Sunitinib objective response in metastatic renal cell carcinoma: Analysis of 1059 patients treated on clinical trials

BackgroundRetrospective analyses were performed in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) to characterise the objective response (OR) rate to sunitinib and differentiate pretreatment features and outcomes of patients with early (response by ⩽12 weeks) versus late response, and responders versus non-responders.MethodsData were pooled from 1059 patients in six trials. Median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by Brookmeyer and Crowley method and compared between groups by log-rank test. Baseline characteristics were compared by Fisher-exact, t-, or Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. Associations between characteristics and survival were investigated by Cox proportional regression analysis.Results398 patients (38%) had confirmed OR (12 complete responses); 26%, 61%, 79% and 86% responded by 6, 12, 18 and 24 weeks, respectively. Median (range) time to tumour response (TTR) was 10.6 (2.7–94.4) weeks and was similar in treatment-naïve and cytokine-refractory patients. Median response duration in early and late responders was 52.0 and 55.0 weeks, respectively. Median PFS in early versus late responders was 13.8 versus 20.2 months (P = 0.001); however, median OS did not significantly differ (37.8 versus 40.8 months; P = 0.144). Early responders had more lung metastases (P < 0.01), but baseline characteristics were otherwise mostly similar. Median PFS (16.3 versus 5.3 months) and OS (40.1 versus 14.5 months) were longer in responders versus non-responders (both P < 0.001); responders had more favourable prognostic factors.ConclusionsOR occurred in 38% of sunitinib-treated mRCC patients. Sixty-one percent of responses occurred by 12 weeks of therapy, and responders had favourable pretreatment features and significantly longer survival.     

Correlation of progression-free and post-progression survival with overall survival in advanced colorectal cancer

BackgroundPolychemotherapy and biological drugs have increased therapeutic options and outcomes of advanced colorectal cancer (CRC). We examined the relation between progression-free survival (PFS), post-progression survival (PPS) and overall survival (OS) in trials of modern (oxaliplatin- and irinotecan-based) chemotherapy alone or with targeted therapies for advanced CRC. We also evaluated surrogacy of PFS and OS.Patients and methodsA PubMed search identified 34 randomized trials. We split the OS, PFS and PPS and evaluated the correlation between OS and either PFS or PPS.ResultsThe median PPS and PFS were 10.75 and 8.4 months, respectively. For all trials, PPS was strongly associated with OS [regression coefficient (R²) = 0.8; Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (r) = 0.88], whereas PFS was moderately associated with OS (R² = 0.43; r = 0.64). In trials with targeted therapies, the correlation of PPS with OS was 0.88. However, across all trials, correlation between differences in median PFS (ΔPFS) and median OS (ΔOS) is 0.59 (P = 0.0007), confirming PFS/OS surrogacy.ConclusionOur findings indicate that in recent first-line, phase III, trials, OS becomes more associated with PPS than PFS. However, improvements in PFS are strongly associated with improvements in OS. In this setting so, PFS may be an appropriate surrogate for OS.     

Cediranib monotherapy in patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma: results of a randomised phase II study

BackgroundCediranib is a highly potent vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) signalling inhibitor with activity against VEGF receptors 1, 2 and 3. This Phase II, randomised, double-blind, parallel-group study compared the efficacy of cediranib with placebo in patients with metastatic or recurrent clear cell renal cell carcinoma who had not previously received a VEGF signalling inhibitor.MethodsPatients were randomised (3:1) to cediranib 45 mg/day or placebo. The primary objective was comparison of change from baseline in tumour size after 12 weeks of therapy. Secondary objectives included response rate and duration, progression-free survival (PFS) and safety and tolerability. Patients in the placebo group could cross over to open-label cediranib at 12 weeks or earlier if their disease had progressed. This study has been completed and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00423332.FindingsPatients (n = 71) were randomised to receive cediranib (n = 53) or placebo (n = 18). The primary study outcome revealed that, after 12 weeks of therapy, there was a significant difference in mean percentage change from baseline in tumour size between the cediranib (–20%) and placebo (+20%) arms (p < 0.0001). Eighteen patients (34%) on cediranib achieved a partial response and 25 (47%) experienced stable disease. Cediranib treatment prolonged PFS significantly compared with placebo (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.45, 90% confidence interval: 0.26–0.76, p = 0.017; median PFS 12.1 versus 2.8 months). The most common adverse events in patients receiving cediranib were diarrhoea (74%), hypertension (64%), fatigue (58%) and dysphonia (58%).InterpretationCediranib monotherapy demonstrated significant evidence of antitumour activity in patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma. The adverse event profile was consistent with previous studies of cediranib 45 mg.     

