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1.
OBJECTIVES: This report presents preliminary results describing the effects of implementing the Tenth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) on mortality statistics for selected causes of death effective with deaths occurring in the United States in 1999. The report also describes major features of the Tenth Revision (ICD-10), including changes from the Ninth Revision (ICD-9) in classification and rules for selecting underlying causes of death. Application of comparability ratios is also discussed. METHODS: The report is based on cause-of-death information from a large sample of 1996 death certificates filed in the 50 States and the District of Columbia. Cause-of-death information in the sample includes underlying cause of death classified by both ICD-9 and ICD-10. Because the data file on which comparability information is derived is incomplete, results are preliminary. RESULTS: Preliminary comparability ratios by cause of death presented in this report indicate the extent of discontinuities in cause-of-death trends from 1998 through 1999 resulting from implementing ICD-10. For some leading causes (e.g., Septicemia, Influenza and pneumonia, Alzheimer's disease, and Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis), the discontinuity in trend is substantial. The ranking of leading causes of death is also substantially affected for some causes of death. CONCLUSIONS: Results of this study, although preliminary, are essential to analyzing trends in mortality between ICD-9 and ICD-10. In particular, the results provide a means for interpreting changes between 1998, which is the last year in which ICD-9 was used, and 1999, the year in which ICD-10 was implemented for mortality in the United States.  相似文献   

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BACKGROUND: The toxic oil syndrome (TOS) epidemic that occurred in Spain in the spring of 1981 caused approximately 20000 cases of a new illness. Overall mortality and mortality by cause in this cohort through 1994 are described for the first time in this report. METHODS: We contacted, via mail or telephone, almost every living member of the cohort and family members of those who were known to have died in order to identify all deaths from 1 May 1981 through 31 December 1994. Cause of death data were collected from death certificates and underlying causes of death were coded using the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision. RESULTS: We identified 1663 deaths between 1 May 1981 and 31 December 1994 among 19 754 TOS cohort members, for a crude mortality rate of 8.4%. Mortality was highest during 1981, with a standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 4.92 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.39-5.50) compared with the Spanish population as a whole. The highest SMR, (20.41, 95% CI: 15.97-25.71) was seen among women aged 20-39 years during the period from 1 May 1981 through 31 December 1982. Women <40 years old, who were affected by TOS , were at greater risk for death in most time periods than their unaffected peers, while older women and men were not. Over the follow-up period, mortality of the cohort was less than expected when compared with mortality of the general Spanish population, or with mortality of the population of the 14 provinces where the epidemic occurred. We also found that, except for deaths attributed to external causes including TOS and deaths due to pulmonary hypertension, all causes of death were decreased in TOS patients compared to the Spanish population. The most frequent underlying causes of death were TOS, 350 (21.1%); circulatory disorders, 536 (32.3%); and malignancies, 310 (18.7%). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that while on average people affected by toxic oil syndrome are not at greater risk for death over the 13-year study period than any of the comparison groups, women <40 years old were at greater risk of death.  相似文献   

4.
OBJECTIVE: To describe the distribution of mortality due to digestive tract, genitourinary and nervous system diseases according to occupation among Brazilian Navy servicemen. METHODS: This was an exploratory study of proportional mortality among male servicemen in the Brazilian Navy who died between 1991 and 1995. The study population comprises the entire contingent of servicemen during this same time period. Data were obtained from death certificates submitted in order to obtain dependents' pensions, and from the corresponding occupational histories of these individuals. Basic causes of death were coded in accordance with the International Classification of Diseases (9th Revision). RESULTS: Servicemen presented increased proportional mortality for liver diseases related to alcohol consumption (age-adjusted proportional mortality ratio, PMRadj=2.03; 95% confidence interval, CI: 1.26-3.00), pancreatitis (PMRadj=2.03; 95% CI: 1.06-3.38), digestive hemorrhage (PMRadj=1.61; 95% CI: 1.10-2.23), chronic kidney diseases (PMRadj=2.82; 95% CI: 1.98-3.84), Parkinson's disease (PMRadj=3.00; 95% CI: 1.27-5.72) and degenerative brain diseases (PMRadj=2.88; 95% CI: 1.14-5.70), in relation to the reference population. A statistically non-significant association was observed between radar operators (PMR=6.50; 95% CI: 1.43-29.56) and nervous system diseases was observed. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate the existence of possible occupational risk factors in the working environment of the Brazilian Navy, and the need for studies using quantitative measurement of such exposure.  相似文献   

