Predictors of mortality of influenza virus infections in a Swiss Hospital during four influenza seasons: Role of quick sequential organ failure assessment

BackgroundInfluenza infections have been associated with high morbidity. The aims were to determine predictors of mortality among patients with influenza infections and to ascertain the role of quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) in predicting poor outcomes.MethodsAll adult patients with influenza infection at the Hospital of Jura, Switzerland during four influenza seasons (2014/15 to 2017/18) were included. Cepheid Xpert Xpress Flu/RSV was used during the first three influenza seasons and Cobas Influenza A/B and RSV during the 2017/18 season.ResultsAmong 1684 influenza virus tests performed, 441 patients with influenza infections were included (238 for influenza A virus and 203 for B). The majority of infections were community onset (369; 83.7%). Thirty-day mortality was 6.0% (25 patients). Multivariate analysis revealed that infection due to A virus (P 0.035; OR 7.1; 95% CI 1.1–43.8), malnutrition (P < 0.001; OR 25.0; 95% CI 4.5–138.8), hospital-acquired infection (P 0.003; OR 12.2; 95% CI 2.3–65.1), respiratory insufficiency (PaO₂/FiO₂ < 300) (P < 0.001; OR 125.8; 95% CI 9.6–1648.7) and pulmonary infiltrate on X-ray (P 0.020; OR 6.0; 95% CI 1.3–27.0) were identified as predictors of mortality. qSOFA showed a very good accuracy (0.89) equivalent to other more specific and burdensome scores such as CURB-65 and Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI).ConclusionqSOFA performed similarly to specific severity scores (PSI, CURB-65) in predicting mortality. Infection by influenza A virus, respiratory insufficiency and malnutrition were associated with worse prognosis.     

Myocardial Injury on CMR in Patients With COVID-19 and Suspected Cardiac Involvement

BackgroundMyocardial injury in patients with COVID-19 and suspected cardiac involvement is not well understood.ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to characterize myocardial injury in a multicenter cohort of patients with COVID-19 and suspected cardiac involvement referred for cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR).MethodsThis retrospective study consisted of 1,047 patients from 18 international sites with polymerase chain reaction–confirmed COVID-19 infection who underwent CMR. Myocardial injury was characterized as acute myocarditis, nonacute/nonischemic, acute ischemic, and nonacute/ischemic patterns on CMR.ResultsIn this cohort, 20.9% of patients had nonischemic injury patterns (acute myocarditis: 7.9%; nonacute/nonischemic: 13.0%), and 6.7% of patients had ischemic injury patterns (acute ischemic: 1.9%; nonacute/ischemic: 4.8%). In a univariate analysis, variables associated with acute myocarditis patterns included chest discomfort (OR: 2.00; 95% CI: 1.17-3.40, P = 0.01), abnormal electrocardiogram (ECG) (OR: 1.90; 95% CI: 1.12-3.23; P = 0.02), natriuretic peptide elevation (OR: 2.99; 95% CI: 1.60-5.58; P = 0.0006), and troponin elevation (OR: 4.21; 95% CI: 2.41-7.36; P < 0.0001). Variables associated with acute ischemic patterns included chest discomfort (OR: 3.14; 95% CI: 1.04-9.49; P = 0.04), abnormal ECG (OR: 4.06; 95% CI: 1.10-14.92; P = 0.04), known coronary disease (OR: 33.30; 95% CI: 4.04-274.53; P = 0.001), hospitalization (OR: 4.98; 95% CI: 1.55-16.05; P = 0.007), natriuretic peptide elevation (OR: 4.19; 95% CI: 1.30-13.51; P = 0.02), and troponin elevation (OR: 25.27; 95% CI: 5.55-115.03; P < 0.0001). In a multivariate analysis, troponin elevation was strongly associated with acute myocarditis patterns (OR: 4.98; 95% CI: 1.76-14.05; P = 0.003).ConclusionsIn this multicenter study of patients with COVID-19 with clinical suspicion for cardiac involvement referred for CMR, nonischemic and ischemic patterns were frequent when cardiac symptoms, ECG abnormalities, and cardiac biomarker elevations were present.     

