Long‐term risk of cervical cancer following conization of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3—A Danish nationwide cohort study

Using nationwide Danish registries we examined the long‐term risk of cervical cancer in women diagnosed with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 (CIN3) (including adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS)) on the cone compared to women with a normal cytology test. Initially, we identified women born 1918–1990, who were recorded as living in Denmark between January 1, 1978 and December 31, 2012. From the Pathology Data Bank information on CIN3 on the cone, margins status, histological type of CIN3 and cervical cytology results was extracted. Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the relative risk of subsequent cervical cancer. We included 59,464 women with CIN3 on the cone and 1,918,508 women with a normal cytology test. Overall, women diagnosed with CIN3 had a higher risk of subsequent cervical cancer compared to women with normal cytology (HR = 2.06; 95%CI: 1.81–2.35). Analyses according to time since conization showed elevated risks in all time periods, and 25 years or more after conization the relative risk was significantly increased (HR = 2.56; 95%CI: 1.37–4.77). Twenty years or more after conization, also women with negative margins had an increased relative risk (HR = 2.49; 95%CI: 1.12–5.57). In addition, the long‐term relative risk of cervical cancer varied with the different histological types of CIN3 and was highest for AIS (HR = 7.50; 95%CI: 1.87–30.01, 10–14 years after conization). In conclusion, women diagnosed with CIN3 on the cone have a long‐lasting increased risk of cervical cancer even when the margins on the cone are negative.     

Prevalence of human papillomavirus and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in China: A pooled analysis of 17 population-based studies

High-risk (HR) human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence has been shown to correlate well with cervical cancer incidence rates. Our study aimed to estimate the prevalence of HR-HPV and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) in China and indirectly informs on the cervical cancer burden in the country. A total of 30,207 women from 17 population-based studies throughout China were included. All women received HPV DNA testing (HC2, Qiagen, Gaithersburg, MD), visual inspection with acetic acid and liquid-based cytology. Women positive for any test received colposcopy-directed or four-quadrant biopsies. A total of 29,579 women had HR-HPV testing results, of whom 28,761 had biopsy confirmed (9,019, 31.4%) or assumed (19,742, 68.6%) final diagnosis. Overall crude HR-HPV prevalence was 17.7%. HR-HPV prevalence was similar in rural and urban areas but showed dips in different age groups: at age 25–29 (11.3%) in rural and at age 35–39 (11.3%) in urban women. In rural and urban women, age-standardized CIN2 prevalence was 1.5% [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4–1.6%] and 0.7% (95% CI: 0.7–0.8%) and CIN3+ prevalence was 1.2% (95% CI: 1.2–1.3%) and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.5–0.7%), respectively. Prevalence of CIN3+ as a percentage of either all women or HR-HPV-positive women steadily increased with age, peaking in 45- to 49-year-old women. High prevalence of HR-HPV and CIN3+ was detected in both rural and urban China. The steady rise of CIN3+ up to the age group of 45–49 is attributable to lack of lesion removal through screening. Our findings document the inadequacy of current screening in China while indirectly raising the possibility that the cervical cancer burden in China is underreported.     

高危型人乳头瘤病毒检测对宫颈上皮内瘤样病变诊断价值的探讨

目的:探讨在ASC-H患者中检测HR-HPV DNA预测宫颈上皮内瘤样病变(CIN)和浸润癌的价值,为完善CIN和浸润癌的筛查方案提供依据.方法:研究宫颈薄层液基细胞学诊断为ASC-H的患者68例,均进行HR-HPV DNA检测并在阴道镜下行宫颈组织活检,综合评价HR-HPV预测高级别CIN的价值.结果:在ASC-H中CIN发生率为52.9％(36/68),CINⅡ及以上病变(CINⅡ、CINⅢ及浸润癌)发生率为33.8％(23/68); HR-HPV检测阳性率为70.6％(48/68),HR-HPV阳性组CINⅡ及以上病变发生率为47.9％(23/48),HR-HPV阴性组CINⅡ及以上病变发生率为0(0/20),两组比较差异有统计学意义,x2=14.797,P=0.001,HR-HPV诊断CINⅡ及以上病变的敏感度和特异度分别为100.0％和44.4％,阳性预测价值和阴性预测价值分别为47.9％和100.0％.结论:初步研究结果提示,HR-HPV阳性ASC-H患者应高度警惕CINⅡ及以上病变发生,建议立即行阴道镜检查;而HR-HPV阴性患者可不进行阴道镜检查.     