5.
Most of the studies of inequalities in mortality carried out in Spain have been ecological, due to the difficulty of obtaining good quality socioeconomic information at individual level. The objective of this study was to describe inequalities in mortality by social class, based on occupation, among men residents of Barcelona in 1993. A representative sample was obtained of men residents of Barcelona who died during the year 1993, aged between 15 and 65 years. It was a retrospective interview given to relatives of the deceased, or other closely related persons. The variables analysed were: age, education level, underlying cause of death, and social class based on occupation (manual and non-manual workers). Rates, relative risks (RRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) are presented by age groups and cause of death. The main results show that among young people, the excess of mortality due to infectious diseases is notable (RR: 1.9; 95% CI: 1.6–2.2), and also due to external causes (RR: 2.1; 95% CI: 1.8–2.4) among manual workers with respect to non-manual workers, mainly due to AIDS and drug overdose. No significant differences were found in mortality due to tumours. For respiratory and cardiovascular causes, there is an increase in mortality in the less favoured social classes, as also occurs for mortality due to diseases of the digestive system, particularly among young manual workers, with an RR: 2.6 (95% CI: 1.5–3.6) compared to non-manual workers. This study shows that it is necessary to continue exploring inequalities in health, but above all it is necessary to implement efficient preventive measures addressed mainly at young people in situations of disadvantage, in order to avoid the excess of avoidable mortality which is found.  相似文献   

6.
This study examined associations between mortality and demographic and risk characteristics among young injection drug users in San Francisco, California, and compared the mortality rate with that of the population. A total of 644 young (<30 years) injection drug users completed a baseline interview and were enrolled in a prospective cohort study, known as the UFO ("U Find Out") Study, from November 1997 to December 2007. Using the National Death Index, the authors identified 38 deaths over 4,167 person-years of follow-up, yielding a mortality rate of 9.1 (95% confidence interval: 6.6, 12.5) per 1,000 person-years. This mortality rate was 10 times that of the general population. The leading causes of death were overdose (57.9%), self-inflicted injury (13.2%), trauma/accidents (10.5%), and injection drug user-related medical conditions (13.1%). Mortality incidence was significantly higher among those who reported injecting heroin most days in the past month (adjusted hazard ratio = 5.8, 95% confidence interval: 1.4, 24.3). The leading cause of death in this group was overdose, and primary use of heroin was the only significant risk factor for death observed in the study. These findings highlight the continued need for public health interventions that address the risk of overdose in this population in order to reduce premature deaths.  相似文献   

7.
BACKGROUND: The objective of this study is to describe the inequalities in mortality by occupational category and sex in a retrospective cohort of civil servants working in the city council of Barcelona (Spain). METHODS: The cohort was followed for the period 1984-1993. There were 11 647 men and 9001 women. Age-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of death for occupational categories and manual versus non-manual groups and 95% CI were derived from Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: For total deaths in males, compared with high-level professionals, auxiliary workers (HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 0.96-1.77), skilled manual workers (HR = 1.29, 95% CI: 0.95-1.77), unskilled manual workers (HR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.07-1.98) and police and fire manual workers (HR = 1.42, 95% CI: 1.08-1.87) had higher risk of death. Among women, for all causes of mortality, only police manual workers had higher mortality (HR = 5.63, 95% CI: 1.89-16.7) whereas auxiliary workers had the lowest HR (HR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.25-1.05). The HR comparing manual and non-manual categories for all causes of death was 1.29 for males (95% CI: 1.09-1.52) and 1.07 for females (95% CI: 0.77-1.49). Among males, whereas manual workers had lower cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.63-1.15), cancer mortality was higher in the manual category. No association between manual category and mortality was found among women. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides an analysis of social inequalities in mortality in a cohort from a Southern European urban area.  相似文献   