Preoperative predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BackgroundThis study aimed to identify predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) resection with and without neoadjuvant therapy.MethodsIncluded were patients who underwent PDAC resection (2014–2016). Multivariable multinomial regression was performed to identify preoperative predictors for manifestation of recurrence within 3, 6 and 12 months after PDAC resection.Results836 patients with a median follow-up of 37 (interquartile range [IQR] 30–48) months and overall survival of 18 (IQR 10-32) months were analyzed. 670 patients (80%) developed recurrence: 82 patients (10%) <3 months, 96 patients (11%) within 3–6 months and 226 patients (27%) within 6–12 months. LogCA 19–9 (OR 1.25 [95% CI 1.10–1.41]; P < 0.001) and neoadjuvant treatment (OR 0.09 [95% CI 0.01–0.68]; P = 0.02) were associated with recurrence <3 months. LogCA 19–9 (OR 1.23 [95% CI 1.10–1.38]; P < 0.001) and 0–90° venous involvement on CT imaging (OR 2.93 [95% CI 1.60–5.37]; P < 0.001) were associated with recurrence within 3–6 months. A Charlson Age Comorbidity Index ≥4 (OR 1.53 [95% CI 1.09–2.16]; P = 0.02) and logCA 19–9 (OR 1.24 [95% CI 1.14–1.35]; P < 0.001) were related to recurrence within 6–12 months.ConclusionThis study demonstrates preoperative predictors that are associated with the manifestation of early and very early recurrence after PDAC resection. Knowledge of these predictors can be used to guide individualized surveillance and treatment strategies.     

Characteristics of acute heart failure in very elderly patients — EVE study (EAHFE very elderly)

ObjectivesTo determine the characteristics and prognostic factors of early death in the very elderly with acute heart failure (AHF).Patients and methodsWe performed a prospective, observational study of AHF patients attended in Emergency Departments (ED), analyzing 45 variables collected in ED and studying troponin, natriuretic peptides and echocardiographies, not always available in the ED. The patients were divided into 2 groups: nonagenarian (age ≥ 90 years) and controls (age < 90 years). The study variables were mortality and death or reconsultation to the ED for AHF within 30 days after inclusion.ResultsWe included 4700 patients (nonagenarians: 520, 11.1%). The 30-day mortality was 21.5% and 8.7% (p < 0.01), respectively with a combined event of 33.3% and 26.7% (p = 0.001). Age ≥ 90 years was maintained in all the models associated with death (OR: 1.94, CI 95%: 1.40–2.70). In nonagenarians, chronic kidney insufficiency (OR: 2.07, CI95%: 1.16–3.69), severe functional dependence (OR: 2.18, CI95%; 1.30–3.64) and basal oxygen saturation < 90% (OR: 1.97, CI95%: 1.17–3.32) and hyponatremia < 135 mEq/L (OR: 1.89, CI95%: 1.05–3.42) were predictive variables of mortality. We observed an association between elevated troponin levels and natriuretic peptide values > 5180 pg/mL and mortality (OR: 4.26, CI95%: 1.83–9.89; and OR: 3.51, CI95%: 1.45–8.48; respectively).ConclusionsThe profile of nonagenarians with AHF differs from that of younger patients. Although very advanced age is an independent prognostic factor of mortality, these patients have fewer predictive factors of mortality, being only functional deterioration, basal kidney disease, hyponatremia and respiratory insufficiency on arrival at the ED and probably troponin values and elevated natriuretic peptides.     

Time trends of delirium rates in the intensive care unit

BackgroundEffects of clinical practice changes on ICU delirium are not well understood.ObjectivesDetermine ICU delirium rates over time.MethodsData from a previously described screening cohort of the Pharmacological Management of Delirium trial was analyzed. Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale (RASS) and Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU (CAM-ICU) were assessed twice daily. We defined: Any delirium (positive CAM-ICU at any time during ICU stay) and ICU-acquired delirium (1st CAM-ICU negative with a subsequent positive CAM-ICU). Mixed-effects logistic regression models were used to test for differences.Results2742 patient admissions were included. Delirium occurred in 16.5%, any delirium decreased [22.7% to 10.2% (p < 0.01)], and ICU-acquired delirium decreased [8.4% to 4.4% (p = 0.01)]. Coma decreased from 24% to 17.4% (p = 0.04). Later ICU years and higher mean RASS scores were associated with lower odds of delirium.ConclusionsDelirium rates were not explained by the measured variables and further prospective research is needed.     