What is the clinical benefit of preoperative chemoradiotherapy with 5FU/leucovorin for T3-4 rectal cancer in a pooled analysis of EORTC 22921 and FFCD 9203 trials: Surrogacy in question?

BackgroundTwo phase III trials of neoadjuvant treatment in T3-4 rectal cancer established that adding chemotherapy (CRT) to radiotherapy (RT) improves pathological complete response (pCR) and local control (LC). We combined trials to assess the clinical benefit of CRT on overall (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) and to explore the surrogacy of pCR and LC.Patients and methodsIndividual patient data from European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) 22921 (1011 patients) and FFCD 9203 (756 patients) were pooled. Meta-analysis methodology was used to compare neoadjuvant CRT to RT for OS, PFS LC and distant progression (DP). Weighted linear regression was used to estimate trial-level association (surrogacy R²) between treatment effects on candidate surrogate (pCR, LC, DP) and OS.ResultsThe median follow-up was 5.6 years. Compared to RT (881 pts), CRT (886 pts) did not prolong OS, DP or PFS. The 5-y OS-rate was 66.3% with CRT versus 65.9% in RT (hazard ratios (HR) = 1.04 {0.88–1.21}). CRT significantly improved LC (HR = 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.41–0.72). PFS was validated as surrogate for OS with R² = 0.88. Neoadjuvant treatment effects on LC (R² = 0.17) or DP (R² = 0.31) did not predict effects on OS.ConclusionPreoperative CRT does not prolong OS or PFS. pCR or LC do not qualify as surrogate for PFS or OS while PFS is surrogate. Phase III trials should use OS or PFS as primary endpoint.     

Progression free survival of first line vascular endothelial growth factor-targeted therapy is an important prognostic parameter in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma

PurposeIntrinsic resistance in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) was recently associated with poor overall survival (OS), suggesting that VEGF inhibitor sensitivity may represent a valuable prognostic marker. We explored the duration of progression free survival (PFS) in first-line treatment and other variables as prognostic markers in mRCC.MethodsMedical records from 119 mRCC patients receiving first line treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) were retrieved retrospectively. Kaplan–Meier and log-rank analyses were employed on PFS and OS and multivariate Cox proportional hazard model analysed clinical parameters for their prognostic relevance.ResultsThe median PFS of first line treatment was 8.4 months (95% confidence interval 5.8–11) associated with a median OS of 28.2 months (95% CI 20.9–35.4). Second line therapy with another TKI or mTOR-inhibitor was applied to 81 patients (68%). PFS of any second line therapy was 5.1 and 3.7 months in first line treatment responders and non-responders (p = 0.3), respectively. Univariate analyses revealed bone metastases, prior cytokine treatment, Memorial Sloan Kettering cancer centre (MSKCC) score, objective response rate, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status, first line PFS with 6 months taken as cut-off parameter and second line treatment as prognostic variables. Multivariate analyses proved first line PFS above 6 months (95% CI 0.154–0.641; HR 0.314), second line treatment (95% CI 0.162–0.657; HR 0.326), MSKCC score (95% CI 1.07–3.392; HR 1.905) and objective response rate (95% CI 0.358–0.989; HR 0.595) to be independent prognostic markers.ConclusionsThe duration of first line PFS is an independent prognostic variable but not predictive for subsequent therapy.     