8.
Suicide is among the 10 leading causes of death. Attempted suicide is 10-40 times more frequent than completed suicide and is the strongest single predictor of subsequent suicide. The current study population included all persons in Finland who were hospitalized with a diagnosis of attempted suicide between 1996 and 2003 (N = 18,199). Information on background variables and mortality was obtained by register linkage. The risk of repeated attempted suicide was 30% and the risk of suicide was 10%. The risks of repeated attempted suicide, completed suicide, and death from any cause were high immediately after discharge from the hospital. Analysis of competing causes of death revealed that while alcohol-related disorder was not associated with suicide, it markedly increased the risk of other violent death: The subdistribution hazards rate (SHR) was 2.61 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.12, 3.21). Schizophrenia-related disorders (SHR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.57, 2.21) and mood disorders (SHR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.47, 2.01) were associated with the risk of suicide. The risks of suicide and all-cause mortality were extremely high immediately after hospitalization for attempted suicide.  相似文献   

9.
The prevalence of obesity in childhood and adolescence has increased worldwide. Long-term effects of adolescent obesity on cause-specific mortality are not well specified. The authors studied 227,000 adolescents (aged 14-19 years) measured (height and weight) in Norwegian health surveys in 1963-1975. During follow-up (8 million person-years), 9,650 deaths were observed. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to compare cause-specific mortality among individuals whose baseline body mass index (BMI) was below the 25th percentile, between the 75th and 84th percentiles, and above the 85th percentile in a US reference population with that of individuals whose BMI was between the 25th and 75th percentiles. Risk of death from endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases and from circulatory system diseases was increased in the two highest BMI categories for both sexes. Relative risks of ischemic heart disease death were 2.9 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.3, 3.6) for males and 3.7 (95% CI: 2.3, 5.7) for females in the highest BMI category compared with the reference. There was also an increased risk of death from colon cancer (males: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.1, 4.1; females: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.2, 3.5), respiratory system diseases (males: 2.7, 95% CI: 1.4, 5.2; females: 2.5, 95% CI: 1.4, 4.8), and sudden death (males: 2.2, 95% CI: 1.2, 4.3; females: 2.7, 95% CI: 1.1, 6.6). Adolescent obesity was related to increased mortality in middle age from several important causes.  相似文献   

10.
BACKGROUND: To investigate the association between infant mortality at time of birth and mortality from various causes of death in adulthood in men and women. METHODS: Linked mortality study based on mortality records for 1996 and 1997 and on 1996 population census data of the Region of Madrid (Spain). Deaths from five cancer sites and from five chronic diseases were estimated for 1 224 894 people aged 35-74 years residing in the Region of Madrid who were born elsewhere in Spain. RESULTS: A gradient in mortality by infant mortality quartile was seen for mortality from stomach cancer, colon cancer, diabetes mellitus and chronic liver disease in men, and for stomach cancer, ischaemic heart disease and chronic liver disease in women. The association was positive for stomach cancer and negative for all other causes. The relative mortality rates adjusted for age and adult socioeconomic factors for men belonging to infant mortality quartiles 3 and 4 (highest) versus those belonging to quartiles 1 and 2 as baseline were 1.06 (95% CI : 0.75-1.56) for stomach cancer, 0.67 (95% CI : 0.47-0.95) for colon cancer, 0.59 (95% CI : 0.35- 1.00) for diabetes mellitus, and 0.70 (95% CI : 0.49-0.99) for chronic heart disease. The relative mortality rates for women were 2.06 (95% CI : 1.09-3.88) for stomach cancer, 0.58 (95% CI : 0.41-0.80) for ischaemic heart disease, and 0.44 (95% CI : 0.27-0.70) for chronic liver disease. CONCLUSION: Higher infant mortality at time of birth is associated with adult mortality from diabetes mellitus and colon cancer in men, from ischaemic heart disease in women, and from stomach cancer and chronic liver disease in both sexes. These results most likely reflect adverse living conditions and/or nutritional deprivation in childhood.  相似文献   