Adverse clinical outcomes associated with multidrug-resistant organisms in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis

BackgroundMultidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) is becoming a serious worldwide threat to public health. However, the impact of MDROs on the outcomes of the patients with infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) remains unclear. This study aims to evaluate the roles of MDROs in IPN.MethodsA prospectively maintained database of 188 patients with IPN between January 2010 and May 2019 was analyzed. The microbiology profile of organisms isolated from wall-off necrosis (WON) was specifically investigated to correlate with the outcomes of the patients.ResultsOf the 188 patients with IPN, 108 patients (57.4%) had MDROs detected in aspirates from WON. Carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) accounted for 43.5% of the MDROs isolated (60/138), followed by Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumanii (CRAB) (34.8%, 48/138) and Escherichia coli producing an extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBLp) (6.5%, 9/138). MDROs infection was associated with higher mortality (35.2% vs 11.3%, P < 0.001), higher rate of hemorrhage (36.1% vs 11.3%, P < 0.001), longer intensive care unit (ICU) stay (23 vs 12 days, P < 0.001), longer hospital stay (68 vs 51 days, P = 0.001) and more hospitalization expenses (45,190 ± 31,680 vs 26,965 ± 17,167 $, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis of predictors of mortality indicated that MDROs infection (OR = 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0–6.5; P = 0.042), age ≥ 50 years (OR = 2.6; 95% CI, 1.2–5.8; P = 0.016), severe category (OR = 2.9; 95% CI, 1.1–8.0; P = 0.035), bloodstream infection (OR = 3.4; 95% CI, 1.5–7.6; P = 0.049), step-down surgical approach (OR = 2.7; 95% CI, 1.1–6.2; P = 0.023) were significant factors.ConclusionsMDROs infection was prevalent among patients with IPN and associated with adverse clinical outcomes and increased mortality.     

Spontaneous and iatrogenic hypoglycaemia related to mortality in the ICU

AimOur study investigated the relationship between both spontaneous and iatrogenic hypoglycaemia and mortality.MethodsA total of 200,859 patients from the eICU Collaborative Research Database were grouped by whether they had registered episodes of hypoglycaemia or not. Patients with hypoglycaemia were then further divided into subgroups according to type of hypoglycaemia—whether spontaneous or iatrogenic. Spontaneous hypoglycaemia during an ICU stay was defined as one or more registered blood glucose measurements < 70 mg/dL (3.9 mmol/L) with no evidence of insulin therapy.ResultsEvidence of at least one hypoglycaemic episode during ICU hospitalization was associated with a significant increase in mortality: the observed mortality rate in such patients was 15.6% compared with 8% in patients without hypoglycaemia (P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed with APACHE Scores, hypoglycaemia and baseline data (age, gender, and ethnicity). Spontaneous hypoglycaemia remained a statistically significant predictor of mortality with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 1.61 (95% CI: 1.38–1.88; P < 0.001), whereas iatrogenic hypoglycaemia was not a significant predictor with an adjusted OR of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.82–1.14; P = 0.71).ConclusionSpontaneous hypoglycaemia observed in ICU patients was associated with increased mortality and increased length of ICU stay. Although the present study, given its observational design, cannot provide a definitive answer, the clear difference between spontaneous and iatrogenic hypoglycaemia does not support a causal relationship between (short-lasting) hypoglycaemia and adverse outcomes, but instead indicates that (short-lasting) hypoglycaemia may be a marker of illness severity.     