The association of pre-treatment neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio with response rate, progression free survival and overall survival of patients treated with sunitinib for metastatic renal cell carcinoma

BackgroundSunitinib is a standard treatment for metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC). The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), an index of systemic inflammation, is associated with outcome in several cancer types.AimsTo study the association of pre-treatment neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio with response rate, progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients treated with sunitinib for mRCC.MethodsWe retrospectively studied an unselected cohort of patients with mRCC, who were treated with sunitinib. Logistic regression model was used to analyse response rate. Cox regression models were fitted to identify risk factors associated with PFS and OS. We investigated how pre-treatment NLR is associated with these clinical outcomes after adjusting for confounding covariates. Regression tree for censored data method was used to find the best NLR cut-off value.ResultsBetween 2004 and 2011, 133 patients with mRCC were treated with sunitinib. One hundred and nine were included in the NLR analysis, from which were excluded patients without available data on pre-treatment NLR or with comorbidities/recent treatments known to be associated with a change of blood counts. Factors associated with PFS were low NLR ⩽ 3 (HR = 0.285, p < 0.001), past nephrectomy (HR = 0.38, p = 0.035), sunitinib dose reduction/treatment interruption (HR = 0.6, p = 0.014) and the use of antiotensin system inhibitors (HR = 0.537, p = 0.008). Low NLR ⩽ 3 was associated with OS (HR = 0.3, p = 0.043).ConclusionsIn patients with mRCC treated with sunitinib, pre-treatment NLR may be associated with PFS and OS. This should be investigated prospectively, and if validated applied in clinical practice and clinical trials.     

Bisphosphonates combined with sunitinib may improve the response rate, progression free survival and overall survival of patients with bone metastases from renal cell carcinoma

BackgroundBisphosphonates are used to prevent skeletal events of bone metastases, and may exhibit antitumour effects. We aimed to evaluate whether bisphosphonates can bring a response rate (RR), progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) benefit to patients with bone metastasis from renal cell carcinoma (RCC) that is treated with sunitinib.MethodsWe performed a multicentre retrospective study of patients with bone metastases from RCC that was treated with sunitinib. The effect of bisphosphonates on RR, PFS and OS was tested with adjustment for known prognostic factors using a chi-square test from contingency table and partial likelihood test from Cox regression model.ResultsBetween 2004 and 2011, 209 patients with metastatic RCC were treated with sunitinib, 76 had bone metastases, 35 bisphosphonates users and 41 non-users. The groups of bisphosphonates users and non-users were balanced regarding known prognostic factors. Objective response was partial response/stable disease 86% (n = 30) versus 71% (n = 29), and progressive disease 14% (n = 5) versus 29% (n = 12) (p = 0.125, OR 2.48) in users versus non-users, respectively. Median PFS was 15 versus 5 months (HR = 0.55, p < 0.0001), and median OS was not reached (with a median follow-up time of 45 months) versus 14 months (HR = 0.4, p = 0.029), in favour of users. In multivariate analysis of the entire patient cohort (n = 76), factors associated with PFS were bisphosphonates use (HR = 0.58, p = 0.035), and pre-treatment neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio >3 (HR = 3.5, p = 0.009). Factors associated with OS were bisphosphonates use (HR = 0.5, p = 0.008), elevated pre-treatment alkaline phosphatase (HR = 2.9, p = 0.003) and sunitinib induced HTN (HR = 0.63, p < 0.0001).ConclusionsBisphosphonates may improve the RR, PFS and OS of sunitinib treatment in RCC with bone metastases.     

Categories of response to first line vascular endothelial growth factor receptor targeted therapy and overall survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma

