 8989 HF hospitalizations: 2341 hospitalizations during the COVID-19 pandemic (March 1 through October 30, 2020) and 6648 in the pre–COVID-19 (October 1, 2018, through February 28, 2020) comparator group. We used Poisson regression, Kaplan-Meier estimates, multivariable logistic, and Cox regression analysis to determine whether prespecified study outcomes varied by time frames.ResultsThe adjusted 30-day readmission rate decreased from 13.1% (872 of 6648) in the pre–COVID-19 period to 10.0% (234 of 2341) in the COVID-19 pandemic period (relative risk reduction, 23%; hazard ratio, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.89). Conversely, all-cause mortality increased from 9.7% (645 of 6648) in the pre–COVID-19 period to 11.3% (264 of 2341) in the COVID-19 pandemic period (relative risk increase, 16%; number of admissions needed for one additional death, 62.5; hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.39). Despite significant differences in rates of index hospitalization, readmission, and mortality across the study time frames, the disease severity, HF subtypes, and treatment patterns remained unchanged (P>0.05).ConclusionThe findings of this large tristate multicenter cohort study of HF hospitalizations suggest lower rates of index hospitalizations and 30-day readmissions but higher incidence of 30-day mortality with broadly similar use of HF medication, surgical interventions, and devices during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with the pre–COVID-19 time frame.     

Beta-Blocker Exposure and Survival in Patients With Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy

ObjectiveTo investigate a potential association between beta-blocker exposure and survival in patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM).MethodsIn this real-world prospective registry of 128 consecutive patients with ATTR-CM recruited in 7 institutions in Galicia (Spain), survival of 65 patients who received beta blockers on registry enrollment was compared with that of 63 untreated controls by means of both unweighted Cox regression and Cox regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting. Tolerance to and adverse effects of beta blockers were recorded. Median study follow-up was 520 days.ResultsPatients with ATTR-CM who received beta blockers showed statistically significant lower all-cause mortality than untreated controls as evaluated by either unweighted Cox regression (hazard ratio, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.12 to 0.79) or Cox regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting (hazard ratio, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.08 to 0.41; P<.001). Several sensitivity analyses confirmed the internal validity of these results. The overall frequency of beta-blocker suspension due to adverse effects was 25% (95% CI, 15.5% to 34.5%).ConclusionIn this real-world, prospective, multi-institutional registry, patients with ATTR-CM who received beta blockers had lower all-cause mortality than untreated controls.     

Efficacy of Prolonged Antibiotic Therapy for Renal Cyst Infections in Polycystic Kidney Disease

ObjectiveTo determine the impact of antibiotic therapy (ATBT) on outcomes of renal cyst infection (CyI) in patients with polycystic kidney disease.Patients and MethodsWe undertook a single-center retrospective study of CyI in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (January 1, 2000, through December 31, 2018). Cyst infections were classified as definite (microbiologically proven), probable (radiologic signs), or possible (clinical or biologic signs only). We studied the determinants of ATBT failure (persistence of infection beyond 72 hours of microbiologically adequate initial ATBT, with requirement for ATBT change, cyst drainage, or nephrectomy) and recurrences (>14 days after the end of ATBT).ResultsAmong 90 patients, 139 CyIs (11 definite, 74 probable, 54 possible) were compiled. Cultures were positive in 106 of 139 (76%) episodes, with Escherichia coli found in 89 of 106 (84%). Treatment failures and recurrences within 1 year of follow-up were more frequent in definite/probable CyI (20/85 [34%] and 16/85 [19%]) than in possible CyI (2/54 [4%] and 4/54 [7%]; P<.01 and P=.08, respectively). Male sex (odds ratio [OR], 7.79; 95% CI, 1.72 to 46.68; P<.01), peak C-reactive protein level above 250 mg/L (OR, 7.29; 95% CI, 1.78 to 35.74; P<.01; to convert C-reactive protein values to nmol/L, multiply by 9.524), and cyst wall thickening (OR, 7.70; 95% CI, 1.77 to 43.47; P=.01) but not the modalities of initial ATBT were independently associated with higher risk of failure. In a Cox proportional hazards model, kidney transplant recipients exhibited higher risk of recurrence (hazard ratio, 3.76; 95% CI, 1.06 to 13.37; P=.04), whereas a total duration of ATBT of 28 days or longer was protective (hazard ratio, 0.02; 95% CI, 0.00 to 0.16; P<.001), with an inverse correlation between duration and recurrence (81% for treatment <21 days, 47% for 21 to 27 days, 2% for ≥28 days; P<.0001).ConclusionInitial first-line ATBT had no significant effect on renal CyI treatment failure. Treatment duration of 28 days and longer reduced recurrences.     