Hypertension is a clinically important risk factor for critical illness and mortality in COVID-19: A meta-analysis

AimsAs reported, hypertension may play an important role in adverse outcomes of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19), but it still had many confounding factors. The aim of this study was to explore whether hypertension is an independent risk factor for critical COVID-19 and mortality.Data synthesisThe Medline, PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched until November 2020. Combined odds ratios (ORs) with their 95% confidence interval (CIs) were calculated by using random-effect models, and the effect of covariates was analyzed using the subgroup analysis and meta-regression analysis. A total of 24 observational studies with 99,918 COVID-19 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The proportions of hypertension in critical COVID-19 were 37% (95% CI: 0.27 ?0.47) when compared with 18% (95% CI: 0.14 ?0.23) of noncritical COVID-19 patients, in those who died were 46% (95%CI: 0.37 ?0.55) when compared with 22% (95% CI: 0.16 ?0.28) of survivors. Pooled results based on the adjusted OR showed that patients with hypertension had a 1.82-fold higher risk for critical COVID-19 (aOR: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.19 ? 2.77; P = 0.005) and a 2.17-fold higher risk for COVID-19 mortality (aOR: 2.17; 95% CI: 1.67 ? 2.82; P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis results showed that male patients had a higher risk of developing to the critical condition than female patients (OR: 3.04; 95%CI: 2.06 ? 4.49; P < 0.001) and age >60 years was associated with a significantly increased risk of COVID-19 mortality (OR: 3.12; 95% CI: 1.93 ? 5.05; P < 0.001). Meta-regression analysis results also showed that age (Coef. = 2.3×10^?2, P = 0.048) had a significant influence on the association between hypertension and COVID-19 mortality.ConclusionsEvidence from this meta-analysis suggested that hypertension was independently associated with a significantly increased risk of critical COVID-19 and inhospital mortality of COVID-19.     

Portal Hypertension Is Associated With Congestive Encephalopathy and Delirium After Cardiac Surgery

BackgroundVenous congestion might lead to congestive encephalopathy after cardiac surgery. However, objective signs of congestion have yet to be associated with delirium. Portal vein flow pulsatility is a congestion marker that may identify a subgroup of patients at risk.MethodsWe performed a retrospective study and a prospective study in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Adult patients who underwent portal vein Doppler imaging by the attending physician during usual care in the intensive care unit were included in the retrospective cohort. For the prospective cohort, patients had a cognitive and echocardiographic evaluation the day before surgery and daily for 3 days after surgery. Delirium was independently assessed by the nursing staff in the prospective cohort.ResultsA total of 237 patients in the retrospective cohort and 145 patients in the prospective cohort were included, for whom 1074 portal Doppler evaluations were performed. An association was found between delirium and portal vein pulsatility in the retrospective cohort (odds ratio [OR], 2.69; confidence interval [CI], 1.47-4.90; P = 0.001). In the prospective cohort, significant associations were found between the presence of portal vein pulsatility and the development of cognitive dysfunction and asterixis assessed by the investigators (OR, 2.10; CI, 1.25-3.53; P = 0.005 and OR, 2.23; CI, 1.13; 4.41; P = 0.02, and delirium detected by the nursing staff (hazard ratio, 2.63; CI, 1.13-6.11; P = 0.025). Higher N-terminal pro-beta natriuretic peptide measurements (OR, 4.03; CI, 1.78-9.15; P = 0.001) and cerebral desaturations (OR, 2.54; CI, 1.12-5.76; P = 0.03) were associated with cognitive dysfunction.ConclusionThese data present an association among hepatic congestion, delirium, and encephalopathy in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Further studies should explore whether those neurological complications may have a congestive origin in some patients.     