Prevalence of types 16 and 33 is increased in high-risk human papillomavirus positive women with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse

High-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) types are causally related to cervical cancer and its high-grade precursor lesions. The risk posed by the different hrHPV types for the development of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (> or =CIN2) needs to be established. Here, we present the hrHPV type-distribution in relation to cytology and histology for women participating in a cervical screening program. From 44,102 women who participated in a population-based cervical screening program in the Netherlands, 2,154 hrHPV GP5+/6+ PCR positive women were recruited to determine the distribution of 14 hrHPV types by reverse line blotting of GP5+/6+ PCR products. For each HPV type, associations with cytology and histologically confirmed > or =CIN2 were measured by odds ratios. HPV types 16 and 33 were more prevalent in women, amongst those containing a single hrHPV type, with moderate dyskaryosis or worse (>BMD) than in women with normal cytology, but only in case of underlying > or =CIN2 (OR 4.10, 95%CI 2.98-5.64 and OR 2.68, 95%CI 1.39-5.15, respectively). Similar results were obtained for women with double infections (OR 3.29, 95% CI 1.61-6.75 and OR 4.37, 95% CI 1.17-16.34). Coexisting types did not influence the prevalence of > or =CIN2 in HPV 16 or 33 positive women. The increased prevalence of type 16 and 33 in hrHPV positive women with > or =CIN2, compared to women with normal cytology, suggests that infection with these types confers an increased risk for development of > or =CIN2. Distinguishing these types may therefore have implications for future cervical screening strategies.     

A population-based study on the risk of cervical cancer and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia among grand multiparous women in Finland

Previous studies suggest that high parity increases the risk of cervical cancer. We studied the risk of cervical cancer (CC) and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN3) in a Finnish cohort of grand multiparous (GM) women (at least five children) with low prevalence of sexually transmitted infections (STI). The Finnish Cancer Registry data revealed 220 CC and 178 CIN3 cases among 86 978 GM women. Standardised incidence ratios (SIR) were calculated from the numbers of observed and expected cases. Interval analyses by parity, age at first birth and average birth interval were done using multivariate Poisson regression. Seroprevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV) 16 and Chlamydia trachomatis was tested among 561 GM women and 5703 women with 2-4 pregnancies. The incidence among GM women was slightly above the national average for squamous cell carcinoma of cervix uteri (SIR 1.21, 95% CI 1.05-1.40) and CIN3 (1.37, 95% CI 1.17-1.58), but lower for adenocarcinoma (SIR 0.77, 95% CI 0.52-1.10). The seroprevalence of HPV16 and Chlamydia trachomatis among GM women was lower than in the reference population, except among those women who had their child under age 19. Age under 20 years at first birth increased the risk of CC and CIN3 especially in premenopausal GM women, while increasing parity had no effect. The small relative risks of CC and CIN3 among GM women in our study as compared to studies from other countries can be explained by the exceptionally low prevalence of STIs in Finnish GM women. The observed SIRs between 1.2 and 1.4 should be interpreted to represent increased risk attributable to grand multiparity. The increased incidence of CC and CIN3 among young GM women suggests causal association to HPV 16 and Chlamydia trachomatis infections.     