Real-World Experience of Angiotensin Receptor–Neprilysin Inhibition in Reduced Ejection Fraction Heart Failure Patients With Advanced Kidney Disease

ObjectiveTo investigate the effectiveness and safety of angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNIs) in real-world patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and advanced chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] < 30 mL/min per 1.73 m²), which have been excluded from the landmark trials.Patients and MethodsThis study examined 3281 patients pooled from two multicenter HFrEF cohorts, and 661 patients with baseline eGFR less than 30 mL/min per 1.73 m² were further analyzed (the Taiwan Society of Cardiology – Heart Failure with reduced Ejection Fraction (TSOC-HFrEF) registry: May 1, 2013 to October 31, 2014, and the Treatment with Angiotensin Receptor neprilysin inhibitor fOr Taiwan Heart Failure patients (TAROT-HF) study: March 1, 2017, to December 31, 2018). Propensity score matching was performed to adjust for confounders. At 1-year follow-up, all-cause mortality, total heart failure hospitalizations, renal function, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) were used as the endpoints.ResultsAfter propensity score matching, 510 patients (age, 69.8±13.9 years; male, 61.0%; mean LVEF, 29.8±7.3%; mean eGFR, 19.8±9.0 mL/min per 1.73 m²) were included in the final analysis, including 278 patients receiving ARNI treatment (ARNI group) and 232 patients not on ARNI treatment (non-ARNI group). Baseline characteristics were comparable between the two groups. At 1 year, eGFR and LVEF measurements were significantly higher in the ARNI group than in the non-ARNI group (25.0±17.1 mL/min per 1.73 m² vs 21.4±17.5 mL/min per 1.73 m²; P=.04; and 40.1±12.9% vs. 33.1±10.8%, P<.001, respectively). The ARNI group had significantly lower risks of 1-year all-cause mortality (19.4 vs 30.9 per 100-person year; P=.02), and total HF rehospitalizations (70.0 vs 110.4 per 100-person year; P=.01) than non-ARNI users.ConclusionOur results show the effectiveness of ARNIs in HFrEF patients with advanced chronic kidney disease in a real-world setting.     

Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting in Octogenarians—Risks,Outcomes, and Trends in 1283 Consecutive Patients

ObjectiveTo describe the risks, outcomes, and trends in patients older than 80 years undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).MethodsWe retrospectively studied 1283 consecutive patients who were older than 80 years and underwent primary isolated CABG from January 1, 1993, to October 31, 2019, in our clinic. Kaplan-Meier survival probability and quartile estimates were used to analyze patients’ survival. Logistic regression models were used for analyzing temporal trends in CABG cases and outcomes. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was developed to study risk factors for mortality.ResultsOperative mortality was overall 4% (n=51) but showed a significant decrease during the study period (P=.015). Median follow-up was 16.7 (interquartile range, 10.3-21.1) years, and Kaplan-Meier estimated survival rates at 1 year, 5 years, 10 years, and 15 years were 90.2%, 67.9%, 31.1%, and 8.2%, respectively. Median survival time was 7.6 years compared with 6.0 years for age- and sex-matched octogenarians in the general US population (P<.001). Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified older age (P<.001), recent atrial fibrillation or flutter (P<.001), diabetes mellitus (P<.001), smoking history (P=.006), cerebrovascular disease (P=.04), immunosuppressive status (P=.01), extreme levels of creatinine (P<.001), chronic lung disease (P=.02), peripheral vascular disease (P=.02), decreased ejection fraction (P=.03) and increased Society of Thoracic Surgeons predicted risk score (P=.01) as significant risk factors of mortality.ConclusionAlthough CABG in octogenarians carries a higher surgical risk, it may be associated with favorable outcomes and increase in long-term survival. Further studies are warranted to define subgroups benefiting more from surgical revascularization.     

Newer P2Y12 Inhibitors vs Clopidogrel in Acute Myocardial Infarction With Cardiac Arrest or Cardiogenic Shock: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

ObjectiveTo evaluate the outcomes, safety, and efficacy of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with newer P2Y₁₂ inhibitors compared with clopidogrel in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) complicated by cardiac arrest (CA) or cardiogenic shock (CS).Patients and MethodsMEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library were queried systematically from inception to January 2021 for comparative studies of adults (≥18 years) with AMI-CA/CS receiving DAPT with newer P2Y₁₂ inhibitors as opposed to clopidogrel. We compared outcomes (30-day or in-hospital and 1-year all-cause mortality, major bleeding, and definite stent thrombosis) of newer P2Y₁₂ inhibitors and clopidogrel in patients with AMI-CA/CS.ResultsEight studies (1 randomized trial and 7 cohort studies) comprising 1100 patients (695 [63.2%] receiving clopidogrel and 405 [36.8%] receiving ticagrelor or prasugrel) were included. The population was mostly male (68.5%-86.7%). Risk of bias was low for these studies, with between-study heterogeneity and subgroup differences not statistically significant. Compared with the clopidogrel cohort, the newer P2Y₁₂ cohort had lower rates of early mortality (odds ratio [OR], 0.60; 95% CI, 0.45 to 0.81; P=.001) (7 studies) and 1-year mortality (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.36 to 0.71; P<.001) (3 studies). We did not find a significant difference in major bleeding (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.71 to 2.06; P=.48) (6 studies) or definite stent thrombosis (OR, 2.01; 95% CI, 0.63 to 6.45; P=.24) (7 studies).ConclusionIn patients with AMI-CA/CS receiving DAPT, compared with clopidogrel, newer P2Y₁₂ inhibitors were associated with lower rates of early and 1-year mortality. Data on major bleeding and stent thrombosis were inconclusive.