Dual-Antithrombotic Therapy With DOACs After Acute Coronary Syndrome or Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Atrial Fibrillation: A Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

BackgroundThe choice of antithrombotic therapy for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients who have an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) or have undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is challenging. We aimed to assess outcomes between dual-antithrombotic therapy with the use of direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) plus an antiplatelet agent (dual therapy) compared with warfarin plus 2 antiplatelet agents (triple therapy) for AF patients after PCI or with ACS.MethodsSystematic searches of multiple major databases were performed from their inception through September 2019. We included only randomized controlled trials. Odds ratios (ORs) were pooled with the use of a random-effects model.ResultsWe identified 4 randomized controlled trials, which included 7168 patients. Compared with triple-antithrombotic therapy with warfarin, dual-antithrombotic therapy with DOACs was associated with a significant reduction in major bleeding (OR 0.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.38-0.82; P = 0.003) as well as major bleeding or clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.38-0.75; P < 0.001). The rate of composite of death and ischemic events (stroke and myocardial infarction) was not statistically different between groups (OR 1.21, 95% CI 0.99-1.49; P = 0.06). There was no significant difference between groups in the rate of death (OR 1.20, 95% CI 0.95-1.53; P = 0.13).ConclusionsIn patients with AF and recent ACS or PCI, the use of dual-antithrombotic therapy with DOACs was associated with less major bleeding and less major bleeding or clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding compared with triple therapy. The use of dual therapy also showed nonsignificantly higher composite of death and ischemic events but no difference in mortality.     

Development of a postoperative delirium risk scoring tool using data from the Australian and New Zealand Hip Fracture Registry: an analysis of 6672 patients 2017-2018

Background and purposeThis study aimed to determine the incidence, predictors of postoperative delirium and develop a post-surgery delirium risk scoring tool.Patients and MethodsA total of 6672 hip fracture patients with documented assessment for delirium were analyzed from the Australia and New Zealand Hip Fracture Registry between June 2017 and December 2018.Thirty-six variables for the prediction of delirium using univariate and multivariate logistic regression were assessed. The models were assessed for diagnostic accuracy using C-statistic and calibration using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. A Delirium Risk Score was developed based on the regression coefficients.ResultsDelirium developed in 2599/6672 (39.0%) hip fracture patients. Seven independent predictors of delirium were identified; age above 80 years (OR=1.6 CI 1.4-1.9; p=0.001), male (OR=1.3 CI 1.1-1.5; p=0.007), absent pre-operative cognitive assessment (OR=1.5 CI 1.3-1.9; p=0.001), impaired pre-operative cognitive state (OR=1.7 CI 1.3 -2.1; p=0.001), surgery delay (OR=1.7 CI 1.2-2.5; p=0.002) and mobilisation day 1 post-surgery (OR=1.9 CI 1.4-2.6; p=0.001). The C-statistics for the training and validation datasets were 0.74 and 0.75, respectively. Calibration was good (χ2=35.72 (9); p<0.001). The Delirium Risk Score for patients ranged from 0 to 42 in the validation data and when used alone as a risk predictor, had similar levels of diagnostic accuracy (C-statistic=0.742) indicating its potential for use as a stand-alone risk scoring tool.ConclusionWe have designed and validated a delirium risk score for predicting delirium following surgery for a hip fracture using seven predicting factors. This could assist clinicians in identifying high risk patients requiring higher levels of observation and post-surgical care.     

Right Ventricular Longitudinal Strain Predicts Survival in Patients With Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation

BackgroundFunctional tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is a frequent finding in echocardiography. Despite general consent that right ventricular (RV) dysfunction impacts outcome of patients with TR, it is still unknown which echocardiographic parameters most accurately reflect prognosis. In this study we aimed to evaluate the prevalence of RV dysfunction and its prognostic value in patients with TR.MethodsData from 1089 consecutive patients were analysed. Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), fractional area change, and right ventricular free wall longitudinal strain (RV strain) were used to define RV dysfunction. Patients were followed for 2-year all-cause mortality. For prediction of survival, reclassification and C statistics of RV functional parameters using TR grade as reference model were performed.ResultsAmong the patients studied, 13.9% showed no TR, 61.2% had mild TR, 19.6% had moderate TR, and 5.3% had severe TR. The TR grade was associated with increased mortality (log rank, P < 0.001). Impaired RV strain and TAPSE were independent predictors for mortality (RV: hazard ratio [HR], 1.130; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.099-1.160; P < 0.001; TAPSE: HR, 1.131; 95% CI, 1.085-1.175; P < 0.001). Both RV strain and TAPSE improved the reference model for survival prediction (RV: integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.184; 95% CI, 0.146-0.221; P < 0.001; TAPSE: IDI, 0.057; 95% CI, 0.037-0.077; P < 0.001).ConclusionsEchocardiographic evaluation of RV function appears to useful for patients with TR. Assessment of RV strain provides additional value for prediction of 2-year mortality.     