Age,margin status,high-risk human papillomavirus and cytology independently predict recurrent high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia up to 6 years after treatment

The present study aimed to identify the factors that independently contribute to disease recurrence among women first-time treated for high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) during 4–6 years of follow-up. Overall, 529 of 530 eligible patients participated; these patients all attended a 1st follow-up appointment ~6 months post-conization, at which time high-risk human-papillomavirus (HPV) testing, liquid-based cytology and colposcopy were performed. Full data on margin excision status, other aspects of initial treatment and comorbidity were obtained. At least one subsequent follow-up was attended by 88% of patients. A total of 22 recurrent cases were detected during follow-up. Detected recurrence was the outcome of focus for multiple logistic regression analysis, with odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) computed. Four significant independent risk factors were identified: Age 45 years or above (OR=3.5, 95% CI=1.3–9.9), one or both unclear or uncertain margins (OR=5.3, 95% CI=2.0–14.2), positive HPV at 1st follow-up (OR=5.8, 95% CI=2.0–16.8), and abnormal cytology at 1st follow-up (OR=3.9, 95% CI=1.4–11.0). Bivariate analysis revealed that persistent HPV positivity was associated with recurrence (P<0.01). These findings indicated that incomplete excision of the CIN lesion may warrant more intensive subsequent screening, regardless of early post-conization HPV findings. Although early post-conization positive HPV was a powerful, independent predictor of recurrent high-grade CIN, over one-third of the patients with detected recurrence had a negative early post-conization HPV finding. These patients returned for routine screening, at which time, in most cases, HPV status was positive, thus indicating the need for repeated HPV evaluation. Especially during the on-going pandemic, home vaginal self-sampling is recommended. Particular attention is required for women aged ≥45 years. In addition, although not statistically significant, relevant comorbidities, especially autoimmune conditions, warrant consideration in clinical decision-making. Women who have been treated for high-grade CIN are at risk for recurrent disease and progression to cervical cancer; therefore, they require careful, individualized follow-up to avoid these adverse consequences.     

Selected class I and class II HLA alleles and haplotypes and risk of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia

Human leukocyte antigens (HLAs) present foreign antigens to the immune system and may be important determinants of cervical neoplasia. Previously published associations between HLA and cervical neoplasia exhibit considerable variation in findings. The biomarkers of cervical cancer risk (BCCR) case-control study addressed the role of specific HLA alleles as cofactors in the development of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (HG-CIN) based on the most consistent evidence from published literature. Cases (N = 381) were women with histologically-confirmed HG-CIN attending colposcopy clinics and controls (N = 884) were women from outpatient clinics with normal cytological screening smears. Subjects were mainly of French-Canadian descent. Cervical specimens were tested for human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA and HLA genotypes by PGMY L1 consensus primer PCR and a PCR sequence-specific primer method, respectively. Unlike other studies, the DQB1*03 and DRB1*13 allele groups were not associated with risk of HG-CIN. The B7-DRB1*1501-DQB1*0602 haplotype was associated with a 41% overall reduction in HG-CIN risk (odds ratio [OR] = 0.59; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.36-0.96), and an 83% reduction in risk of HG-CIN among HPV 16 or HPV 18-positive subjects (OR = 0.17; 95%CI: 0.05-0.54). Paradoxically, however, the same haplotype was associated with HPV 16/18 infection risk among controls (OR = 8.44, 95%CI: 1.12-63.73). In conclusion, the B7-DRB1*1501-DQB1*0602 haplotype was protective against HG-CIN, especially in individuals infected with oncogenic HPV, but the mechanism of the association seems to involve multiple steps in the natural history of HPV and CIN.     

Clearance of human papillomavirus infection after successful conization in patients with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia

The natural history of high‐risk human papillomavirus (HRHPV) infection after successful treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) is not well known. This study was performed to evaluate the rate and pattern of HRHPV infection clearance after successful conization for CIN and to analyze factors associated with such clearance. A total of 287 patients who underwent loop electrosurgical excision procedures (LEEP) owing to HRHPV‐associated CIN were included. All patients had negative resection margins on LEEP specimens and underwent HPV testing with the hybrid capture II system at 3‐, 6‐, 9‐, 12‐, 18‐ and 24‐month follow‐up visits after LEEP. Persistent HPV infections were detected in 45.6%, 14.3%, 6.3%, 2.2%, 1.5% and 1.1% of patients at 3, 6, 9, 12, 18 and 24 months after LEEP, respectively. Clearance rates did not differ by age, parity or severity of cervical lesion. However, clearance rates were significantly slower in patients with HPV DNA loads >500 RLU/PC before LEEP (p = 0.040). During 2 years of follow‐up after LEEP, 24 patients had recurrent disease revealed by biopsy. The odds ratios for recurrent disease in patients with persistent HRHPV infection increased gradually from 5.17 at the 3‐month follow‐up visit to 12.54, 15.69 and 25.90 at 6‐, 9‐, 12‐ and 24‐month follow‐up visits, respectively. We conclude that HRHPV infection cleared gradually in most patients within 6 months of treatment. Clearance rates were significantly slower in patients with HPV DNA loads >500 RLU/PC. Persistent HPV infection was a significant positive predictor of recurrence.     

Effects of exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons combined with high-risk human papillomavirus infection on cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: A population study in Shanxi Province,China

High-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) infection is a major etiological agent in the progression of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) and cervical cancer. Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are carcinogenic pollutants that exist widely in the environment. We hypothesized that PAHs exposure was related to the progression of cervical cancer, and could increase the effect of HR-HPV on CIN. We investigated the effects of PAHs exposure combined with HR-HPV infection on CIN in community population in Shanxi Province, China. A total of 2,285 women were enrolled into the study. HR-HPV genotypes were detected by flow-through hybridization technology. 1-hydroxypyrene (1-OHP) was detected by high-performance liquid chromatography. The top three HR-HPV genotypes were 16, 58 and 52 in turn. With unconditional logistic regression analysis, we found that HR-HPV infection (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 4.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.00–5.54), HPV16 infection (aOR = 4.71, 95% CI: 3.39–6.53), HPV58 infection (aOR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.41–3.73) and PAHs high exposure (aOR = 2.57, 95% CI: 1.82–3.62) increased the risk of CIN2/3, showing an increasing trend (p < 0.001) with the severity of cervical lesions. Compared to Q1 (<0.06 μmol/molCr) levels of 1-OHP, women with Q4 (>0.11 μmol/molCr) had a higher risk for CIN2/3 (aOR = 7.68, 95% CI: 4.83–12.22). Additionally, we observed that there was a synergic effect between high exposure to PAHs and HR-HPV infection in CIN2/3. Furthermore, the results from the generalized multifactor dimensionality reduction model showed that there were joint interactions of PAHs, HPV16, HPV58 and HPV52 on the risk of CIN2/3. Our study revealed that high exposure to PAHs could increase the risk for CIN, and it posed stronger risk when combined with HR-HPV infection.     

Cumulative risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia for women with normal cytology but positive for human papillomavirus: Systematic review and meta-analysis

Most women positive for human papillomavirus (HPV) are cytology normal. The optimal screen-management of these women is unclear given their risk of developing precancer. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of progression rates to precancer and cancer for HPV-positive, cytology normal women. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE and Scopus for prospective studies measuring the cumulative incidence of precancer and cervical cancer in HPV-positive, cytology/histology normal women. Record screening was performed independently by two reviewers. We modeled the cumulative incidence over time using a multilevel random-effects meta-regression model. We used the model to predict HPV type-specific risks of precancer and cancer over follow-up. Data from 162 unique records were used in our analysis. The average incidence rate of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or cancer (CIN3+) in high-risk HPV positive but cytology/histology normal women was 1.0 per 100 women-years (95% CI: 1.0-1.1). This corresponds to an average cumulative risk at 1, 3 and 5 years of 2.1% (95% prediction interval 0.0-9.5), 4.3% (95% prediction interval 0.0-11.5) and 6.4% (95% prediction interval 0.0-13.5). HPV type was a strong predictor of the risk of oncogenic progression. There was substantial heterogeneity in the background precancer risk across studies (P-value < .0001). Our HPV type-specific progression risk estimates can help inform risk-based cervical cancer screening guidelines for HPV-positive women. However, precancer and cervical cancer risks are highly variable and may not be generalizable between populations.     

