| 2019年2月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 涂文校,陈涛,任婧寰,黎丹,洪志恒,孟玲,向妮娟,施国庆.2019年2月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J].疾病监测,2019,34(2):102-105. |
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| 作者姓名： | 涂文校 陈涛 任婧寰 黎丹 洪志恒 孟玲 向妮娟 施国庆 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国疾病预防控制中心卫生应急中心，北京 102206 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的评估2019年2月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息，采用专家会商法，并通过视频会议形式邀请省（自治区、直辖市）疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果预计2月突发公共卫生事件的报告数较1月下降，是2019年全年最低水平，报告事件以季节性流行性感冒（流感）、其他感染性腹泻病、水痘等传染病事件为主，其次为食物中毒和非职业性一氧化碳中毒。 季节性流感活动水平仍然较高，但将出现下降趋势；非职业性一氧化碳中毒事件将继续高发；刚果民主共和国埃博拉病毒病疫情仍将持续发生，但输入我国的风险低。 春节期间我国公民在境内要重点预防季节性流感、诺如病毒病、食物中毒和非职业性一氧化碳中毒；赴境外旅游时需预防登革热、寨卡病毒病等传染病，同时注意饮食卫生。结论需要重点关注季节性流感和非职业性一氧化碳中毒，一般关注埃博拉病毒病输入风险和春节旅行卫生。
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| 关 键 词： | 突发公共卫生事件 传染病疫情 风险评估 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019-02-23 |
Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China,February 2019 |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Public Health Emergency Center, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China2.National Institute for Viral Disease Prevention and Control, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China |
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| Abstract: | ObjectiveTo assess the risks of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in February 2019.MethodsAn internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all the provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this meeting through video terminal.ResultsThe incidence of public health emergencies reported in February would decrease compared with January and might be at the lowest level in 2019, which might mainly be the outbreaks of seasonal influenza, other infectious diarrheal diseases, varicella and others, followed by food poisoning and non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events. The level of influenza activity would be still high, but it will show a downward trend. The incidence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning will continue to be high. The epidemic of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in the Democratic Republic of Congo will continue, but the risk of spread to China is still low. During the Spring Festival, it is necessary to strengthen the prevention of seasonal influenza, norovirus infection, food poisoning and non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, and it is necessary for those traveling abroad to pay attention to the prevention of dengue fever, Zika virus disease and others as well as food hygiene.ConclusionClose attention should be paid to seasonal influenza, and non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, and general attention should be paid to EVD in the Democratic Republic of Congo and travel health during Spring Festival. |
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