Optimal strategy of coronary revascularization in chronic kidney disease patients: A meta-analysis

BackgroundPatients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have high risks of coronary artery disease (CAD). Coronary revascularization is beneficial for long-term survival, but the optimal strategy remains still controversial.MethodsWe searched studies that have compared percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) for revascularization of the coronary arteries in CKD patients. Short-term (30 days or in-hospital) mortality, long-term (at least 12 months) all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality and the incidence of late myocardial infarction and recurrence of revascularization were estimated.Results28 studies with 38,740 patients were included. All were retrospective studies from 1977 to 2012. Meta-analysis showed that PCI group had lower short-term mortality (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.73, P < 0.01), but had higher long-term all-cause mortality (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.35, P < 0.01). Higher cardiac mortality (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.15, P < 0.05), higher incidence of late myocardial infarction (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.65 to 1.91, P < 0.01) and recurring revascularization rate (OR 2.94, 95%CI 2.15 to 4.01, P < 0.01) is found amongst PCI treated patients compared to CABG group.ConclusionsCKD patients with CAD received CABG had higher risk of short-term mortality but lower risks of long-term all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality and late myocardial infarction compared to PCI. This could be due to less probable repeated revascularization.     

Prevalence and clinical outcomes of cardiac injury in patients with COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and aimsEmerging data have linked the presence of cardiac injury with a worse prognosis in novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. However, available data cannot clearly characterize the correlation between cardiac injury and COVID-19. Thus, we conducted a meta-analysis of recent studies to 1) explore the prevalence of cardiac injury in different types of COVID-19 patients and 2) evaluate the association between cardiac injury and worse prognosis (severe disease, admission to ICU, and mortality) in patients with COVID-19.Methods and resultsLiterature search was conducted through PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Embase, and MedRxiv databases. A meta-analysis was performed with Stata 14.0. A fixed-effects model was used if the I² values ≤ 50%, otherwise the random-effects model was performed. The prevalence of cardiac injury was 19% (95% CI: 0.15–0.22, and p < 0.001) in total COVID-19 patients, 36% (95% CI: 0.25–0.47, and p < 0.001) in severe COVID-19 patients, and 48% (95% CI: 0.30–0.66, and p < 0.001) in non-survivors. Furthermore, cardiac injury was found to be associated with a significant increase in the risk of poor outcomes with a pooled effect size (ES) of 8.46 (95% CI: 3.76–19.06, and p = 0.062), severe disease with an ES of 3.54 (95% CI: 2.25–5.58, and p < 0.001), admission to ICU with an ES of 5.03 (95% CI: 2.69–9.39, and p < 0.001), and mortality with an ES of 4.99 (95% CI: 3.38–7.37, and p < 0.001).ConclusionsThe prevalence of cardiac injury was greatly increased in COVID-19 patients, particularly in patients with severe disease and non-survivors. COVID-19 patients with cardiac injury are more likely to be associated with poor outcomes, severity of disease, admission to ICU, and mortality.     

Characteristics associated with delirium in older patients in a medical intensive care unit

BACKGROUND: Delirium is a highly prevalent disorder among older patients in the intensive care unit. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study of 304 patients 60 years or older admitted from September 5, 2002, through September 30, 2004, to a 14-bed ICU in an urban university teaching hospital. The main outcome measure was ICU delirium that developed within 48 hours of ICU admission. Patients were assessed for delirium with the Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU and medical record review. Risk factors for delirium were assessed on ICU admission by interview with proxies and medical record review. A model was developed using multivariate logistic regression and internally validated with bootstrapping methods. RESULTS: Delirium occurred in 214 study participants (70.4%) within the first 48 hours of ICU admission. In a multivariate regression model, 4 admission risk factors for delirium were identified. These risk factors included dementia (odds ratio [OR], 6.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.9-13.8), receipt of benzodiazepines before ICU admission (OR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.6-7.0), elevated creatinine level (OR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.1-4.0), and low arterial pH (OR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.1-3.9). The C statistic was 0.78. CONCLUSIONS: Delirium is frequent among older ICU patients. Admission characteristics can be important markers for delirium in these patients. Knowledge of these admission risk factors can prompt early correction of metabolic abnormalities and may subsequently reduce delirium duration.     