深圳华侨城不同职业女性生殖道HPV感染与CIN现患率调查

背景与目的:目前全世界公认HPV感染是子宫颈癌的病因。本研究旨在了解深圳市不同职业女性人群的生殖道高危型人乳头瘤病毒(human papillomavirus,HPV)感染现状及子宫颈上皮内瘤样病变(cervical intra-epithelial neoplasia,CIN)的现患率,探讨职业因素在子宫颈癌发病中的作用。方法:2004年11月至12月,在深圳市华侨城对15～59岁1137名有性生活女性居民及辖区工厂和服务业从业妇女进行以人群为基础的流行病学调查。对所有接受筛查的妇女均行电子阴道镜检查、液基细胞薄层涂片技术(liquid-based cytology test,LCT)子宫颈脱落细胞学检查及第二代杂交捕获技术(hybrid captureⅡ,HC-Ⅱ)宫颈脱落细胞中高危型HPV检测。对HPV阳性并且LCT≥未明确诊断意义的不典型鳞状上皮细胞(atypical squamous cells of undetetemined sign,ASCUS)和/或LCT≥低度鳞状上皮内瘤样病变(low grade squamous intraepithelial lesion,LSIL)的妇女行阴道镜下活组织病理学检查,以病理结果作为诊断子宫颈上皮内瘤样病变的金标准。资料采用VFP软件录入和整理,利用χ2检验和非条件Lo-gistic回归分析危险因素和CIN的关系。结果:该人群高危HPV-DNA总检出率为14.0%,社区居民、工厂工人、服务业妇女三种人群的HPV检出率分别为14.1%、9.2%、18.9%,工厂工人HPV感染率明显低于服务业妇女和社区居民(P<0.01和P<0.05)。社区居民和工厂工人各年龄组间HPV感染率差异无显著性(P>0.05),服务业妇女15～24岁和25～29岁HPV感染率分别为23.0%和28.2%,较30～34岁和35岁以上组HPV感染率明显增高(P<0.01)。本组妇女CIN现患率为4.4%,CINⅠ现患率明显高于CINⅡ和CINⅢ(P<0.05)。社区居民、工厂工人和服务业妇女CIN现患率分别为3.8%、2.8%和7.4%,服务业妇女CIN现患率明显高于社区居民和工厂工人CIN(P<0.05)。随病变级别升高HPV感染率呈趋势性增加,CINⅡ以上HPV感染率为100%。工人CINⅠ和慢性宫颈炎的HPV感染率为40.0%和47.8%,而服务业CINⅠ的感染率是85.7%,慢性宫颈炎亦有66.7%HPV阳性。单因素和多因素非条件Logistic回归分析,HPV感染是CIN的唯一高危因素(χ2=133.751,P=0.000,OR=43.431);妇女职业、性伙伴≥3个和最经常性伙伴维持时间在1年以内等者是HPV感染的显著危险因素。结论:高危型HPV感染是本组CIN的主要原因,服务业30岁以下妇女HPV感染和CIN现患率均较高,应做重点监测。     

高危型HPV亚型及亚型组合检测宫颈癌及高级别宫颈上皮内瘤变的比较研究

背景与目的：高危型人乳头状瘤病毒(high risk human papillomavirus,hrHPV)感染对于浸润性宫颈癌(invasive cervical carcinoma,ICC)及其癌前病变的致病性存在亚型及地区差异。本研究通过分析本地区30岁及以上女性宫颈病变患者中HPV亚型分布特点,进一步识别罹患包含ICC的高级别宫颈上皮内瘤变(cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse,CIN2+)风险更高的亚型,并比较这些高风险亚型及亚型组合检测CIN2+病变的有效性。方法：收集来自复旦大学附属肿瘤医院就诊患者具备组织学随访结果的宫颈标本,行PCR-反向点杂交法(PCR-reverse dot blot,PCR-RDB)HPV基因分型检测,利用Logistic回归模型分析hrHPV亚型与CIN2+病变的风险关系,并构建ROC曲线(receiver operating characteristiccurve,ROC curve)评价不同亚型及亚型组合检测CIN2+病变的准确性。结果：符合研究要求患者413例,含38例CIN1,184例CIN2/3,126例ICC和65例阴性对照人群。HPV16、58、33和18依次为致CIN2+最常见的4种HPV亚型,仅HPV16(P<0.000 1)、58(P=0.002)及33(P=0.015)为罹患CIN2+病变的高风险亚型。联合检测HPV16/18/33/58诊断CIN2+病变的ROC曲线下面积(the area under the ROC curve,AUC)显著高于HPV16/18亚型组合(P=0.006 6)。结论：HPV16/18/33/58亚型组合用于辅助本地区CIN2+病变的检测可能更为有效。     