IntroductionSequential use of targeted therapy (TT) has improved overall survival (OS) of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC). The value of objective response (OR) as compared to stable disease (SD) is unclear. We aimed to investigate OR of first-line TT and its impact on OS.Material and methodsRetrospective analysis of OS among 331 mRCC patients with a first-line assessment according to RECIST 1.0. Characteristics between objective responders (complete response [CR] or partial remission [PR]), patients with SD and non-responders (progressive disease [PD] and toxicity [Tox]) were compared with the Chi-square test and the Kruskal–Wallis test. Kaplan–Meier analysis of OS and progression-free survival (PFS). Cox model analysis of Predictors of OS .ResultsBest response was CR, PR, SD, PD and Tox in 9 (2.7%), 61 (18.4%), 167 (50.5%), 80 (24.2%) and 14 (4.2%) patients respectively resulting in an OR rate of 21%. Median OS in months: CR 63.2; PR 37.6; SD 35.9; PD 14.6; TOX 22.5 (p < 0.0001). Median PFS for responders was 14.8, 11.5 for patients with SD and 2.5 for non-responders (p < 0.0001). Similarly median OS was 38.7, 35.9 and 15.5 (p < 0.00001). Primary resistance and a first-line PFS <6 months were the strongest independent predictors of OS. The achievement of OR as compared to SD did not impact OS.ConclusionsIn our cohort of unselected patients OR was not associated with superior OS as compared to SD.     

Phase 3 randomised study of canfosfamide (Telcyta, TLK286) versus pegylated liposomal doxorubicin or topotecan as third-line therapy in patients with platinum-refractory or -resistant ovarian cancer

RationaleCanfosfamide HCl (CAN) is a glutathione analogue prodrug that is activated by glutathione S-transferase P1-1 and induces apoptosis. CAN is synergistic in vitro with carboplatin, paclitaxel and anthracyclines.MethodsPatients with platinum-refractory or -resistant ovarian cancer (OC) who had progressed on second-line therapy with pegylated liposomal doxorubicin (PLD) or topotecan (TOPO), were randomised between CAN 1000 mg/m² IV q 3 weeks or to either PLD 50 mg/m² IV q 4 weeks or TOPO 1.5 mg/m² IV d1-5 q 3 weeks.ResultsAbout 461 patients were randomised after stratification for ECOG performance status, prior therapy, and bulky (>5 cm) disease. Groups were well balanced. In the control arm 58% and 42% were treated with PLD and TOPO, respectively. CAN was well tolerated with the most common grade 3–4 toxicities of 5% anaemia, 4% neutropaenia (no febrile neutropaenia), 4% thrombocytopaenia, and 7% vomiting. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were significantly higher in the control arm (p < 0.001 and p < 0.01, respectively). In a subgroup analysis PFS and OS tended to be higher with PLD than with TOPO.ConclusionCAN was well tolerated. This is the first randomised study showing an increased OS with third-line therapy. This might have important consequences for other recurrent OC trials.     

Cancer stem cell enrichment marker CD98: A prognostic factor for survival in patients with human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal cancer

PurposeSeveral hypotheses have been proposed to explain the relatively good prognosis of patients with a human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and one of these is a higher sensitivity to (chemo)radiation. Previous studies have suggested that treatment failure in OPSCC patients is caused by resistance of cancer stem cells (CSCs). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between the number of CSCs and prognosis in HPV-positive OPSCC patients.Experimental designAll OPSCC patients (n = 711) treated between 2000 and 2006 in two Dutch university hospitals were included. Presence of HPV in a tumour tissue specimen was tested by p16-immunostaining followed by HPV DNA GP5+/6+polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The presence and intensity of tumour CSC markers CD44 and CD98 were determined by immunohistochemistry and semiquantitative scoring was performed. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) rates were compared between patients with low and high CD44/CD98 expression in relation to HPV status.ResultsHPV-positive tumours showed a lower percentage of cells with CD44 and CD98 expression than HPV-negative tumours (p < 0.001, χ²-test). Within the group of patients with HPV-positive OPSCC, a high percentage of CD98-positive tumour cells was associated with a significantly worse 5-year OS and PFS (OS: 36.4% and PFS: 27.3%) compared to patients with a low percentage of CD98-positive cells (OS: 71.9% and PFS: 70.5%, respectively) (p < 0.001).ConclusionsHPV-positive OPSCCs harbour fewer cells expressing the CSC enrichment markers CD44 and CD98. Furthermore, OS and PFS were significantly worse for patients with HPV-positive OPSCC with a high percentage of CD98-positive cells.     