Progress in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure treatment in China: A large,multicenter, retrospective cohort study using a propensity score matching analysis

BackgroundHepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) has a high short-term mortality. However, the treatment progression for HBV-ACLF in China in the past decade has not been well characterized. The present study aimed to determine whether the HBV-ACLF treatment has significantly improved during the past decade.MethodsThis study retrospectively compared short-term (28/56 days) survival rates of two different nationwide cohorts (cohort I: 2008-2011 and cohort II: 2012-2015). Eligible HBV-ACLF patients were enrolled retrospectively. Patients in the cohorts I and II were assigned either to the standard medical therapy (SMT) group (cohort I-SMT, cohort II-SMT) or artificial liver support system (ALSS) group (cohort I-ALSS, cohort II-ALSS). Propensity score matching analysis was conducted to eliminate baseline differences, and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to explore the independent factors for 28-day survival.ResultsShort-term (28/56 days) survival rates were significantly higher in the ALSS group than those in the SMT group (P < 0.05) and were higher in the cohort II than those in the cohort I (P < 0.001). After propensity score matching, short-term (28/56 days) survival rates were higher in the cohort II than those in the cohort I for both SMT (60.7% vs. 53.0%, 50.0% vs. 39.8%, P < 0.05) and ALSS (66.1% vs. 56.5%, 53.0% vs. 44.4%, P < 0.05) treatments. The 28-day survival rate was higher in patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs than in patients without such treatments (P = 0.046). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ALSS (OR = 0.962, 95% CI: 0.951-0.973, P = 0.038), nucleos(t)ide analogs (OR = 0.927, 95% CI: 0.871-0.983, P = 0.046), old age (OR = 1.028, 95% CI: 1.015-1.041, P < 0.001), total bilirubin (OR = 1.002, 95% CI: 1.001-1.003, P = 0.004), INR (OR = 1.569, 95% CI: 1.044-2.358, P < 0.001), COSSH-ACLF grade (OR = 2.683, 95% CI: 1.792-4.017, P < 0.001), and albumin (OR = 0.952, 95% CI: 0.924-0.982, P = 0.002) were independent factors for 28-day mortality.ConclusionsThe treatment for patients with HBV-ACLF has improved in the past decade.     

Predictors of In-hospital Mortality and Acute Myocardial Infarction in Thrombotic Thrombocytopenic Purpura

Background

Despite the widespread availability of plasmapheresis as a therapy, thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. There is a paucity of data on the predictors of poor clinical outcome in this population. Acute myocardial infarction is a recognized complication of thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura. Little is known about the magnitude of this problem, its risk factors, and its influence on mortality in patients hospitalized with thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura.

Methods

We used the 2001-2010 Nationwide Inpatient Sample database to identify patients aged ≥18 years with the diagnosis of thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (International Classification of Diseases, 9^th Revision, Clinical Modification [ICD-9-CM] code 446.6) who also received therapeutic plasmapheresis (ICD-9-CM code 99.71) during the hospitalization. Patients with acute myocardial infarction were identified using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Clinical Classification Software code 100. Stepwise logistic regression was used to determine independent predictors of in-hospital mortality and acute myocardial infarction in thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura patients.