Persistent human papillomavirus infection and smoking increase risk of failure of treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN)

Women with abnormal smears have an increased risk of developing cervical cancer. During the 8 years following conservative treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN), their risk of invasive cervical cancer is about 5 times greater than that of the general population. Human papillomavirus (HPV) has been associated with the natural history of both CIN and cervical cancer. To date, there have been no published reports on the predictive value of HPV testing in the treatment outcome of CIN. A prospective, multi-center, cohort study was conducted on women in the Northwest of England who were attending for treatment of CIN. They were asked to complete a questionnaire, which included a detailed smoking history. Pre- and post-treatment HPV testing was performed on cervical biopsies and cervical swab, being taken with the first follow-up smear at 6 months. A nested case-control analysis was performed, cases being defined as women who developed CIN within the 2 years of treatment and controls being sampled from those who did not experience treatment failure within 2 years. Multiple conditional logistic regression is used to study the factors associated with treatment failure of CIN. The cohort included 958 women of whom 77 (8%) experienced treatment failure (cases). Two controls were matched to each case (154). Smoking status was significantly associated with CIN treatment failure(p= 0.0013). Current smokers had a 3-fold increased risk of treatment failure of CIN as compared to non-smokers (95% CI 1.65 to 5.91). Five hundred twenty-five women underwent HPV sampling following treatment, of whom 47 (8.9%) developed further CIN. Post-treatment positive HPV testing was found to be strongly associated with treatment failure of CIN (OR 23.3; 95% CI 3.15-172.1). In 11/45 cases with negative smear at first follow-up, the HPV test was positive. The combination of both HPV and cytology in the first follow-up visit predicted treatment failure in 72% of the cases. Cigarette smoking is a factor, which, independently of HPV infection, influences the treatment outcome of CIN. Smokers and those who are HPV positive during follow-up appear to require longer, more intensive follow-up. HPV testing requires careful consideration as part of routine follow-up protocol following treatment of CIN.     

Prior human papillomavirus‐16/18 AS04‐adjuvanted vaccination prevents recurrent high grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia after definitive surgical therapy: Post‐hoc analysis from a randomized controlled trial

We evaluated the efficacy of the human papillomavirus (HPV)?16/18 AS04‐adjuvanted vaccine in preventing HPV‐related disease after surgery for cervical lesions in a post‐hoc analysis of the PApilloma TRIal against Cancer In young Adults (PATRICIA; NCT00122681). Healthy women aged 15–25 years were randomized (1:1) to receive vaccine or control at months 0, 1 and 6 and followed for 4 years. Women were enrolled regardless of their baseline HPV DNA status, HPV‐16/18 serostatus, or cytology, but excluded if they had previous or planned colposcopy. The primary and secondary endpoints of PATRICIA have been reported previously; the present post‐hoc analysis evaluated efficacy in a subset of women who underwent an excisional procedure for cervical lesions after vaccination. The main outcome was the incidence of subsequent HPV‐related cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or greater (CIN2+) 60 days or more post‐surgery. Other outcomes included the incidence of HPV‐related CIN1+, and vulvar or vaginal intraepithelial neoplasia (VIN/VaIN) 60 days or more post‐surgery. Of the total vaccinated cohort of 18,644 women (vaccine = 9,319; control = 9,325), 454 (vaccine = 190, control = 264) underwent an excisional procedure during the trial. Efficacy 60 days or more post‐surgery for a first lesion, irrespective of HPV DNA results, was 88.2% (95% CI: 14.8, 99.7) against CIN2+ and 42.6% (?21.1, 74.1) against CIN1+. No VIN was reported and one woman in each group had VaIN2+ 60 days or more post‐surgery. Women who undergo surgical therapy for cervical lesions after vaccination with the HPV‐16/18 vaccine may continue to benefit from vaccination, with a reduced risk of developing subsequent CIN2+.     