Trabectedin plus pegylated liposomal doxorubicin (PLD) versus PLD in recurrent ovarian cancer: Overall survival analysis

AimTrabectedin in combination with pegylated liposomal doxorubicin (PLD) improves progression-free survival (PFS) compared to PLD alone in recurrent ovarian cancer (J Clin Oncol 2010;28:3107–14).MethodsWomen, stratified by performance status (0–1 versus 2) and platinum sensitivity (platinum-free interval [PFI] <6 versus ⩾6 months), were randomly assigned to receive PLD 30 mg/m² IV followed by a 3-h infusion of trabectedin 1.1 mg/m² every 3 weeks or PLD 50 mg/m² every 4 weeks. The study was powered to show a 33% increase in overall survival (OS) after 520 deaths had occurred.ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 47.4 months, there were 522 deaths among 672 subjects. The median OS for trabectedin + PLD and PLD arms was 22.2 and 18.9 months, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.86; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.72–1.02; p = 0.0835). An unexpected but significant imbalance in the PFI favouring the PLD arm (mean PFI: PLD = 13.3 months, trabectedin + PLD = 10.6 months) was identified. On the basis of this finding, an unplanned hypothesis generating analysis adjusting for the PFI imbalance and other prognostic factors suggested an improvement in OS associated with the trabectedin + PLD arm (HR = 0.82; 95% CI: 0.69–0.98; p = 0.0285). In another unplanned exploratory analysis, the subset of patients with a PFI of 6–12 months had the largest difference in OS (HR = 0.64; 95% CI: 0.47–0.86; p = 0.0027).ConclusionsThe final OS analysis did not meet the protocol-defined criterion for statistical significance. Despite stratification on platinum sensitivity, there was an imbalance in mean platinum free interval that had an effect on OS.     

Matched-case comparison of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with FIGO stage IB1-IIB cervical cancer to establish selection criteria

ObjectiveNeoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) for cervical cancer still remains controversial. NACT was evaluated to establish selection criteria.MethodsA matched-case comparison was designed for the NACT group (n = 707) and primary surgery treatment (PST; n = 707) group to investigate short-term responses and high/intermediate risk factors (HRFs/IRFs). The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were stratified by NACT response, HRFs/IRFs, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage and tumour size, respectively.ResultsThe clinical and pathological response rates were 79.3% and 14.9% in the NACT group. In comparison to the PST group, IRFs but not HRFs were significantly decreased (P < 0.05), and the 5-year DFS rate was significantly improved in the NACT group (88.4% versus 83.1%, P = 0.021). Moreover, the 5-year DFS and OS rates were favourably increased in the clinical responders in comparison to the PST group and the clinical non-responders (P < 0.05). Compared to those of clinical non-responders, the 5-year DFS and OS rates of clinical responders, with or without HRFs, were also significantly increased (P < 0.01). In stage IB2, the 5-year DFS and OS rates were significantly increased, whereas operation duration declined in the NACT group (P < 0.05). For patients with stage IB tumours of 2–5 cm, the 5-year DFS and OS rates of clinical responders were significantly improved (P < 0.05).ConclusionsNACT is a suitable option for patients with cervical cancer, especially for NACT responders and patients with stage IB, which provides a new concept of fertility preservation for young patients.     

Optimisation of the tumour response threshold in patients treated with everolimus for metastatic renal cell carcinoma: analysis of response and progression-free survival in the RECORD-1 study

Background and objectivesObjective response as determined by Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) is low among patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) treated with targeted agents, despite significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS). A modified response threshold may be more clinically meaningful than RECIST for identifying patients who may derive a PFS benefit from targeted therapy.Patients and methodsWe performed a retrospective analysis of data from the phase III RECORD-1 trial of everolimus versus placebo in patients with mRCC who had failed sunitinib or sorafenib (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00410124). A series of tumour response thresholds, defined by the best change in the sum of the longest tumour diameters (ΔSLD) of target lesions, was evaluated to distinguish ‘responders’ from ‘non-responders’ with respect to significant improvement in PFS.ResultsThe optimal threshold for determining a response to everolimus was −5% ΔSLD. At this threshold, median PFS was 8.4 months in responders and 5.0 months in non-responders (hazard ratio [HR] 2.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.6–3.7).ConclusionIn patients who have failed vascular endothelial growth factor receptor–tyrosine kinase inhibitor (VEGFr-TKI) therapy, everolimus affords superior PFS to placebo, regardless of change in tumour burden. However, a ⩾5% reduction in SLD is a better predictor of PFS benefit than the classical ⩾30% reduction used with RECIST.     