11.
The purpose of this paper is to describe the statistical impact of the Tenth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) on cause-of-death data for the United States. ICD-10 was implemented in the U.S. effective with deaths occurring in 1999. The paper is based on cause-of-death information from a large sample of 1996 death certificates filed in the 50 States and the District of Columbia. Cause-of-death information in the sample includes underlying cause of death classified by both ICD-9 and ICD-10. Preliminary comparability ratios by cause of death presented in this paper indicate the extent of discontinuities in cause-of-death trends from 1998 to 1999 resulting from implementing ICD-10. For some leading causes (for example, septicaemia, influenza and pneumonia, Alzheimer's disease, and nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis) the discontinuity in trend is substantial. Results of this study, although preliminary, are essential to analysing trends in mortality statistics between ICD-9 and ICD-10. In particular, the results provide a means for interpreting changes between 1998, which is the last year in which ICD-9 was used, and 1999, the year in which ICD-10 was implemented for mortality in the United States. Published in 2003 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

12.
OBJECTIVE: Deaths due to external and natural causes with forensic intervention require medical-legal autopsy. In order to be included in the mortality statistics the results are reported in the statistical document MNP52. The accuracy of cause of death depends on the characteristics of the document, the point at which it is completed (after the death or after the autopsy) and the person that completes it. The objective is to determine the accuracy of external and natural causes of death with forensic intervention, reported in the official statistical documents by a medical-legal autopsy report of these deaths occurred in Catalonia in 1996. METHODS: Two samplings were undertaken--one for natural causes and another for external causes--that were stratified by sex and judicial district. The information sources were the Mortality Register of Catalonia for the statistical documents and the criminal courts for the medical-legal autopsy, toxicological and pathological reports. We calculated the index of agreement, the sensitivity or detection rate (DR) and the positive predictive value of confirmation rate (CR), and their respective 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: The index of agreement was 72.3% (IC 95%: 68.7-75.9). The DR for external causes groups was 65.9% (60.6-71.2) and the CR was 69% (63.6-71.2). For natural causes the DR was 79.4% (74.7-84.2) and the CR was 75.5% (70.7-80.5). CONCLUSION: In deaths with forensic intervention, the official statistical documents do not correctly report external causes of death, and statistics for natural causes of death approach acceptable levels of accuracy. The results are mainly due to deficits in reporting and certifying these causes in the official statistics.  相似文献   

13.
BACKGROUND:Although vital statistics have indicated large Japanese-American differences in mortality rates for coronary heart disease (CHD), the magnitude of difference has not been documented well using comparable validation of cause of death. METHODS:Population-based fatal CHD data were compared between the Oita Cardiac Death Survey, Japan and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, USA. Both studies (population: Oita City 198 093; the ARIC comunities 286 820) identified possible fatal CHD events (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision [ICD-9]: 410-414, 250, 401-402, 427-429, 440, and 798-799) among residents aged 35-74 years during 1992-1993. Comparable criteria for classifying cause of death were applied. Sex-specific, age-adjusted mortality rates of CHD were calculated by place of death. RESULTS:In all, 330 deaths in Oita and 1398 in the ARIC communities had eligible ICD-9 death certificate codes; CHD codes (ICD-9 410-414) comprised 30.6% of investigated deaths in Oita and 58.6% in ARIC. For men, the non-validated rate ratio for CHD deaths (ARIC:Oita City) was 5.9 (95% CI : 4.2-8.5), which fell to 4.7 (95% CI : 3.5-6.4) with validation and inclusion of sudden deaths within one hour of onset as fatal CHD. For women, the overall non-validated rate ratio was 4.6 (95% CI : 2.8-7.6), which fell to 3.9 (95% CI : 2.4-6.3) with validation and but there was little further change when the sudden deaths were added. CONCLUSIONS:Our results suggest that differences in fatal CHD rates between Japanese and Americans were not as large as suggested by vital statistics when events were validated and sudden deaths were included.  相似文献   

14.
OBJECTIVES: This report presents final 1999 data on the 10 leading causes of death in the United States by age, race, sex, and Hispanic origin. Leading causes of infant, neonatal, and postneonatal death are also presented. This report supplements the annual report of final mortality statistics and responds to an increasing volume of requests by data users for leading-cause tables with more age and race detail than previously published. METHODS: Data in this report are based on information from all death certificates filed in the 50 States and the District of Columbia in 1999. Causes of death classified by the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) are ranked according to the number of deaths assigned to rankable causes. Age categories used to present leading causes of death in this report represent a substantial expansion from the age categories previously used to present leading-cause data in the annual report of final mortality statistics. RESULTS: In 1999 the 10 leading causes of death were (in rank order) Diseases of heart; Malignant neoplasms; Cerebrovascular diseases; Chronic lower respiratory diseases; Accidents; Diabetes mellitus; Influenza and pneumonia; Alzheimer's disease; Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis; and Septicemia and accounted for nearly 80 percent of all deaths occurring in the United States. Differences in the rankings are evident by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin. Leading causes of infant death for 1999 were (in rank order) Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities; Disorders related to short gestation and low birthweight, not elsewhere classified; Sudden infant death syndrome; newborn affected by maternal complications of pregnancy; Respiratory distress of newborn; Newborn affected by complications of placenta, cord, and membranes; Accidents; Bacterial sepsis of newborn; Diseases of the circulatory system; and Atelectasis. Important variation in the leading causes of infant death is noted for the neonatal and postneonatal periods.  相似文献   