Long‐term follow‐up of the risk for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse in HPV‐negative women after conization

Little research has been conducted on the long‐term value of human papillomavirus (HPV) testing after conization. We investigated whether cytology adds to the value of a negative HPV test for long‐term prediction of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+). In addition, we compared risk of CIN2+ following a negative HPV test in women after conization with that in women from the general population. During 2002–2005, 667 women treated for CIN2+ were tested for HPV and cytology 46 months after conization. Only HPV‐negative women were included. Women participating in routine screening were age‐matched with post‐conization HPV‐negative women, leaving 13,230 and 477 women, respectively, for analysis. By linkage to the Pathology Data Bank, we identified all cases of CIN2+ by December 2013. The 3‐, 5‐, 8‐ and 10‐year risks for CIN2+ were 0.7, 0.9, 2.8 and 5.7% after a negative HPV test and 0.5, 0.8, 2.9 and 6.1% in HPV and cytology‐negative women. HPV‐negative women in the general population had similar 3‐year and 5‐year risks of 0.4 and 1.0%; thereafter, they had lower risks of 1.9% at 8 years and 2.7% at 10 years. Our results indicate that HPV testing may be used as a test of cure after conization. In the first 5 years after testing, the risk for CIN2+ of women who were HPV‐negative at 34 months after conization was similar to that of HPV‐negative women in the general population. After 67 years, however, women who have undergone conization may be at higher risk for CIN2+.     

Human papillomavirus vaccine to prevent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in Japan: A nationwide case‐control study

Cervical cancer remains among the most common cancers in women worldwide and can be prevented by vaccination. The Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan suspended active recommendation of regular human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines in 2013 because of various symptoms including chronic pain and motor impairment. This nationwide case‐control study from April 2013 to March 2017 targeted women aged 20‐24 years old at cervical screening. We compared HPV vaccination exposure between those with abnormal and normal cytology. Abnormal cytology was classified based on the results of histological test and we calculated the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of the above endpoints and vaccination exposure using the conditional logistic regression model and estimated vaccine effectiveness using the formula (1 – OR) × 100. A total of 2483 cases and 12 296 controls (one‐to‐five matching) were eligible in 31 municipalities in Japan. The distribution of histological abnormalities among cases was 797 CIN1 (including dysplasia) (32.1%), 165 CIN2 (6.7%), 44 CIN3 (1.8%), and eight squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) (0.3%). The OR of HPV vaccination compared with no vaccination for abnormal cytology, CIN1+, CIN2+, and CIN3+ versus controls was 0.42 (95% CI, 0.34‐0.50), 0.42 (95% CI, 0.31‐0.58), 0.25 (95% CI, 0.12‐0.54), and 0.19 (95% CI, 0.03‐1.15), respectively, equating to a vaccine effectiveness of 58.5%, 57.9%, 74.8%, and 80.9%, respectively. Eight patients had SCC, none was vaccinated. This nationwide case‐control study in Japan demonstrated a substantial risk reduction in abnormal cytology and CIN among women who did versus those who did not receive HPV vaccination.     