Impact of primary tumour resection on survival of patients with colorectal cancer and synchronous metastases treated by chemotherapy: Results from the multicenter,randomised trial Fédération Francophone de Cancérologie Digestive 9601

ObjectiveTo assess the impact of primary tumour resection on overall survival (OS) of patients diagnosed with stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC).DesignAmong the 294 patients with non-resectable colorectal metastases enrolled in the Fédération Francophone de Cancérologie Digestive (FFCD) 9601 phase III trial, which compared different first-line single-agent chemotherapy regimens, 216 patients (73%) presented with synchronous metastases at study entry and constituted the present study population. Potential baseline prognostic variables including prior primary tumour resection were assessed by univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. Progression-free survival (PFS) and OS curves were compared with the logrank test.ResultsAmong the 216 patients with stage IV CRC (median follow-up, 33 months), 156 patients (72%) had undergone resection of their primary tumour prior to study entry. The resection and non-resection groups did not differ for baseline characteristics except for primary tumour location (rectum, 14% versus 35%; p = 0.0006). In multivariate analysis, resection of the primary was the strongest independent prognostic factor for PFS (hazard ratio (HR), 0.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.4–0.8; p = 0.0002) and OS (HR, 0.4; CI, 0.3–0.6; p < 0.0001). Both median PFS (5.1 [4.6–5.6] versus 2.9 [2.2–4.1] months; p = 0.001) and OS (16.3 [13.7–19.2] versus 9.6 [7.4–12.5]; p < 0.0001) were significantly higher in the resection group. These differences in patient survival were maintained after exclusion of patients with rectal primary (n = 43).ConclusionResection of the primary tumour may be associated with longer PFS and OS in patients with stage IV CRC starting first-line, single-agent chemotherapy.     

Assessment of progression-free survival as a surrogate end-point for overall survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma

BackgroundTo determine suitability of progression-free survival (PFS) as a surrogate end-point for overall survival (OS), we evaluated the relationship between PFS and OS in 750 treatment-naïve metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) patients who received sunitinib or interferon-alpha (IFN-α) in a phase III study.MethodsThe relationship between PFS and post-progression survival (PPS; the difference between PFS and OS) was studied, which correctly removes inherent dependencies between PFS and OS, to properly estimate whether and to what extent PFS can serve as a surrogate for OS. A Weibull parametric model to failure time data was fit to determine whether longer PFS was significantly and meaningfully predictive of longer PPS. In a sensitivity analysis by Kaplan–Meier non-parametric method, PPS curves for three approximately equal numbered groups of patients categorised by PFS were compared by log-rank test.ResultsIn the Weibull parametric model, longer PFS was significantly predictive of longer PPS (P < 0.001). The model also allowed prediction of estimated median PPS duration from actual PFS times. In the Kaplan–Meier (non-parametric) analysis, incrementally longer PFS was also associated with longer PPS, and the PPS curves for the three PFS groups were significantly different (P < 0.0001).ConclusionsA positive relationship was found between PFS and PPS duration in individual mRCC patients randomised to first-line treatment with sunitinib or IFN-α. These results indicate that PFS can act as a surrogate end-point for OS in the first-line mRCC setting and provide clinical researchers with a potentially useful approach to estimate median PPS based on PFS.     