15.
OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study is to investigate the burden of deprivation-associated excess of deaths by 10 leading causes of death in each gender and two age groups. DESIGN: A small-area ecological study using two indices of material deprivation drawn from 1991 census and mortality data aggregated for 1987-1995 was undertaken. SETTING: 2218 small areas in Spain. Data are presented by region. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The 10 leading causes of death in each gender and two age groups were determined. RESULTS: The deprivation-associated excess mortality in the top 10 leading causes of death was 14.4 and 11% for males and females, respectively. Excess mortality in the 9-year period studied accounted for more than 222,000 deaths. A large proportion of excess deaths was found in causes related to smoking and alcohol consumption among males and diet-related causes of death among females. The most deprived regions within the country showed the highest mortality risk. CONCLUSIONS: Material deprivation appears to be manifested in high mortality rates differently by gender and region. It imposes a significant public health burden that demands urgently attention and action by health policy-makers.  相似文献   

16.
OBJECTIVE: To analyze comparability between the ninth and tenth revisions of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) applied to coding causes of death in Spain. METHODS: According to the ninth and tenth revisions of the ICD, 80,084 statistical bulletins of mortality registered in 1999 were assigned the Basic Cause of Death. The statistical bulletins corresponded to the Autonomous Communities of Andalusia, Cantabria, Murcia, Navarre and the Basque Country, and the city of Barcelona. The underlying causes of death were classified into 17 groups. Simple correspondence, the Kappa index and the comparability ratio for major causes were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 3.6% of deaths changed group due to an increase (36.4%) in infectious and parasitic diseases, mainly because of the inclusion of AIDS, and a corresponding decrease due to the exclusion of endocrine, nutritional and metabolic disorders. Furthermore, myelodysplastic syndrome was moved to the category of neoplasm. The group including nervous system diseases, eye and related diseases, and ear and mastoid apophysis diseases increased (14.7%) at the expense of mental and behavior disorders, due to the inclusion of senile and presenile organic psychosis. Poorly-defined entities increased (14.1%) due to the inclusion of cardiac arrest and its synonyms, together with heart failure, to the detriment of diseases of the vascular system. Diseases of the respiratory system increased (4.8%) due to the inclusion of respiratory failure, previously considered as a poorly defined cause. The correspondence for all causes was 96.4% and kappa's index was 94.9% CONCLUSIONS: The introduction of ICD-10 affects the comparability of statistical series of mortality according to cause. The results of this study allow us to identify the main modifications and to quantify the changes in the major causes of mortality in Spain.  相似文献   

17.
OBJECTIVES: This study evaluated factors associated with accidental fatal drug overdose among a cohort of injection drug users (IDUs). METHODS: In a prospective cohort study of 2849 IDUs in King County, Washington, deaths were identified by electronically merging subject identifiers with death certificate records. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of overdose mortality. RESULTS: Thirty-two overdoses were observed. Independent predictors of overdose mortality were bisexual sexual orientation (relative risk [RR] = 4.86; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.30, 13.2), homelessness (RR = 2.30; 95% CI = 1.06, 5.01), infrequent injection of speedballs (RR = 5.36; 95% CI = 1.58, 18.1), daily use of powdered cocaine (RR = 4.84; 95% CI = 1.13, 20.8), and daily use of poppers (RR = 22.0; 95% CI = 1.74, 278). CONCLUSIONS: Sexual orientation, homelessness, and drug use identify IDUs who may benefit from targeted interventions.  相似文献   