Results

Among the 4032 patients (mean age 47.5 years, 67.7% women, and 36.9% white) with thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura who also underwent plasmapheresis, in-hospital mortality was 11.1%. Independent predictors of increased in-hospital mortality were older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.04; P <.001), acute myocardial infarction (OR 1.89; 95% CI, 1.24-2.88; P = .003), acute renal failure (OR 2.75; 95% CI, 2.11-3.58; P <.001), congestive heart failure (OR 1.66; 95% CI, 1.17-2.34; P = .004), acute cerebrovascular disease (OR 2.68; 95% CI, 1.87-3.85; P <.001), cancer (OR 2.49; 95% CI, 1.83-3.40; P <.001), and sepsis (OR 2.59; 95% CI, 1.88-3.59; P <.001). Independent predictors of acute myocardial infarction were older age (OR 1.03; 95% CI, 1.02-1.04; P <.001), smoking (OR 1.60; 95% CI, 1.14-2.24; P = .007), known coronary artery disease (OR 2.59; 95% CI, 1.76-3.81; P <.001), and congestive heart failure (OR 2.40; 95% CI, 1.71-3.37; P <.001).

Conclusion

In this large national database, patients with thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura had an in-hospital mortality rate of 11.1% and an acute myocardial infarction rate of 5.7%. Predictors of in-hospital mortality were older age, acute myocardial infarction, acute renal failure, congestive heart failure, acute cerebrovascular disease, cancer, and sepsis. Predictors of acute myocardial infarction were older age, smoking, known coronary artery disease, and congestive heart failure.     

Obstructive Sleep Apnea as a Predictor of Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BackgroundPost–coronary artery bypass grafting atrial fibrillation (PCAF) is associated with increased morbidity, mortality, and system costs. Few studies have explored obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) as a risk factor for PCAF. We aimed to systematically review and synthesize the evidence associating OSA with PCAF.MethodsWe conducted a search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Google Scholar, and Web of Science, as well as abstracts, conference proceedings, and reference lists until June 2014. Eligible studies were in English, were conducted in humans, and assessed OSA with polysomnography (PSG) or a validated questionnaire. Two reviewers independently selected studies, with disagreement resolved by consensus. Piloted forms were used to extract data and assess risk of bias.ResultsFive prospective cohort studies were included (n = 642). There was agreement in study selection (κ statistic, 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-1.00). OSA was associated with a higher risk of PCAF (odds ratio [OR], 1.86; 95% CI 1.24-2.80; P = 0.003; I² = 35%). We conducted 3 subgroup analyses. The associations increased for data that used PSG to assess OSA (OR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.48-3.70), when severe OSA was included from 1 study (OR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.63-4.11), and when adjusted analyses were pooled (OR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.57-3.62; P < 0.001 in all), with no heterogeneity detected in any subgroup analysis (I² < 0.01% in all).ConclusionsOSA was shown to be a strong predictor of PCAF.     

Facteurs prédictifs de long séjour en réanimation après chirurgie cardiaque programmée de l’adulte : étude rétrospective monocentrique sur 5 ans et demi

AimThe aim of our study was to identify predictors for prolonged ICU stay following elective adult cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass.Patients and methodsA retrospective study was conducted during 5 years and a half period. Were included, patients age ≥ 18 years old, underwent elective cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass. Patients who died within 48 hours of surgery were excluded. Prolonged ICU stay was defined as stay in the ICU for 48 hours or more.ResultsDuring the review period, 610 patients were included. One hundred and sixty-four patients have required a prolonged ICU stay (26.9 %). In multivariate analysis, 5 predictors were identified: ejection fraction < 30 % (OR 19.991, IC 95 % [1.382–289.1], P = 0.028], pulmonary hypertension (OR 2.293, IC 95 % [1.058–4.973], P = 0.036), prolonged ventilation (≥ 12 hours) (OR 4.026, IC 95 % [2.407–6.733], P < 0.001). Number of blood units transfused (OR 1.568, IC 95 % [1.073–2.291], and postoperative acute renal failure (OR 2.620, IC 95 % [1.026–6.690], P = 0.044]. Prolonged ICU stay is significantly associated with prolonged hospital stay (17 days vs 13 days ; P < 0.001) and higher in hospital mortality (22 % vs. 3 %, P < 0.001).ConclusionThe identification of these patients at risk of prolonged ICU stay is crucial. It will aid to plan prophylactic measures to optimize their support.