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2005 - 2014年中国老年人肺癌发病的时间趋势分析
引用本文:辛雯艳,黄磊,闫贻忠.2005 - 2014年中国老年人肺癌发病的时间趋势分析[J].现代预防医学,2020,0(12):2113-2116.
作者姓名:辛雯艳  黄磊  闫贻忠
作者单位:1. 石河子大学医学院第一附属医院,新疆 石河子832002;2. 石河子大学医学院预防医学系,新疆 石河子832002
摘    要:目的 分析2005 - 2014年我国老年人肺癌发病的时间趋势,为我国肺癌的防控工作提供依据。方法 根据2008 - 2017年《中国肿瘤登记年报》中肺癌的相关数据,分析2005 - 2014年我国老年人肺癌的发病情况,并通过年度变化百分比(annual percentage change,APC)分析其时间变化趋势。结果 2005 - 2014年我国老年人肺癌的发病率呈上升趋势(APC = 0.71%,P<0.05),其中农村老年人肺癌的发病率从198.9/105上升至250.7/105,上升趋势更明显(APC = 2.81%,P<0.05),尤以农村老年女性肺癌发病率的上升趋势最为明显(APC = 5.26%,P<0.05)。2005 - 2014年中国老年人肺癌的发病在60~64岁和65~69岁组呈上升趋势(APC分别为2.83%和2.04%,均P<0.05),而在农村地区,老年人所有年龄组的肺癌发病率都呈明显上升趋势(APC分别为3.49%,3.86%,1.66%,2.31%,3.49%及6.37%,均P<0.05)。结论 2005 - 2014年我国老年人肺癌发病上升趋势明显,以农村老年女性最为突出,国家应针对高危人群及早开展筛查等工作,降低我国老年人肺癌的流行水平。

关 键 词:老年人  肺癌  发病  时间趋势

Analysis on the time trend of lung cancer incidence in the elderly Chinese between 2005 and 2014
XIN Wen-yan,HUANG Lei,YAN Yi-zhong.Analysis on the time trend of lung cancer incidence in the elderly Chinese between 2005 and 2014[J].Modern Preventive Medicine,2020,0(12):2113-2116.
Authors:XIN Wen-yan  HUANG Lei  YAN Yi-zhong
Affiliation:*First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, Shihezi, Xinjiang 832002, China
Abstract:The aim of this study was to analyze the time trend of lung cancer incidence in the elderly Chinese from 2005 to 2014, in order to provide basis for the prevention and control of lung cancer in China. Methods According to the data in the “annual report of cancer registration of China, 2008-2017”, the incidence of lung cancer in the elderly Chinese from 2005 to 2014 was calculated, and the time trend was analyzed by the annual percentage change(APC). Results From 2005 to 2014, the lung cancer incidence in the elderly Chinese showed an increasing trend(APC =0.71%, P <0.05),which in rural areas increased from 198.9/105 to 250.7/105, showing a significant upward trend(APC=2.81%, P<0.05). And the trend in rural was mainly due to a significant increase of lung cancer incidence in elderly females(APC=5.26%, P<0.05).From 2005 to 2014, the incidence of lung cancer in the elderly Chinese increased in 60-64 and 65-69 age groups(APC were 2.83% and 2.04%, respectively, all P <0.05), and in rural areas, the lung cancer incidence in all age groups of the elderly showed a significant upward trend(APC were 3.49%, 3.86%, 1.66%, 2.31%, 3.49% and 6.37%,respectively, all P<0.05). Conclusion From 2005 to 2014, the incidence of lung cancer in the elderly Chinese showed a significant upward trend, especially in the elderly females from rural areas. Our country should carry out early screening for high-risk groups to reduce the prevalence of lung cancer in the elderly Chinese.
Keywords:Elderly  Lung cancer  Incidence  Time trend
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