18.
OBJECTIVES: This report presents final 2003 data on the 10 leading causes of death in the United States by age, race, sex, and Hispanic origin. Leading causes of infant, neonatal, and postneonatal death are also presented. This report supplements the annual report of final mortality statistics. METHODS: Data in this report are based on information from all death certificates filed in the 50 states and the District of Columbia in 2003. Causes of death classified by the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) are ranked according to the number of deaths assigned to rankable causes. RESULTS: In 2003, the 10 leading causes of death were (in rank order): Diseases of heart; Malignant neoplasms; Cerebrovascular diseases; Chronic lower respiratory diseases; Accidents (unintentional injuries); Diabetes mellitus; Influenza and pneumonia; Alzheimer's disease; Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis; and Septicemia and accounted for about 78 percent of all deaths occurring in the United States. Differences in the ranking are evident by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin. Leading causes of infant death for 2003 were (in rank order): Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities; Disorders related to short gestation and low birth weight, not elsewhere classified; Sudden infant death syndrome; Newborn affected by maternal complications of pregnancy; Newborn affected by complications of placenta, cord and membranes; Accidents (unintentional injuries); Respiratory distress of newborn; Bacterial sepsis of newborn; Neonatal hemorrhage; and Diseases of the circulatory system. Important variation in the leading causes of infant death is noted for the neonatal and postneonatal periods.  相似文献   

19.
New Mexico leads the nation in poisoning mortality, which has increased during the 1990s in New Mexico and the United States. Most of this increase has been due to unintentional deaths from illicit drug overdoses. Medical examiner and/or vital statistics data have been used to track poisoning deaths. In this study, the authors linked medical examiner and vital statistics records on underlying cause of death, coded using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, to assess the extent to which these data sources agreed with respect to poisoning deaths. The authors used multiple-cause files, which are files with several causes listed for each death, to further assess poisoning deaths involving more than one drug. Using vital statistics or medical examiner records, 94.7% of poisoning deaths were captured by each source alone. For unintentional illicit drug and heroin overdose deaths, each data source alone captured smaller percentages of deaths. Deaths coded as E858.8 (unintentional poisoning due to other drugs) require linkage with medical examiner or multiple-cause records, because this code identifies a significant percentage of illicit drug overdose deaths but obscures the specific drug(s) involved. Surveillance of poisoning death should include the use of medical examiner records and underlying- and multiple-cause vital statistics records.  相似文献   

20.
OBJECTIVE: In recent decades, in most European countries young adult mortality has risen, or at best has remained stable. The aim of this study was to describe trends in mortality attributable to the principal causes of death: AIDS, drug overdose, suicide and motor vehicle traffic accidents, among adults aged between 15 and 34 years in three European cities (Barcelona, Bologna and Munich), over the period 1986 to 1995. METHODS: The population studied consisted of all deaths that occurred between 1986 and 1995 among residents of Barcelona, Bologna and Munich aged from 15 to 34 years. Information about deaths was obtained from mortality registers. The study variables were sex, age, the underlying cause of death and year of death. Causes of death studied were: drug overdose, AIDS, suicide and motor vehicle traffic accidents. Age standardised mortality rates (direct adjustment) were obtained in all three cities for the age range 15-34. To investigate trends in mortality over the study period Poisson regression models were fitted, obtaining the average relative risk (RR) associated with a one year increment. RESULTS: Young adult mortality increased among men in Barcelona and Bologna (RR per year: 1.04, 95% confidence intervals (95%CI): 1.03, 1.06 in Barcelona and RR:1.03, 95%CI:1.01, 1.06 in Bologna) and among women in Barcelona (RR:1.02, 95%CI: 1.01, 1.04), with a change in the pattern of the main causes of death attributable to the increase in AIDS and drug overdose mortality. In Munich, the pattern did not change as much, suicides being the main cause of death during the 10 years studied, although they have been decreasing since 1988 (RR:0.92, 95%CI:0.88, 0.96 for men and 0.81, 95%CI: 0.75-0.87 for women). CONCLUSION: The increase in AIDS mortality observed in the three European cities in the mid-80s and mid-90s has yielded substantial changes in the pattern of the main causes of death at young ages in Barcelona and Bologna. Munich presented a more stable pattern, with suicide as the main cause of death.  相似文献   

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