Postprogression survival for first-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced gastric cancer

BackgroundWith the increasing availability of active agents, the importance of postprogression survival (PPS) has been recognised for several malignancies. However, little is known of PPS in advanced gastric cancer.Patients and methodsA literature search identified 43 randomised trials in chemotherapy-naive patients with advanced gastric cancer. We partitioned overall survival (OS) into progression-free survival (PFS) and PPS, and then examined the correlation between median OS and either median PFS or median PPS. The correlation between differences in OS (ΔOS) and those in PFS (ΔPFS) between trial arms was also investigated.ResultsThe average median OS was significantly longer in recent (2006 and later) trials than in older (2005 and earlier) trials (10.60 versus 8.64 months, P < 0.001), as was the average median PPS (5.34 versus 3.74 months, P = 0.001). Median PPS was correlated with median OS for all trials (r = 0.732), and this correlation was more pronounced in recent trials (r = 0.850). By contrast, the correlation between median PFS and median OS was less pronounced in recent trials (r = 0.282), as was that between ΔPFS and ΔOS (r = 0.365).ConclusionAn increase in median PPS was found in accordance with an increase in median OS in recent trials compared with older trials for patients with advanced gastric cancer.     

Results of a phase II study of sirolimus and cyclophosphamide in patients with advanced sarcoma

BackgroundActivation of the mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway has been demonstrated in sarcoma. Trials using mTOR inhibitor in sarcoma have shown low objective response rates but progression-free survival (PFS) rates suggest cytostatic effects. The combination of sirolimus and cyclophosphamide demonstrated synergistic anti-sarcoma activity in preclinical models; therefore, we conducted a phase II trial of sirolimus and cyclophosphamide in patients with advanced sarcoma.MethodsPatients received 4 mg sirolimus daily and 200 mg cyclophosphamide d1-7 and 15-21 every 28 days. The primary objective was to estimate the 24-week PFS rate with a target of ⩾25%. Patients were followed for World Health Organisation (WHO) criteria tumour response by imaging every 8 weeks. Serum levels of sirolimus, lipids and vascular endothelial growth factor were measured. Tumour tissue was analysed for mTOR, S6 ribosomal protein and cytochrome P450 3A4/5 by quantitative immunofluorescence.ResultsForty-nine eligible patients were enrolled from September 2008 to December 2009. Patients received a median of four cycles of therapy. Starting doses of drugs were tolerated in 79%. One patient achieved partial tumour response, 10 were progression-free for ⩾24 weeks and two completed 12 cycles of treatment. Median PFS and overall survival (OS) were 3.4 and 9.9 months, respectively. Serious adverse events attributed to therapy occurred in 11% and included infection, pneumonitis and thrombosis. Hypertriglyceridaemia from treatment and lower tumour phosphorylated-mTOR are associated with longer survival.ConclusionsSirolimus and cyclophosphamide were tolerated by the majority of patients. About 20% of patients had stable sarcoma for at least 6 months but objective tumour response was infrequent.     

The prognostic impact of functional imaging with (123)I-mIBG in patients with stage 4 neuroblastoma >1 year of age on a high-risk treatment protocol: results of the German Neuroblastoma Trial NB97

Aim/Purpose¹²³I-meta-iodobenzylguanidine (¹²³I-mIBG) scintigraphy is well established for staging and evaluation of response in children with high-risk neuroblastoma but its prognostic value in highly intensive first-line treatment protocols is uncertain. The presence of any ¹²³I-mIBG positive tumour tissue was correlated with event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS).Patients and methodsThe prognostic impact of residual ¹²³I-mIBG uptake into the primary tumour and metastases for predicting outcome in 113 stage 4 neuroblastoma patients >1 year of the German Neuroblastoma Trial NB97 was assessed using a univariate log-rank test and multivariate Cox regression analysis.ResultsAll patients had ¹²³I-mIBG positive disease at initial staging. After four courses of induction chemotherapy, 71% of patients were still ¹²³I-mIBG positive for the primary tumour and 61% for metastases. After six courses, 39% of patients had ¹²³I-mIBG uptake by the primary tumour and 45% residual ¹²³I-mIBG positive metastatic disease. The ¹²³I-mIBG status of the primary tumour site had no bearing on outcome. Residual ¹²³I-mIBG positive metastatic disease after four (3-y-EFS 25.7 ± 5.3% versus 55.9 ± 7.6%, p = 0.009; 3-y-OS 49.8 ± 6.1% versus 65.0 ± 7.3%; p = 0.021) and after six chemotherapy cycles (3-y-EFS 27.5 ± 6.2% versus 47.4 ± 6.4%, p = 0.011; 3-y-OS 50.5 ± 7.1% vs 60.0 ± 6.4%, p = 0.031) was associated with poor outcome.ConclusionFunctional imaging with ¹²³I-mIBG scintigraphy can identify poor responders with any persistent metastatic ¹²³I-mIBG uptake who are at a high risk of disease relapse. ¹²³I-mIBG response of the primary tumour site had no bearing on outcome.     