Long‐term cumulative incidence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse after abnormal cytology: Impact of HIV infection

To estimate the long term cumulative risk for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse after an abnormal cervical Pap test and to assess the effect of HIV infection on that risk. Participants in the Women's Interagency HIV Study were followed semiannually for up to 10 years. Pap tests were categorized according to the 1991 Bethesda system. Colposcopy was prescribed within 6 months of any abnormality. Risk for biopsy‐confirmed CIN3 or worse after abnormal cytology and at least 12 months follow‐up was assessed using Kaplan–Meier curves and compared using log‐rank tests. Risk for CIN2 or worse was also assessed, since CIN2 is the threshold for treatment. After a median of 3 years of observation, 1,947 (85%) women subsequently presented for colposcopy (1,571 [81%] HIV seropositive, 376 [19%] seronegative). CIN2 or worse was found in 329 (21%) of HIV seropositive and 42 (11%) seronegative women. CIN3 or worse was found in 141 (9%) of seropositive and 22 (6%) seronegative women. In multivariable analysis, after controlling for cytology grade HIV seropositive women had an increased risk for CIN2 or worse (H.R. 1.66, 95% C.I 1.15, 2.45) but higher risk for CIN3 or worse did not reach significance (H.R. 1.33, 95% C.I. 0.79, 2.34). HIV seropositive women with abnormal Paps face a marginally increased and long‐term risk for cervical disease compared to HIV seronegative women, but most women with ASCUS and LSIL Pap results do not develop CIN2 or worse despite years of observation.     

Variant‐specific persistence of infections with human papillomavirus Types 31, 33, 45, 56 and 58 and risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia

In our previous study of the etiologic role of oncogenic human papillomavirus (HPV) types other than HPV16 and 18, we observed a significantly higher risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia Grades 2–3 (CIN2/3) associated with certain lineages of HPV types 31/33/45/56/58 [called high‐risk (HR) variants] compared with non‐HR variants. This study was to examine whether these intra‐type variants differ in persistence of the infection and persistence‐associated risk of CIN2/3. Study subjects were women who had any of HPV types 31/33/45/56/58 newly detected during a 2‐year follow‐up with 6‐month intervals. For each type, the first positive sample was used for variant characterization. The association of reverting‐to‐negativity with group of the variants and CIN2/3 with length of positivity was assessed using discrete Cox regression and logistic regression, respectively. Of the 598 newly detected, type‐specific HPV infections, 312 became undetectable during follow‐up. Infections with HR, compared with non‐HR, variants were marginally more likely to become negative [adjusted hazard ratio = 1.3; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.9–1.8]. The adjusted odds ratio associating with the development of CIN2/3 was 3.0 (95% CI, 1.2–7.4) for persistent infections with HR variants for 6 months and 10.0 (95% CI, 3.8–38.0) for persistent infections with HR variants for 12–18 months as compared with the first positive detection of HR variants. Among women with non‐HR variants, there were no appreciable differences in risk of CIN2/3 by length of positivity. Findings suggest that the lineage‐associated risk of CIN2/3 was not mediated through a prolonged persistent infection, but oncogenic heterogeneity of the variants.     

Immunodeficiency and the risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2/3 and cervical cancer: A nested case‐control study in the Swiss HIV cohort study

HIV‐infected women are at increased risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) and invasive cervical cancer (ICC), but it has been difficult to disentangle the influences of heavy exposure to HPV infection, inadequate screening and immunodeficiency. A case‐control study including 364 CIN2/3 and 20 ICC cases matched to 1,147 controls was nested in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (1985–2013). CIN2/3 risk was significantly associated with low CD4+ cell counts, whether measured as nadir [odds ratio (OR) per 100‐cell/μL decrease = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.22], or at CIN2/3 diagnosis (1.10, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.16). An association was evident even for nadir CD4+ 200–349 versus ≥350 cells/μL (OR = 1.57, 95% CI: 1.09, 2.25). After adjustment for nadir CD4+, a protective effect of >2‐year cART use was seen against CIN2/3 (OR versus never cART use = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.42, 0.98). Despite low study power, similar associations were seen for ICC, notably with nadir CD4+ (OR for 50 vs. >350 cells/μL= 11.10, 95% CI: 1.24, 100). HPV16‐L1 antibodies were significantly associated with CIN2/3, but HPV16‐E6 antibodies were nearly exclusively detected in ICC. In conclusion, worsening immunodeficiency, even at only moderately decreased CD4+ cell counts, is a significant risk factor for CIN2/3 and cervical cancer.