Circulating endothelial cells,circulating tumour cells,tissue factor,endothelin-1 and overall survival in prostate cancer patients treated with docetaxel

PurposeWe investigated whether serum markers of angiogenesis endothelin-1 (ET-1) and tissue factor (TF), and/or markers of vascular damage such as circulating endothelial cells (CECs), or their relative changes during treatment, were prognostic for overall survival (OS) in castration resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) patients. Additionally, we combined these markers with circulating tumour cells (CTCs) to construct a predictive nomogram for treatment outcome.Patients and methodsOne hundred and sixty two CRPC patients treated with a docetaxel containing regimen had blood drawn before and at 2–5 weeks and 6–8 weeks after treatment start. Prospectively determined CTC and CEC levels, and retrospectively measured serum concentrations of ET-1 (pg/mL) and TF (pg/mL) were evaluated to determine their prognostic value for OS.ResultsBaseline CEC, TF and ET-1 were not prognostic for OS. A ?3.8-fold increase in CEC 2–5 weeks after treatment initiation was associated with decreased OS (median 10.9 versus 16.8 months; P = 0.015), as was any decrease in TF levels compared to baseline levels (median 11.9 versus 21.5 months; P = 0.0005). As previously published, baseline and CTC counts ?5 at 2–5 weeks were also predictive of decreased OS. Combining CTC with changes in TF and CEC 2–5 weeks after treatment initiation yielded four groups differing in OS (median OS 24.2 versus 16.0 versus 11.4 versus 6.1 months; P < 0.0001).ConclusionCEC, CTC and TF levels alone and combined can predict early on OS in CRPC patients treated with docetaxel-based therapy. A prospective study to confirm the use of these markers for patient management is needed.     

Early ctDNA dynamics as a surrogate for progression-free survival in advanced breast cancer in the BEECH trial

BackgroundDynamic changes in circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) levels may predict long-term outcome. We utilised samples from a phase I/II randomised trial (BEECH) to assess ctDNA dynamics as a surrogate for progression-free survival (PFS) and early predictor of drug efficacy.Patients and methodsPatients with estrogen receptor-positive advanced metastatic breast cancer (ER+ mBC) in the BEECH study, paclitaxel plus placebo versus paclitaxel plus AKT inhibitor capivasertib, had plasma samples collected for ctDNA analysis at baseline and at multiple time points in the development cohort (safety run-in, part A) and validation cohort (randomised, part B). Baseline sample ctDNA sequencing identified mutations for longitudinal analysis and mutation-specific digital droplet PCR (ddPCR) assays were utilised to assess change in ctDNA abundance (allele fraction) between baseline and 872 on-treatment samples. Primary objective was to assess whether early suppression of ctDNA, based on pre-defined criteria from the development cohort, independently predicted outcome in the validation cohort.ResultsIn the development cohort, suppression of ctDNA was apparent after 8 days of treatment (P = 0.014), with cycle 2 day 1 (4 weeks) identified as the optimal time point to predict PFS from early ctDNA dynamics. In the validation cohort, median PFS was 11.1 months in patients with suppressed ctDNA at 4 weeks and 6.4 months in patients with high ctDNA (hazard ratio = 0.20, 95% confidence interval 0.083–0.50, P < 0.0001). There was no difference in the level of ctDNA suppression between patients randomised to capivasertib or placebo overall (P = 0.904) nor in the PIK3CA mutant subpopulation (P = 0.071). Clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) was evident in 30% (18/59) baseline samples, although CHIP had no effect on tolerance of chemotherapy nor on PFS.ConclusionEarly on-treatment ctDNA dynamics are a surrogate for PFS. Dynamic ctDNA assessment has the potential to substantially enhance early drug development.Clinical registration numberNCT01625286.